The sixth week of the college football season is the third week of the SEC season. Two games down, eight games to go for the 14 teams in the SEC. There are a lot of interesting matchups Saturday as the picture begins to evolve in college football’s toughest conference. There are still some mysteries, which need to be sorted, and these games might provide answers.
Florida Gators at Texas A&M Aggies
Sportsbook Odds: Gators -6.5
This is one of the two best games of the week in the SEC. Florida’s offense has been outstanding in its first two games. Quarterback Kyle Trask and tight end Kyle Pitts have connected for six touchdowns. Florida hasn’t had a QB-receiver combination to create six touchdowns in two games in 20 years, since 2000. That’s how great Trask and Pitts have been. However, Florida beat teams with weak defenses, Ole Miss and South Carolina. Now Florida goes against Texas A&M, a team expected to be tougher. Texas A&M just lost decisively over the past weeken d… but it lost at Alabama, the clear favorite to win the SEC. A lot of teams are going to be beaten heavily by Alabama, so don’t think that’s a verdict on how good the Aggies are. A&M was expected to be a top-three SEC West team by a lot of pundits. Florida’s road trip to College Station is going to be one of the more difficult games for the Gators. Florida might have enough offense to win outright, but A&M — already in a must-win situation — is likely to play hard enough and well enough to keep this close.
Pick: Aggies +6.5
South Carolina Gamecocks at Vanderbilt Commodores
Sportsbook Odds: Gamecocks -13
The South Carolina Gamecocks are 0-2, and yet they are nearly a two-touchdown favorite over Vanderbilt. Should that be the case? You could make an argument since Vanderbilt has scored two touchdowns through two games and has a weak offense. The Commodores have a new starting quarterback with a new offensive coordinator. Everyone is requiring time to get on the same page. This is a slow process with the Commodores. However, Vanderbilt allowed only 17 points in its first game at Texas A&M, and the Aggies have an offense that is roughly as good as South Carolina’s. The Gamecocks scored 24 points against a Florida defense that allowed 35 points to Ole Miss a week earlier. If the Gamecocks could only score 24 against Florida, there’s a decent chance they will fail to score 20 against Vanderbilt. That makes a 13-point line too big.
Pick: Commodores +13
Tennessee Volunteers at Georgia Bulldogs
Sportsbook Odds: Bulldogs -13.5
This is the other big game in the SEC. The Tennessee Volunteers haven’t won the SEC East since 2007. They have recruited better, and they are 2-0 through two weeks. Is this team ready to step up and threaten Georgia, which has won the last three SEC East championships? Saturday we get a chance to find out. The big concern with Tennessee is that South Carolina and Missouri are not strong enough to have sufficiently prepared the Vols for Georgia’s speed and toughness. Georgia represents a different kind of opponent, and the feeling here is the ‘Dawgs will deliver a smackdown, which lets us know that Tennessee isn’t yet ready for prime time.
Pick: Bulldogs -13.5
Arkansas Razorbacks at Auburn Tigers
Sportsbook Odds: Tigers -16.5
The Auburn offense was smothered by Georgia in a 27-6 loss. Auburn’s offensive line is easily the worst position group on the Auburn depth chart, a major concern for head coach Gus Malzahn. Arkansas doesn’t have a complete team or a complete offense, but the Razorbacks did contain Georgia for two and a half quarters in their first game, and they flummoxed Mike Leach’s Air Raid offense in an upset win over Mississippi State. Auburn is still likely to win because of its team speed and especially its strength on defense. Auburn, though, is unlikely to blow out an opponent that is competent on defense, and Arkansas is. This feels like a 10-point Auburn win.
Pick: Razorbacks +16.5
Alabama Crimson Tide at Ole Miss Rebels
Sportsbook Odds: Crimson Tide -24
The Alabama Crimson Tide are averaging 45 points per game. The Ole Miss Rebels have allowed an average of 46 points per game. You can make a simple deduction and say that Alabama is likely to score a ton of points, at least 45, possibly more. If Alabama is scoring 55 or 56 points, there is an excellent chance the Crimson Tide will be able to cover the spread.
Pick: Crimson Tide -24
Mississippi State Bulldogs at Kentucky Wildcats
Sportsbook Odds: Wildcats -2.5
The greatest toss-up in the SEC is Mississippi State-Kentucky. It’s simple: Are we going to see the Mississippi State offense that scored 44 points at LSU or the team that scored14 points against Arkansas and threw three interceptions? Are we going to see the Kentucky offense that scored 13 points in its first game against Auburn or 41 in its second game against Ole Miss? Your guess is as good as mine, but Kentucky is 0-2 and desperate. The Wildcats will probably play a little harder, and that might make the difference.
Pick: Wildcats -2.5
Missouri Tigers at LSU Tigers
Odds: LSU -20.5
This is one of the easier SEC games to pick. Missouri is completely overmatched, having been blasted by Alabama and Tennessee. Mizzou is playing under a first-year coach, Eli Drinkwitz, who is trying to adjust on the fly in the toughest conference in college football while having had a pandemic offseason in which it was hard for him to fully install and teach his offense. LSU struggled on defense in its first game against Mississippi State, but it rebounded against Vanderbilt. LSU should have little problem winning. It should be a wipeout, so take LSU on the sports betting lines.
Pick: LSU -20.5
Ckeck our NCAAF football lines here.