Alright, BetUS online betting enthusiasts…the now unranked Wolverines will look to stop the bleeding in Ann Arbor when they host the 13th-ranked Wisconsin Badgers in their annual Big Ten battle on Saturday. With their season already off to a disastrous start after just three games, Michigan is now completely and utterly desperate for a morale-boosting victory.
Following their statement-making season-opening win, Wisconsin is back in action after their season was put on hold almost three weeks ago after 17 players and 13 staff members tested positive for COVID-19.
Michigan, on the other hand, will look to rebound from an embarrassing loss against Indiana last weekend.
|Game: No. 13 Wisconsin (1-0) vs Michigan (1-2)
Location: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI
Time: Saturday, November 14, 2020 at 7:30 PM ET
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Check out all of the Week 11 Big Ten matchups right here!
While Michigan head coach Jim Harbaugh is the most widely recognized figure in this weekend’s annual Big Ten battle, it is Wisconsin head coach Paul Chryst that has the edge with his Badgers winning two of the last three – and six of the last 10 meetings overall.
Wisconsin cruised to an easy 35-14 home win last season to cover the chalk as a 3-point favorite. The Badgers are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings against Michigan while the home team in this long standing rivalry has gone 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings while the Over is 2-0 in the last two meetings and 6-2 in the last 8 meetings overall.
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Next game: at Northwestern
Wisconsin kicked off its 2020 campaign by recording an emphatic 45-7 smackdown win over Illinois on Oct. 23 to easily cover the chalk as a 20.5-point home favorite. Redshirt freshman quarterback Graham Mertz was outstanding in his first start by passing for 248 yards while tossing five TD passes.
Unfortunately, Mertz and head coach Paul Chryst, both tested positive the following day. Now, Mertz’s status for this matchup is unclear though he’s expected to start.
“Graham, the way that he is timing out (is) starting that process of coming back, his tests are all done. So I think he’ll be able to have some practice. We’ll see if it’s enough practice time,” Chryst said.
Offensively, Wisconsin is ranked ninth in scoring (45.0 ppg) while ranking first in total defense, first against the pass and first in points allowed (7.0 ppg), though their numbers have come as a result of only one game.
Wisconsin has won 12 of its last 16 games and 14 of its last 19 road games while the total has gone Over in five of the Badgers’ last six games against their Big Ten rivals.
At least four Badgers’ players remained in quarantine as of Tuesday.
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Next game: at Rutgers
Michigan has lost two straight including an embarrassing 38-21 road loss against Indiana on Saturday that marked the Wolverines first loss against the Hoosiers in 33 years. While quarterback Joe Milton passed for 344 yards with three TD passes, the junior also tossed a pair of costly picks. The Wolverines defense also had no answer for Indiana quarterback Michael Penix Jr. who passed for 342 yards with three touchdowns and no picks.
Michigan hasn’t lost at home to Wisconsin since 2010, but the Wolverines also aren’t ranked inside the Top 25 for the first time since the end of the 2017 season. Now, rampant rumors say that head coach Jim Harbaugh could leave his alma mater to make a return to the NFL.
“No matter what I tell you, tomorrow something else will be written by somebody else,” Harbaugh said. “I’m going to let my actions speak loudly and, hopefully, you know me, my actions have been consistent.”
Michigan ranks 47th in total offense, 27th in passing, 85th in rushing and 47th in scoring (31.3 ppg). The Wolverines are also ranked 67th in total defense, 104th against the pass, 30th against the run and 68th in points allowed (29.7 ppg).
Michigan has won 13 of its last 15 home games, but the Wolverines have lost four of their last five games dating back to last season.
At least six players will be out of the lineup for Michigan in Saturday’s matchup.
Betting on the Game
With each of the last three meetings between these two rivals being decided by double digits, this Week 11 pairing may not be as close as one would expect.
Wisconsin has gone 12-4 SU in its last 16 games, but 1-7 SU in its last eight road games against Michigan. The Wolverines are 13-2 SU in its last 15 home games.
The Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite. Wisconsin has also gone 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win and a bankroll-boosting 16-7 ATS in their last 23 road games.
The Wolverines are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record, but just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
The Over is 6-0 in Wisconsin’s last 6 games as a favorite and 6-1 in the Badgers last 7 games overall. The Over is also 5-1 in Wisconsin’s last 6 conference games and 8-0 in Michigan’s last 8 games as a home underdog. Finally, the Over is 9-2 in Michigan’s last 11 games following a straight up loss and 14-5 in the Wolverines’ last 19 home games.