2016 PGA Championship Preview

The best golfers on the planet head to New Jersey this week to attempt to power through the tough Baltusrol Golf Course in Springfield. Baltusrol has held 7 U.S. Opens but only a single PGA Championship. That PGA Championship occurred in 2005. The winner of that PGA Championship, Phil Mickelson is in this year's field.

Will the favorites come up big?  Is there a longshot lurking somewhere that golf bettors need to pay attention to?  See below for my picks where I choose one of the favorites and one of the dogs to win the 2016 PGA Championship!

2016 PGA Championship
When: July 28 - July 31
Where: Baltusrol Golf Club, Springfield, New Jersey

Analysis: It's awfully tough to look past the two 8/1 shots in this year's PGA Championship. Both Rory McIlroy and Jason Day have the potential to get it going at Baltusrol this week. McIlroy was fantastic in The Open Championship at Royal Troon. McIlroy shot a -4 to finish fifth. But before that fifth place finish, Rory had failed to make the cut at Oakmont for the U.S. Open. Which McIlroy will show up this week?  That's the big question.

Jason Day might be the better pick at 8/1. Day goes into this year's PGA Championship as the defending title holder. He was fantastic last year when shooting a -20. But last year's PGA Championship was at Whistling Straits. This year's course should be more difficult for Day to navigate. Then again, Jason Day has an uncanny ability to step it up when he needs to. Forget his performance at Royal Troon. Day just didn't have it over that tough links course. At Baltusrol, the Australian wunderkind figures to show his best.

A couple of 9/1 shots figure to have a say in the outcome at the PGA Championship. Both Jordan Spieth and U.S. Open winner Dustin Johnson are at 9/1. Spieth's incredible 2015 feels like it happened 10 years ago while DJ's U.S. Open win isn't exactly fresh in our minds. Spieth, in particular, has had a rough go of it in majors this year. He blew it at the Masters in April. He shot a 9 over to finish thirty-seventh at the U.S. Open. To top it off, he shot a 9 over at Royal Troon to finish in 30th place. It's hard to justify a wager on Spieth to do much at Baltusrol this week.

The American, Dustin Johnson took home the U.S. Open with aplomb in June. Johnson shot a 276, -4. He shot a -6 at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational to win that tournament. He finished ninth with a -2 at Royal Troon. Even in Canada this past weekend for the RBC Canadian Open, Dustin Johnson finished second. He's hitting the ball as well as any player on the Tour. Although his odds drifted from 8/1 to 9/1, DJ is still considered one of the favorites. He's definitely my pick to win the PGA Championship this week.

Phil Mickelson's odds to win the PGA Championship should fall between 20/1 and 25/1. I'm not looking at any other longshot to win the final major of 2016. The reason why is because the last time that a major tournament was held at Baltusrol, Mickelson won it. That was in 2005. Not only that, but Mickelson played too well to lose at The Open Championship at Royal Troon. Lefty is going to come out swinging this week. I think that he's got a huge shot. 

Favorite Pick:  Dustin Johnson 9/1
Underdog Pick:  Phil Mickelson 20/1