The Open Championship: Day, DJ, McIlroy, Spieth Are The Favorites At Royal Troon

The Open Championship, the third major golf tournament of the year, takes place this Thursday through Sunday at Royal Troon Golf Club, Ayrshire, Scotland. The favorite isn't the winner of either the Masters or the U.S. Open.

The favorite is Australia's Jason Day at 8 to 1. Following Day is U.S. Open winner Dustin Johnson at 9 to 1. Will Day or Dustin take home the prize or will a shark like Rory McIlroy or Jordan Spieth upset the two chalks?

The Open Championship
When:  July 14 - July 17
Where: Royal Troon Golf Club, Ayrshire, Scotland

Analysis:  Jason Day's game should be well-suited to Royal Troon. Day averages a 69.9. Royal Troon is going to play as a par 71. If Day is on top of his game, there's no reason to think that he won't be playing in the final duo on Sunday. Then again, Day finished tenth at the Masters. He finished eighth in the U.S. Open. Since he's the chalk, it's hard to put money on him. But who could beat Day? Dustin Johnson?  Jordan Spieth? Rory McIlroy? All three of those golfers have their flaws.

Dustin Johnson played exceptionally well when beating his peers for the U.S. Open title at Oakmont. DJ's best finish at an Open Championship was a tied second in 2011. It's hard to see him stepping it up enough at Royal Troon to take home a second straight major championship.

Jordan Spieth shot a +9 at the U.S. Open. He's definitely much better than that. At 10 to 1 odds, he might be the play. The reason that I write that is because Spieth goes into the tournament after a tied third at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational. His swing is as good as its been all year. He could be very difficult at double-digit odds.

Rory McIlroy, like Spieth, is going off at 10 to 1 in the sportsbook. McIlroy missed the cut at the U.S. Open and hasn't played in a PGA Tournament since then. McIlroy did, however, win The Open Championship in 2014. Although he's a danger, the odds make McIlroy an underlay. At 10 to 1, I have to pass. His game just isn't where it should be for him to excel.

The golfer that I like to win The Open Championship this weekend is Adam Scott. Scott is at 20 to 1 in the sportsbook. Earlier in the year he won back-to-back titles at the Honda Classic and the World Golf Championships. Then, things went downhill for Scott. He finished 12th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He finished 28th at the WGC-Accenture Match. He finished 42nd at the Masters when shooting an 11 over. He finished 17th at the Wells Fargo. His 12th place finish at the TPC Sawgrass wasn't bad. But then he followed it up with a 55th place finish at the Dean and Deluca Invitational before finishing in the Top 20 at 18 at the U.S. Open.

What I really like about Scott is that he knows how to play golf over a links course. He also almost won The Open in 2012. His game appears to be coming around since Scott finished tenth at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational.

Scott is the underdog golfer that I like to hold up the Claret Jug at Royal Troon on Sunday. But I can't just bet on Scott. Jordan Spieth goes to Royal Troon in fine form. To me, he's the golfer to beat, not Jason Day or Dustin Johnson. I'm going to put money on both of them. My favorite play to win will be the American, Jordan Spieth while my underdog play to win will be Adam Scott, the Aussie.

Top Pick: Jordan Spieth 10/1
Underdog Pick: Adam Scott 20/1