2019 NCAA Men's Final Four Betting Preview And Free Picks

2019 NCAA Final Four
Saturday, April 6th - U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
#5 Auburn Tigers (+5.5) vs. #1 Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5) - 6:09pm ET
#3 Texas Tech Red Raiders (+3) vs. #2 Michigan State Spartans (-3) - 8:49pm ETCBS

To say that the Final Four matchups are a shocker is an understatement. Duke and North Carolina, two favorites to win the title were knocked out much sooner than expected. Despite what each team accomplished this season, it will go down as a disappointing season for each, particularly Duke.

#5 Auburn and #3 Texas Tech will be making their first appearance in the Final Four. Auburn will take on #1 ranked Virginia. Virginia's last trip to the Final Four was in 1984.

Texas Tech will try to punch their ticket to the national title game with a win over Michigan State. Michigan State is the only one of the four remaining teams that has won a national title.

Virginia won their first two tournament games pretty comfortably. They crushed Gardner-Webb 71-56 before downing Oklahoma 63-51. The Cavaliers fought off Oregon 53-49 in the Sweet 16 and needed overtime to outlast Purdue 80-75.

Few teams have found success against Virginia, as evidenced by their 33-3 record through 2018-2019. Their slow tempo, grind-it-out offense has proven to be a conundrum for opposing teams. On the defensive end, they pack the paint and force teams to shoot contested threes.

There's not proven gameplan for Virginia. They've lost just six games in two seasons. Two of this season's losses were to Duke. Duke had a unique cast of uber talented players that no longer exists in this tournament. Auburn will have to make the most out of their three-point opportunities if they have any shot at beating Virginia.

I'm not so sure they do that.

Auburn's paved their road to the Final Four with wins over New Mexico State, Kansas, North Carolina, and Kentucky. They'll look to Bryce Brown to provide them with the scoring they need to compete against Virginia. Brown leads the team with 15.8 points per game and 137 three-pointers on the season.

The Tiger will need to disrupt Virginia's offense while making the most of their own offensive opportunities. They'll need to force Virginia to play to their tempo in order to accomplish that. Again, I'm not so sure they do that. I certainly wouldn't bet on that happening.

Virginia will continue to to dominate. They've been nearly unstoppable for two years. What Auburn has accomplished is impressive, but their run ends in the Final Four. Virginia -5.5 is the bet to make.

Michigan State's Cassius Winston has been a force to be reckoned this season and throughout the tournament. Winston leads the Spartans with 18.8 points and 7.5 assists per game. He also leads the team with 82 made three-pointers.

Winston may be the best player remaining in the tournament. He can score from either side of the arc, can pass, drive the ball, and draw fouls. There isn't much Winston can't do.

Getting to the basket against Michigan State is a gargantuan task. They have some of the best interior defense in the nation. They also have the players and coaching to make the right moves on defense

The Spartans defeated Bradley, Minnesota, LSU, and Duke on their way to the Final Four.

Texas Tech reached their first Final Four in school history after running the table against Northern Kentucky, Buffalo, Michigan, and Gonzaga.

Defense is the name of the game for Texas Tech. They're a well coached, well prepared team that mixes size and athleticism to pose a problem for opposing teams. They're a physical team that forces teams into unwanted shots.

Jarrett Culver is a star for Texas Tech, but he has been contained. Culver averages 18.9 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 3.8 assists per game, all team highs. If Culver goes off, it will be a good day for the Red Raiders.

In the end, coaching will make the difference. Tom Izzo will lead Michigan State to another national title game. I like the Spartans to win a close one over Texas Tech. Bet the Spartans on the moneyline.