The Los Angeles Dodgers (8-2) have been hobbled recently, and their star acquisition, SP Trevor Bauer, is shrouded in controversy. Cody Bellanger (leg) and Mookie Betts (back) are on the shelf with injuries, and Bauer is under investigation for ball-doctoring. Will these challenges stop Los Angeles from continuing its dominance over Colorado?
Not one bit. The Dodgers are fresh off a three-game sweep of the Nationals, who they outscored 13-5, including two shutouts. L.A. ranks first in batting average, second in hits per game, second in run differential, and sixth in runs scored per game. The Dodgers have plenty of offensive depth, and have won three-out-of-four vs the Rockies in 2021.
The Colorado Rockies (3-7) started the season nicely with an 8-5 victory over Clayton Kershaw’s Dodgers on Opening Day. However, Colorado promptly dropped the next three against L.A., getting outscored 21-13 during that stretch. It’s no surprise that the current MLB betting odds rate the Dodgers as heavy home favorites.
Bauer vs Senzatela 2: The Ball Doctor Is In
Despite the ball-doctoring controversy surrounding Bauer, he’s locked and loaded for this advantageous matchup vs the Rockies’ Antonio Senzatela. When Bauer and Senzatela went toe-to-toe on April 2, the Venezuelan was rocked by L.A. for seven runs in 3.1. Senzatela surrendered nine hits, walked one, and struck out only two.
Bauer fanned 10 while allowing four runs over 6.1 innings, earning the win. Corey Seager, Justin Turner, and Will Smith each churned out three hits, and the Dodgers’ hit parade produced 16 total. Bauer was the only L.A. player in the starting lineup to fail to get a hit, although he did post an RBI.
In the rematch, expect Bauer to be much more in control than he was the first time out vs Colorado. Bauer has the extra fuel of the MLB investigation to motivate him to perform at an optimum level. Who knows, Bauer may even throw a no-hitter on Tuesday, while his counterpart cannot hang with the Dodgers’ potent lineup.
Let’s start with the basics. The Dodgers are the reigning World Series champions, and Bauer is the reigning Cy Young Award winner. The last time Bauer faced Senzatela and the Rockies, he recorded 10 Ks and the W. Senzatela was smoked by the Dodgers when last he faced them, and shouldn’t fare much better here.
L.A. is undefeated at home, coming in with a record of 3-0, while Colorado is winless in three away games. The Dodgers’ moneyline of -300 is reasonable, and winning $33.33 on a hundred-dollar bet still produces a 33% return. L.A. is likely to win by more than a couple of runs if Bauer is locked in like I expect him to be, so take the run line, too.
MLB Free Pick $$$: L.A. Dodgers -300
MLB Free Pick ATS: L.A. Dodgers -1½ (-155)