Despite being banged up and facing another acceptable outing from an opposing starter, the New York managed to take game two of the series, setting up a potential sweep in Atlanta. The Braves will have veteran Charlie Morton on the mound to try to prevent that from happening.
The New York Mets are now 20-16 and remain in first place in the National League East. The Braves are 19-23 and 9-13 at home. Even though the Mets have looked dominant this season (and in this series), it’s helpful to remember the NL East is still just separated by a handful of games. Atlanta desperately needs a win Wednesday night. Will its bats wake up? First pitch at Truist Park is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET and the MLB sportsbook is open.
|Game: New York Mets (20-16) at Atlanta Braves (19-23) |
Location: Truist Park
Time: 7:20 p.m. ET
|New York Mets||Over 7½||-115|
|Atlanta Braves||Under 7½||-105|
David Peterson will make his eighth start for New York. He enters the contest 1-3 with a noticeable 4.86 ERA. Peterson threw seven-plus innings and only gave up two runs in his last start. Peterson took the loss in his lone career start at Truist Park, which came on Aug. 2, 2020. He threw six innings, allowing three runs on five hits with one walk and eight strikeouts in a 4-0 loss.
The New York staff ERA is top 10 in the majors and has been holding opponents to 3.80 runs per game, but if Peterson falters, remember the Mets bullpen is running thin with injuries. That said, Mets closer Edwin Diaz looked great Tuesday night when he worked a quick ninth inning to earn his seventh save. This will be Peterson’s third career start against Atlanta and he is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA in 12 innings.
The Braves have now lost three in a row and have not been above .500 this season. It is not all bad. Freddie Freeman and Austin Riley hit home runs for Atlanta on Tuesday. And, yes, the Braves have hit more home runs than any other team, but batting .211 as a team is not going to get the results Braves fans are seeking. Neither is their -18 run differential. Atlanta needs the whole lineup to produce and support its pitching staff consistently. Ronald Acuna Jr went 0-for-3 last night and Dansby Swanson went 0-for-4. Will Atlanta’s bats pick up and jump Peterson? We think so.
Morton will try and steer the Braves away from a sweep, making his ninth start. This will be his ninth start against the Mets in his career. He is 1-3 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 47-plus innings of work against the Metropolitans. Despite his veteran status and career, his 2-2 record and 5.08 ERA this season should set off alarm bells. We can not say with any confidence that he will be the reason the Braves win. In Morton’s last start, the Braves lost to the Toronto Blue Jays, after he threw just 4.2 innings and gave up three runs. Expect the Mets to try to get after him early and make the Braves go to their bullpen.
Led by Pete Alonso, who has an OBP of .345, New York’s on-base percentage is fourth in the National League. But its run production has not been consistent. Offensively, the Mets have had to deal with a lot of injuries and slumps. Franchise player Francisco Lindor is still batting .185, Jeff McNeil and Michael Conforto are out on the injured list. So other Mets batters have had to step up for them to win. Jonathan Villar and Tomás Nido homered and relief pitcher Tommy Hunter hit a single to help in their scrappy game two victory. Can the Mets continue to find runs and get the sweep?
The weather in Atlanta this evening should not play much of a factor. Temperatures will be in the high 70s with a mix of clouds. Humidity should be around 50 percent with no real chance of game-changing wind or any rain.
Oddsmakers were having a tough one with this one and the line came up a bit later than others, due to some possible injury news or an upcoming managerial decision. Once they figured it out, the sportsbook put up the MLB betting line on the total to 7½.
These NL East matchups are going to continue to be super exciting. Can the Mets players continue to chip in offensively and help sweep the Braves? Or can Morton hold them off long enough for the Braves bats to do their thing? We think Atlanta will do everything in their power to avoid the sweep and show up. For the totals, expect a big night from the Braves, and the Mets to have a light offensive night. A friendly reminder, though, that both of these teams have a negative run differential. The MLB sportsbook run total is 7½ for this one, we are going to take the over, hoping for the Braves bats to show up.