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Home » Sports Betting News » NBA Betting » NBA News » NBA Betting Analysis – Who’s Playing Defense and Who’s Not?

NBA Betting Analysis – Who’s Playing Defense and Who’s Not?

January 19, 2021
in NBA News
Bojan Bogdanovic of the Utah Jazz drives to the hoop against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on January 17, 2021

Jamie Schwaberow/Getty Images/AFP

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With four weeks of NBA action already in the record books, teams in both conferences are starting to reveal who they are or will become over the course of the 2020-21 NBA regular season.

Some teams are playing lockdown defense while others are giving up buckets like they’re going out of style. Then, there’s the handful of online betting teams that can both score at a high rate while simultaneously allowing their opponents to almost score at will.

No matter what kind of NBA teams you prefer, you’re going to find out who is consistently playing Over – and Under – the NBA sportsbook betting odds total as we head into the fifth week of action. Since everyone likes offense, let’s get started with the teams that are consistently topping their O/U totals.

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Over

Brooklyn (10-5 O/U)

The Nets (9-6 SU) are averaging a stellar 119.3 points per game to rank third in scoring while allowing 113.7 points per game to rank 23rd in points allowed. I wouldn’t say the Nets are inept defensively, but there’s no need to really go all out at the end of the floor when you can score the way the revamped Nets can. Brooklyn looked “scary good” in its 125-123 win over Milwaukee on MLK Day as James Harden went for 34 points while KD put up 30 points. A seriously underrated Joe Harris added 20 points while Jeff Green and Deandre Jordan both added double figures. Hell, Stephen A. is probably right. The Nets don’t need Kyrie to win this season’s title, although I still wouldn’t have moved Jarrett Allen and Caris Levert for Harden.

Sacramento (10-4 O/U)

Sacramento (5-9 SU) has the rare ability to put points on the board in a hurry while giving up more. The Kings are averaging a healthy 114.3 points per game to rank ninth in scoring. I like De’Aaron Fox (20.5 ppg), Marvin Bagley III (13.7 ppg), and rookie Tyrese Haliburton (11.1 ppg), but Sacramento’s defense has been completely non-existent. The Kings are giving up an overly generous 123.6 points per game to rank a dismal 30th in points allowed and will continue to play Over the total at a high rate all season long NBA betting faithful!

Denver (9-4 O/U)

The Nuggets (6-7 SU) are averaging 115.4 points per game to rank fifth in scoring but are giving up 112.5 points defensively to rank an uninspiring 20th. More importantly, Denver doesn’t have players that can play defense at a high level outside of Gary Harris. Still, I expect Denver to improve defensively moving forward, although I’ve really seen no indication that’s actually going to happen.

Let’s take a look at the odds to win the 2021 NBA Conference Championships!

Chicago (9-5 O/U)

Like the Kings, Chicago (6-8 SU) has been fantastic offensively in averaging a stellar 117.4 points per game to rank fourth in scoring. Unfortunately, Chicago is also giving up 120.0 points per contest to rank 28th in points allowed. Still, I’ve been seriously impressed with the play of athletic wing Zach LaVine, who is averaging a career-high 27.4 points per game on 49.8% shooting from the field and 38.7%from beyond the arc.

LA Clippers (8-5 O/U)

The Clippers (9-4 SU) are averaging 114.9 points per game to rank eighth in scoring while limiting the opposition to 108.6 points per game to rank ninth in points allowed. In the end, I suspect numbers like those will have Kawhi Leonard & Co. finishing right around .500 against the Over/Under Total.

Here is a look at the complete odds to win the 2021 NBA Championship!

Team To Watch

Washington (8-3 O/U)

The Wizards (3-8 SU) are seventh in the Over/Under standings, but Washington is a team to watch moving forward as far as the O/U total is concerned. The Wizards are leading the NBA in scoring at 120.5 points per contest but are also ranked an uninspiring 29th in points allowed by giving up 121.3 points per game. Bradley Beal is leading the league in scoring (34.9 ppg) and Russell Westbrook is almost averaging a triple double (again). Unfortunately, the two aren’t interested in playing any defense, so this team should play Over the total consistently all season long after doing so in eight of its first 11 games.

Under

Atlanta (2-11 O/U)

The Hawks (6-7 SU) are off to a decent start after making a series of roster-altering moves they hope will put them in contention in the Eastern Conference. Atlanta is averaging 111.2 points per game (14th) while allowing 109.2 points per contest. Still, the Hawks have been a nearly sure-fire pick to play Under the total and head into Tuesday with nine straight Under outcomes.

Dallas (3-8 O/U)

The Mavs (6-7 SU) are a polar opposite team from a year ago when they lit up the scoreboard but gave up almost as many points. This season, Luka Doncic and company are averaging an uninspiring 107.5 points per game to rank 25th in scoring while limiting the opposition to just 106.8 points per contest (6th). If Dallas continues to play mediocre offense and solid defense, we should see the Mavs play under the O/U total far more often than not this season.

Cleveland (3-10 O/U)

The young Cavaliers (6-7 SU) are offensively challenged in averaging a paltry 99.5 points per game (30th). The good news is that the Cavs are playing lockdown defense by limiting the opposition to just 103.9 points per contest to rank second in points allowed. Point guard Collin Sexton (25.1 ppg, 53.1 FG%) is a star in the making, and veteran center Andre Drummond (19.3 points, 15.8 rebounds) is playing the best basketball of his career.

Utah (4-9 O/U)

Playing shutdown defense is nothing new for a Utah Jazz that is perennially one of the best defensive teams in the league. The Jazz are averaging a respectable 110.5 points per game to rank 17th in scoring, but are limiting their opponents to just 105.4 points per night to rank fourth in points allowed. Mike Conley and Jordan Clarkson are both averaging over one steal per game while all-star center Rudy Gobert is pulling down 13.3 boards per game while averaging a league-high 2.7 blocks per game.

Phoenix (4-8 O/U)

Last, but not least, the Phoenix Suns are playing Under the total consistently because of a defense that ranks an impressive fifth in points allowed (106.8 ppg) and an offense that is ranked 20th in points per game (109.9 ppg). Blossoming small forward Mikal Bridges is averaging a team-high 1.2 blocks per game while center Deandre Ayton is added 1.0 block per contest and 11.7 rebounds. More importantly, the addition of veteran point guard Chris Paul has instilled a level of seriousness at the defensive end of the floor that is clearly evident for this up and coming young ballclub.

If you want to learn more about how to bet on sports online, we’ve got you covered. In addition to that, you can read our latest sportsbook reviews before making all of your NBA bets in our bettor-friendly online sportsbook.

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Eric Williams

Eric Williams

A native of hard-knocks Philadelphia, Eric Williams has been working his magic in the sports and sports betting betting industry for nearly two decades. The son of legendary track and field coach George ‘Papa Bear’ Williams, Eric is arguable the world’s biggest Boston Celtics and Miami Dolphins fan whose love of both franchise predates the legendary careers of Larry Bird and Dan Marino. A veteran of the United States Air Force Reserves and former LaSalle University and Penn State University student that lives, eats and breathes sports from sun up to sun down. Eric landed his first professional sports writing job while still just a senior at Martin Luther King high school in Philadelphia and has held various titles in the print, broadcast and online journalism industry since then. In addition to his unrivaled expertise as a sports betting writer and analyst, Eric also doubles as a USPTA-certified tennis instructor and proud owner of Williams’ Sweet Spot Tennis Academy LLC just outside of San Antonio, Texas. In addition to his love for the sports betting industry, Eric is also an avid swimmer, runner, gardener and cook that has a love for feeding the homeless in and around San Antonio.

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