Ed's Top 3 NFL Betting Picks - Week 14

Cincinnati Bengals (1-11) vs. Cleveland Browns (5-7)
Sunday, December 8th - 1:00PM ET - New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
Betting Line: Cleveland -10, Total 41

The Cleveland Browns were up 10-0 over the Steelers halfway through the second quarter. Then, they gave up 20 straight points to the Steelers offense, led by fourth string quarterback Devlin Hodges.

There's a problem in Cleveland and it has a name: Baker Mayfield. The second year quarterback has been unreliable all season. Last week, he threw for 196 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. He finished with a 71.9 passer rating.

The interception came late in the fourth quarter with the game on the line. Mayfield threw a deep pass behind Jarvis Landry that cost the Browns any chance at tying the game.

Baker Mayfield has now thrown for 2,917 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 14 interceptions in 2019. He is also questionable for Sunday's game with an injured thumb on his throwing hand.

Cincinnati won their first game of the season. This game was a 22-6 win over the New York Jets. The Bengals are not a good team, but they played like one on Sunday. In fact, over the last three games, they've allowed just 39 total points.

I don't trust Baker Mayfield or Freddie Kitchens. I'll take the 10 points as insurance against Cleveland being Cleveland.

San Francisco 49ers (10-2) vs. New Orleans Saints (10-2)
Sunday, December 8th - 1:00PM ET - Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Betting Line: New Orleans -2.5, Total 44.5

I'm not saying the Niners aren't the real deal. They are. What I am saying is to look more closely at their schedule and the accompanying results.

No one can take away from San Francisco's dominance this season. They haven't achieved an NFC-best +166 point differential by accident. However, they're 2-2 in their last four games with losses to Seattle and Baltimore; two very good teams with experience and great coaches. Up next, they'll face Sean Payton and the New Orleans Saints.

The Saints have a Week 2 loss to the Rams and an upset loss to the Falcons coming off their bye. A win over the 10-2 Niners would be impactful for both teams. I'm betting that's exactly what will happen.

The Saints will hand San Francisco their third loss of the season and will put the NFC West within Seattle's reach.

Take the Saints on the moneyline.

Miami Dolphins (3-9) vs. New York Jets (4-8)
Sunday, December 8th - 1:00PM ET - MetLife Stadium, Rutherford, NJ
Betting Line: New York -5.5, Total 44

It was the Fitzmagic show last week in Miami. This week, the Dolphin takes its show on the road to New Jersey.

The Dolphins were 10-point underdog at home against Philly last week. They wound up winning 37-31.

Ryan Fitzpatrick completed 27 passes for 365 yards, three touchdowns, and an interception. He hit DaVante Parker seven times for 159 yards and two touchdowns. Fitzpatrick also threw a touchdown pass to Mike Gesicki.

The Jets snapped a three game winning streak with a 22-6 loss at Cincinnati.

Sam Darnold finished the game with a knee injury and bruised ribs. He is questionable for Sunday's game against the Dolphins.

We've seen what the Jets look like without Sam Darnold and it ain't pretty.

The Jets are a one-dimensional team that plays uninspired football. They have not found a way to effectively incorporate a running attack into their brand of football despite employing one of the best running backs in the game, LeVeon Bell.

Miami has gotten beat all around the country this season. But anyone that's been watching has seen something there. We may be headed towards back-to-back wins for the Fins. I'm taking the points and strongly considering the upset in NJ.