Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs

The Texans and Chiefs will be looking for the very first regular season win of the 2020 season as NFL Week 1 kicks off at Arrowhead in what will be a rematch of last season’s AFC Divisional Playoff round. Kansas City will host Deshaun Watson’s Texans for the third consecutive meeting. 

Will Patrick Mahomes keep the good times rolling or will J.J. Watt stand in the way and help his team steal a win over the defending Super Bowl champs in this Week 1 matchup?

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Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Game Information

Who: Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs

When: Thursday, September 10, 2020 – 8:20pm ET

Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO

TV Network: NBC

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs History

The rivalry history between these two teams consists of 12-games, which includes two postseason matchups. In that span, the Chiefs have gotten the better of Houston 7-games to five. The two postseason matchups include an AFC Wild Card Game from 2016 that saw Kansas City come out on top 30-0. There’s also last year’s AFC Divisional contest which we will cover down below.

Last Season Recap

The Texans were sitting on a pretty early lead into the second quarter of their AFC Divisional Playoff game this past January. They had a 24-0 lead over the Chiefs and were clicking all over the field.

At this point, Deshaun Watson had completed two touchdowns, Ka’imi Fairbarn kicked a field goal, Lonnie Johnson Jr. returned a blocked punt for a touchdown, and the defense held Pat Mahomes to zero points. Everything was looking good.

Then Mahomes and the Andy Reid-coached offense found their groove. The Chiefs scored three touchdowns in less than five minutes. They added another score with 0:44 left in the half to go up 28-24.

Mahomes would go on to finish the game with 321 yards and five touchdowns. Mahomes was not sacked. He did not fumble. He did not throw an interception. From the second quarter on, Mahomes was money. Kansas City won the game 51-31.

However, when Kansas City hosted the Texans in Week 6, things were slightly different. Mahomes passed for 273 yards, three TDs, and an INT. However, Deshaun Watson passed for 280 yards, one TD, and two INT’s. He also ran in another two touchdowns. Houston won the game 31-24.

Texans vs Chiefs News & Betting Picks

Dive in even deeper on the Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs matchup with the latest breaking news regarding both teams, including injury reports and what coaches and players are saying. Also, take a look at the individual and unit (Offense/Defense) numbers in recent games.

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Expert Picks

See all of our expert picks for each Week 1 game here.

Houston Texans: +10 -125 point spread, +350 moneyline, 54½ o/u

Kansas City Chiefs: -10 +105 point spread, -450 moneyline, 54½ o/u

Straight Up Pick (Gilad Chudler)

Defending Super Bowl Champs Look to Set the Pace

Thursday night Patrick Mahomes and team face off against the Houston Texans. The defending Super Bowl champions will look to start the season off with a win and send a message that they are as good as ever.

At only 24 years old, Mahomes is arguably already the best QB in the league and he’s only getting started. He’ll be getting the ball into the hands of tight end Travis Kelce who ended last season with 1,229 receiving yards.

On the Houston side Deshaun Watson is a capable quarterback and they almost defeated the Chiefs last season in the AFC divisional round. He’ll be missing DeAndre Hopkins this year who was traded to the Arizona Cardinals in a highly unpopular trade.

This is one of the easier games to call. Just look at the difference in the moneyline odds and you’ll see that the Chiefs are clearly the favorites for Thursday and we predict they will win.

Point Spread Pick (Devlin Duckett)

The Chiefs were 10-point favorites in the AFC Divisional playoff game against the Texans last season. Kansas City stormed back from 24 points down, eventually winning the matchup 51-31. Since then, the Chiefs won the Super Bowl and have geared themselves up for a serious repeat bid in 2020-21. Patrick Mahomes is happy and healthy, primed to enjoy monumental success. Rookie RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire is stepping in to fill the shoes that Damien Williams has opted out of. Kansas City’s defense ranked seventh last season, and the 2020-21 unit is an effective complement to the Chiefs offensive juggernaut. 

The Texans have quickly gone from being contenders to pretenders, unless WRs Brandin Cooks and Randall Cobb have a resurgence. Houston traded away Deshaun Watson’s most lethal weapon in the offseason, shipping DeAndre Hopkins to Arizona for RB David Johnson. Johnson is often injured and is the epitome of “boom or bust”, while Hopkins is one of the best overall receivers in the NFL. Cobb & Cooks have been added to fill that chasm at receiver, but Houston is weaker since making these moves. The Texans defense was below average last season, and will have their work cut out for them in Arrowhead Stadium. 

Devlin’s pick: Kansas City Chiefs -10 (Even Money)

Over/Under Pick (Zack Robinson)

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs are a well-established offensive machine (28.2 PPG in 2019) while DeShaun Watson and the Houston Texans (23.6 PPG in 2019) will have to learn to solve tough games, like this one, without DeAndre Hopkins (traded to the Arizona Cardinals).

Both QB’s signed juicy extensions during the offseason and both want to show that they are worth it. The last time the Texans and Chiefs faced each other at Arrowhead, Kansas City won 51-31 and the total has gone over in four of Kansas City’s last six games against Houston. You can expect a pass-driving game; go over once again.

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Rundown

Stats 

Houston Texans 2019 Offensive Rankings (per game)

 

Kansas City Chiefs 2019 Offensive Rankings (per game)

 

  • Points Scored: 23.6 (14th)
  • Total Yards: 362.0 (13th)
  • Passing Yards: 236.4 (15th)
  • Rushing Yards: 125.6 (9th)

 

  • Points Scored: 28.2 (5th)
  • Total Yards: 379.2 (4th)
  • Passing Yards: 281.1 (5th
  • Rushing Yards: 98.1 (23rd)

 

Houston Texans 2019 Defensive Rankings (per game)

 

Kansas City Chiefs 2019 Defensive Rankings (per game)

 

  • Points Allowed: 24.1 (19th)
  • Total Yards Allowed: 388.3 (28th)
  • Passing Yards Allowed: 267.3 (29th)
  • Rushing Yards Allowed: 121.1 (25th)
  • Points Allowed: 19.3 (7th)
  • Total Yards Allowed: 349.6 (17th)
  • Passing Yards Allowed: 221.4 (8th)
  • Rushing Yards Allowed: 128.2 (26th)

 

Trends

  • The last three games in this match-up hit the over
  • Kansas City is 5-0 SU at home in September since 2016
  • Kansas City is 4-0 ATS in their last four September home games
  • Houston is 3-0 ATS in their last three September road games
  • Four of Houston’s last five road games hit the under
  • Houston are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against Kansas City.
  • Houston are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against Kansas City.
  • Houston are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games played in week 1.
  • The TOTAL has gone UNDER in 12 of Houston’s last 16 games played in September.
  • Kansas City are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games.
  • The TOTAL has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 9 games.
  • Kansas City are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
  • Kansas City are 11-0 SU in their last 11 games played in September.
  • Kansas City are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games when playing as the favorite.

Edge

Results

Injuries

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs FAQs

Who is favored to win the Kansas City vs Houston Game?

The Kansas City Chiefs are 10-point favorites against the spread in their Week 1 matchup against the Houston Texans. 

How many times have the Texans beat the Chiefs?

The Texans are 7-5 all time against Kansas City. Therefore, Houston has beat the Chiefs 7 times before.

Are the Chiefs from Kansas or Missouri?

The Kansas City Chiefs hail from Kansas City, Missouri.

What is the point spread on the Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans Week 1 Game?

The point spread on the Kansas City Chiefs’ Week 1 Game is set at ten points. The Chiefs are pegged as the favorite ATS versus the Texans in 2020’s NFL Opening Day.

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