Miami Dolphins vs Jacksonville Jaguars News & Picks
Straight Up (Sebastian Morera)
Week 3 starts off with a battle of facial hair as Gardner Minshew and the Jacksonville Jaguars play host to Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Miami Dolphins. The Fins come in with a bit of desperation following their 0-2 start. Miami kicked the season with a 21-11 road loss to New England and followed with a 31-28 loss to Buffalo at home. Now, facing an 0-3 start in the AFC East, the Fins’ chances of a divisional title are about to collapse.
The odds favor the Jags and are giving them a 3-point spread to cover. Jacksonville nearly upset the Tennessee Titans last week, so it’s clear the odds are taking that into consideration. However, this contest is a coin flip. While Fitzpatrick has 2 touchdowns to 3 interceptions already, he’s still capable of showing up and dropping 4 touchdowns. But even if he were able to do that, I believe Minshew would be able to match Fitz step-for-step. For this reason, I’m sticking with the Jaguars once again.
Against the Spread (Devlin Duckett)
Miami visits Jacksonville searching for their first win of the 2020-21 NFL season. The Dolphins have faced stiff competition the first two weeks, losing to the Patriots and Bills. Miami almost upended Buffalo in Week 2, and will be aggressive against a Jacksonville team that’s mediocre, in reality.
Dolphins QB Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for 328 yards and two touchdowns against a stingy Buffalo defense, and will continue gunslinging. Miami’s defense is beatable, especially with star CB Byron Jones hobbled, so Gardner Minshew should have great success as well. I’m expecting a shootout, with the outcome of the game decided on the final drive.
The Jaguars are 2-0 ATS so far, but that’s because they’ve been heavy underdogs, and were underestimated as such. Jacksonville is 2-6 in its last eight games as the favorite. Brian Flores’ Dolphins won’t be caught off guard in Jacksonville, and Miami will leave victorious from the battle for Florida.
Over/Under (Zack Robinson)
The beard against the mustache.
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is holding the fort as the Miami Dolphins starter but the Dolphins are averaging just 19.5 points per game (seventh-worst in the league). In the absence of high-quality wide receivers, tight end Mike Gesicki is becoming Fitzpatrick’s preferred target (8 REC, 130 YDS, 1 TD in Week 2).
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive unit is producing 28.5 points per game, enough to be among the ten most productive teams so far. QB Gardner Minshew is 6-2 (TD/INT) and RB James Robinson is turning out to be a good surprise.
The Total has gone under in six of Jacksonville’s last seven games against the Dolphins. Go under once again as neither team will be 100% rested.