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Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

This Week 1 game of Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots has everyone is talking about how the New England Patriots will begin the post-Tom Brady era this September. The Patriots and the Buccaneers will be mentioned in the same sentence for at least the next two years.

The who’s responsible for the Patriots’ success talks are inevitable. I, for one, am looking forward to seeing how the season plays out for these teams. We’ll get a first glimpse into Bill Belichick’s team on Sunday, September 13 when the Pats take on their division rival from down south, the Miami Dolphins.

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Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots Game Information

Who: Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

When: Sunday, September 13, 2020 – 1:00pm ET

Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA

TV Network: CBS

Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots History

Since these two are divisional rivals, it should come across as no surprise to see they’ve played 109 times prior. Surprisingly enough, the Dolphins lead the series 56-53. In years past, the Patriots have for the most part dominated Miami and the entire AFC East. It will be interesting to see if this continues following Brady’s departure or if we’ll finally see a turnaround by one of the other three teams. The sportsbook certainly doesn’t see Miami being that team, giving the lowest shot, at +700 odds to win the division.

Last Season Recap

The Dolphins had an abysmal start to the year. After losing their season opener to Baltimore 10-59, Miami would concede a 0-43 shutout loss to New England. 

Ryan Fitzpatrick and Josh Rosen combined for 142 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. The Miami running game wasn’t any better. Five players combined for 42 yards on 15 carries. It was an ugly game for both the Dolphins and their fans. 

The Pats obviously fared much better. Brady had a tremendous outing completing 20/28 attempts for 264 passing yards, 2 touchdowns and zero interceptions. The running game made considerable contributions mostly from Sony Michel, who had 83 rushing yards and a touchdown. 

Miami got the last laugh on the season though. In the final 3:53 minutes of their Week 17 match, the Dolphins marched down the field for a 13-play 75-yard drive to score with 0:24 seconds left on the clock. Ryan Fitzpatrick hit Mike Gesicki from five yards out to defeat the Patriots 27-24, taking a first-round playoff bye away from their bitter rivals.

NFL Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots News & Betting Picks

Check out our detailed look at the Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots NFL betting matchup down below. We’ll be covering the latest news from both AFC East teams. We will also be covering any injury updates and last year’s team statistics.

Miami ended their season with a 5-11 record. They posted an NFL-worst minus-188-point differential. There was little to be excited about in Miami, except looking forward to the next draft day.

The Dolphins seemed to have given up early in the season. That’ll happen when you lose your first six games and are outscored 238-77. The players seemed unmotivated and outmatched; coach Brian Flores seemed inexperienced at times.

The Fins, however, ended their season on a high note with back-to-back wins over Cincinnati (38-35 in OT) and New England (27-24).

Miami had the fifth selection in the NFL Draft, which they used to pick Tua Tagovailoa from Alabama. They had two other picks in the first round which they used to pick up USC’s OT Austin Jackson and Auburn’s CB Noah Igbinoghene.

Tua helped lead Alabama to a 2017 CFP National Championship in which he was named game MVP, and he was a Heisman Trophy finalist. The 22-year old Hawaiian also won the Maxwell Award, Walter Camp Award, SEC Offensive Player of the Year, First-team All-SEC, and All-American in 2018. In 2019, Tua was named to Second-team All-SEC.

At Miami, Tua will have Jordan Howard, Matt Breida, DeVante Parker, Preston Williams, Albert Wilson, and Mike Gesicki at his disposal. Hopefully, this will be enough to add a layer of dynamism to the Dolphin’s offense.

The talk around New England revolves around Tom Brady’s departure and the arrival of Cam Newton. There’s so much that can be said about this situation. The most obvious conversation revolves around the Brady-Belichick split. After six Super Bowl Odds, there’s no question that we lived through a New England dynasty. Will that dynasty continue to flourish without Brady?

To ensure the dynasty lives on, New England has brought in Cam Newton. In doing so, they’ve become the first team in NFL history to replace one former MVP with another. This season, Newton is a +2400 longshot in our odds to win the NFL MVP award. His MVP season came in 2015 when he put up 3,837 passing yards, 35 touchdowns, 10 interceptions and a 99.4 passer rating. Additionally, Newton raked in 636 rushing yards and 10 rushing touchdowns. 

In 2019, Newton played only two games before being placed on IR. However, his numbers haven’t been as eye-catching since his MVP season. One interesting talking point regarding this situation is that Cam Newton is the one quarterback who never gets calls. Brady, on the other hand, was infamous for getting every call he wanted. We’ll find out if these trends continue despite the changes in scenery. 

New England didn’t make any big moves in the offseason, particularly on offense.

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Expert Picks

See all of our expert picks for each Week 1 game here.

Miami Dolphins: +6 ½, +240 moneyline, 43 o/u

New England Patriots: -6 ½, -290 moneyline, 43 o/u

Straight Up Pick (Gilad Chudler)

New England Begins Post-Brady Era

After two decades with Tom Brady, the New England Patriots are entering a new age. For the first time in years the AFC East is up for grabs. Replacing Brady is Cam Newton who is reported to be looking sharp in training camp.

One major issue for New England is the fact that several players have opted out due to COVID-19. This could be a major issue as the season progresses but remains to be seen.

The Dolphins have been undergoing a major rebuild and will be an interesting team to watch in 2020. Despite the changes, Ryan Fitzpatrick and the rest of the Miami offense doesn’t have the juice needed to overcome one of the NFL’s best defensive teams. New England should win this game without too much trouble.

Point Spread Pick (Devlin Duckett)

The Dolphins splash into the 2020-21 season like a pod of possessed mammals. Head coach Brian Flores has built an army in Miami, and they’re ready for battle. The Dolphins kept the players they believed fit their system and philosophy, and replaced everyone else. Miami brought in more than a dozen free agents and high draft choices to compete for starting positions this season. There is no earlier model to compare this Dolphins revamp to, so the sky’s the limit. Expect Miami to truly compete in every game they play in. Fitzmagic captains the Dolphins’ first skirmish of the season with the Pats. 

The spoils of New England’s crumbling empire are ripe for the picking. The Patriots face the most difficult schedule in the NFL, without Tom Brady and a bucket full of covid opt-outs. Yes, Cam Newton has shown up to save the day behind center, but which Newton will take the field? The 2015 NFL MVP, or the guy who played only two games last season, hampered by a lingering foot injury? It’s unlikely that things are going as swimmingly as Newton and the Patriots report. Both the offense and defense are in flux for New England, and the Patriots will barely survive the Dolphins’ intense energy. 

Over/Under Pick (Zack Robinson)

The Brady-less era begins not only for the New England Patriots, but for all the AFC East, and the best way to kick things off is with a division matchup. Cam Newton will be under center for the renewed Pats which also lost several key defensive players, but Bill Belichick is still in charge, so you can expect anything from New England.

The Miami Dolphins selected QB Tua Tagovailoa with the fifth overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft but no fast, HC Brian Flores confirmed that the veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick will be the starter in Foxborough. ‘Fitzmagic’ and the Dolphins managed to beat the Patriots 27-24 last December at Gillette Stadium and this looks like a great opportunity to do it again; go with the over as both defensive units are in transition.

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Rundown


Miami 2019 Offensive Rankings(per game)

New England 2019 Offensive Rankings(per game)

●Points Scored: 19.13 (14th)

Total Yards: 345.5 (18th)

Passing Yards: 237.8(14th)

Rushing Yards: 72.3 (15th)

Points Scored: 25.47 (7th)

Total Yards: 353.5 (16th)

Passing Yards: 245.29 (9th)

Rushing Yards: 106.06 (18th)

Miami 2019 Defensive Rankings (per game)

New England 2019 Defensive Rankings(per game)

●Points Allowed: 30.88 (9th)

Total Yards Allowed: 341.6 (14th)

Passing Yards Allowed: 262.38 (11th)

Rushing Yards Allowed: 135.5 (26th)

Points Allowed: 14.4 (1st)

Total Yards Allowed: 352.6 (18th)

Passing Yards Allowed: 173.8 (1st)

Rushing Yards Allowed: 101.71 (8th)


New England is 16-4 SU at home vs. Miami since 2000

New England is 14-6 ATS at home vs. Miami since 2000

New England is 10-1 SU at home vs. Miami since 2009

New England is 17-3 SU at home in September since 2008

Miami is 7-13 SU on the road in September since 2009




Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots FAQ

Who is favored to win the Dolphins Patriots NFL Game?

The Patriots are -7 point favorites ATS in their Week 1 AFC East matchup against the Dolphins.

How many times have the Dolphins beaten the Patriots?

The Dolphins have faced New England 109 times and have won 56 of those matchups.

Who owns the Patriots?

Robert Kraft owns the New England Patriots. He bought the team in 1994 for $172 million. The team is now worth over 20 times that price.

What channel is the Dolphins vs. Patriots Game on?

CBS will broadcast the Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots Week 1 match on Sunday, September 13th.