Prime Time Parlay – TNF, SNF & MNF – Week 5
When making bets on the NFL, getting ahead of the action is vital to winning. Making early bets in the week can ensure the best price for your bet well before game day. This week BetUS features a three-team parlay with action on each of the prime-time games. Head to the sportsbook early and lock in the best prices likely to be gone by game day.
Take a look at the odds yourself at any time on our NFL betting lines page and place a wager on your favorite team.
TNF: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6) at Chicago Bears (44½)
Anyone who laid the touchdown plus the hook with the Buccaneers last outing came away disappointed. And everyone saw the highlight that led to that difference, a 78-yard house call by Chargers’ corner Michael Davis. After cleaning up a sloppy start, the Bucs won the turnover battle by one and outgained the Chargers on the ground by 69 yards.
The Bears last week demonstrated: a) they have a good balanced defense; b) the Colts have a very good balanced defense; and c) when you rush for 28 yards total in a game, you will lose. The only game so far this year in which an under player could feel comfortable.
Early bettors enthusiastically took the Bears once the line opened at +6½ and we expect soon that the +6 will soon disappear. Maybe because the Buccaneers released their estimate practice report today — required for teams playing on a short week, estimating what everyone’s participation level in practice would have been if they had one — and it was a mess. Or it sounded worse than it was, with TE O.J. Howard lost to IR with an Achilles and adding to it WR Mike Evans, RB LeSean McCoy and WR Scotty Miller as non-participants.
Facing a banged up team travelling on a short week coming off a white-knuckled victory, the Bears are a tempting play at +6½ . But we’ll buck the trend and suggest that coach Bruce Arians’ report might be more thorough than it needs to be.Most of the weapons Tom Brady had last week (Howard excluded) should be in the line-up on Thursday.
Take the Buccaneers’ moneyline, but even consider waiting to see if it dips even lower while opening support comes for Chicago.
Parlay Leg #1: Buccaneers Moneyline -240
SNF: Minnesota Vikings (58) at Seattle Seahawks (-7)
Against the Houston Texans last week, the Minnesota Vikings won the turnover margin and outgained them on the ground by 66 yards. Yet Vikings’ faithful still had to sweat out the win all the way to the final minute mark, ending on a Texans’ 4th and 5 turned over on downs after a replay review nullified the earlier completion. A hard-earned victory for the 1-3 Minnesota Vikings.
Meanwhile, Seattle played vanilla safety against the Dolphins, which worked inasmuch as they allowed Miami to have as many field goals attempts as they wanted. Failing to kick their opponent to death, Miami did come within two points in the fourth quarter — but ended up poking the bear, and the ‘Hawks hung two more touchdowns on them.
Money came in against the Seahawks last game, as they got bet down to -5 at close and the market expected Miami to put up more than 23 points. We’d expect something similar this week, with the +7½ here being whittled down to +7 soon. While that might be a fine play now, we’ll also hope the moneyline drops a bit and add it to the parlay. For now, this is the current price.
Parlay Leg #2: Seahawks Moneyline -325
MNF: Los Angeles Chargers (52) at New Orleans Saints (-7½)
The Los Angeles Chargers, mentioned above, squandered what seemed to be a very winnable game against Tampa Bay. The combination of coaching miscues, failed execution and roster holes all helped pull defeat from the jaws of victory. And they lost RB Austin Ekeler.
The Saints on the other hand played a get-right game against a soft opponent, yet still giving up an interception and a 14-0 lead within five minutes. Then, the Lions acted like the Lions, and gave up five straight touchdowns. Regardless, the Saints had only a six-point lead with just under four minutes left in the game, having to grind out the clock preventing Detroit’s potential comeback drive.
We still don’t trust the Saints and like the idea of backing Justin Herbert in an empty Superdome with over a touchdown. There’s a chance the Saints won’t have starting right tackle Ryan Ramczyk, and the Chargers get the extra day to rehab some of their starters on the brink of returning. There hasn’t been any real movement in this number, so the +7½ number (the most important in this parlay) is still available, and should be locked in if and when you can.
Parlay Leg #3: Chargers +7½
Get the best of the first two numbers and take the points with the Chargers. Currently, the parlay pays at +262 odds.