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Home » Sports Betting News » Bet On NFL Games » NFL News » Bears vs Saints: NFC Wild Card Game Analysis

Bears vs Saints: NFC Wild Card Game Analysis

Playoff Betting

January 8, 2021
in NFL News
Mitchell Trubisky of the Chicago Bears turns to hand offsides against the Green Bay Packers at Soldier Field

Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images/AFP

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It’s now or never for Drew Brees and the Super Bowl hopeful New Orleans Saints!

The NFC South champs will look to dispatch the Chicago Bears when the two teams square off in their NFC wild card playoff opener on Sunday. Following three straight stunning postseason finishes, New Orleans is hoping to take the first step toward what they hope will be an appearance in Super Bowl LV in February.

For Chicago, the Bears will look to pull off the epic sportsbook betting upset despite coming into the playoffs fresh off an embarrassing season-ending loss. Will the Saints take care of business as the NFL online betting favorite or will the Bears cover the spread or win outright?

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With the value-packed NFL Playoff odds up and running, let’s find out where the best NFL betting value lies in this matchup.

Game: Chicago Bears (8-8) at New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans
Time: 4:40 p.m. ET
Television: CBS

Check out the NFL Playoff Power Rankings!

Wild Card Betting Lines

Team Point Spread Moneyline Over/Under Team Total
      Bears         +10 +400 47   17½
Saints         -10 -500           47             28½

Head-to-Head

New Orleans has won six straight in this NFC series dating back to 2011. The Saints recorded a narrow 26-23 overtime road win over the Bears in Week 8 on Nov. 1 as Drew Brees tossed two TD passes and no picks and Alvin Kamara recorded 163 yards from scrimmage.

The Bears are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New Orleans and 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings overall.

Chicago Bears

Betting Record

Team Record ATS ATS Home ATS Away ATS Fave ATS
Dog
O/U
Bears   8-8 8-8 3-5 5-3 1-2 7-6 8-8

Last Game

Chicago reached the playoffs despite suffering an embarrassing 35-16 home loss against NFC North rival Green Bay in their regular season finale on Sunday. Mitch Trubisky went an efficient 33-for-42 for 252 yards, but failed to throw a touchdown pass while tossing one interception. Running back David Montgomery rushed for 69 yards and one score on 22 carries, but it wasn’t nearly enough as the Bears saw their three-game winning streak emphatically snapped.

Still, since Trubisky took over for veteran Nick Foles almost seven weeks ago, the No. 2 overall pick in the 2017 NFL Draft has completed a blistering 70 percent of his passes for 1,495 yards with 10 touchdowns and five interceptions.

“I feel like I’ve gotten better over these last couple weeks,” Trubisky said.

Now, the largest underdog in all six wild card contests, head coach Matt Nagy says his team has plenty of room for improvement.

“(An 8-8 record) is not perfect,” Nagy said. “We have a lot of things to get better at, but we can’t worry about that. Now what we need to do is worry about everything we can to be the best team that we can on Sunday against the Saints.”

Stats Pack

The Bears finished the regular season ranked an uninspiring 26th in total offense, 22nd in passing, 25th in rushing and 22nd in scoring (23.3 ppg). Defensively, Chicago closed out the regular season ranked 11th overall, 12th against the pass, 15th against the run and 14th in points allowed (23.1 ppg).

Trends

While Mitch Trubisky has definitely looked solid the last six weeks, it sure doesn’t bode well that the former North Carolina star has thrown one interception in each of the last three weeks.

Injury Report

Deon Bush – S

Buster Skrine – CB

Jaylon Johnson – CB

Here is a look at the latest Super Bowl Odds!

New Orleans Saints

Betting Record

Team Record ATS ATS Home ATS Away ATS Fave ATS
Dog
O/U
Saints   12-4 9-6-1 4-3-1 5-3 8-6 1-0-1 10-6

Last Game

The Saints won their final two regular season games in emphatic fashion by routing Minnesota 52-33 in Week 16 before capping off their 2020 regular season with a 33-7 smackdown of Carolina on Sunday.

Drew Brees passed for a modest 201 yards but tossed three TD pases and no interceptions to lead the way to victory. Veteran wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders had nine catches for 63 yards and one score while Jared Cook and Austin Carr both added TD grabs in the win.

More importantly, the league schedule-makers gave New Orleans a huge break by scheduling this game on Sunday. Leading rusher and dual-threat superstar Alvin Kamar is eligible to be back on the field following a one-game absence after testing positive for COVID-19.

“A Sunday game he can play,” coach Sean Payton said.”Obviously, (any preparation) during the week will have to be Zoomed,” Payton said.

Without Kamara, Payton turned to former running back turned wide receiver Ty Montgomery who responded by rushing for 105 yards on 18 carries against the Panthers.

Stats Pack

New Orleans finished the regular season ranked 12th in total offense, 19th in passing, 6th in rushing and a stellar 5th in scoring (30.1 ppg). Defensively, the Saints closed out the 2020 regular season ranked fourth overall, fifth against the pass, 4th against the run and fifth in points allowed (21.1 ppg).

Check out the value-packed NFL playoff special odds!

Trends

The Saints have won eight of the last nine games that future Hall of Fame signal-caller Drew Brees has played in while scoring at least 30 points in five of those contests!

Injury Report

Not only is Alvin Kamar expected back, but Brees could have superstar wide receiver Michael Thomas back in action with the veteran eligible to come off of injured reserve for the playoffs.

Betting on the Game

The Saints are clearly back to their high-scoring ways after putting a mind-boggling 85 points on the board over their final two regular season contests. Chicago had scored 30 or more in six straight – until getting mostly shut down against Green Bay in Week 17!

Here is a look at the latest odds to win Super Bowl LV!

Moneyline

Despite their solid play down the stretch run portion of the regular season, Chicago is just 3-7 SU in its last 10 games. While the Bears are 0-5 SU against New Orleans in the last five meetings, Chicago has managed to go an impressive 6-3 SU in its last nine road games. New Orleans is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games, 5-1 SU in its last six home games and an identical 5-1 SU in their last six home dates against Chicago.

Point Spread

Chicago has gone a pitiful 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games following a double-digit loss at home and discouraging 2-6 ATS in their last 8 playoff games. The Bears are also1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a winning home record.

On the flip side, the Saints are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. And 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win. New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. But a winless 0-5 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite.

Let’s look at every playoff team’s Over/Under analysis!

Over/Under

The Over is 4-0 in Chicago’s  last 4 games against their NFC counterparts and 5-1 in the Bears’ last six games overall. However, the Under is 13-5 in Chicago’s last 18 games following a straight up loss and 12-5 in their last 17 games as a road underdog.

The Under is 4-0 in New Orleans’ last 4 games in January. Under is 5-2 in the Saints last seven home games as a favorite. The Under is 6-1 in New Orleans’ last seven games following an SU win and 5-2 in the Saints’ ;ast seven games against their NFC counterparts.

If you’re new to online sports betting and you’re looking to learn more about how to bet on sports online, we’ve got your back! At America’s No. 1 online sportsbook, you can place your NFL bets in our online sportsbook, check out our sportsbook reviews and learn what other customers have to say about betting online at BetUS.

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Tags: Chicago BearsChicago Bears vs New Orleans SaintsNew Orleans SaintsNFL Wild Card
Eric Williams

Eric Williams

A native of hard-knocks Philadelphia, Eric Williams has been working his magic in the sports and sports betting betting industry for nearly two decades. The son of legendary track and field coach George ‘Papa Bear’ Williams, Eric is arguable the world’s biggest Boston Celtics and Miami Dolphins fan whose love of both franchise predates the legendary careers of Larry Bird and Dan Marino. A veteran of the United States Air Force Reserves and former LaSalle University and Penn State University student that lives, eats and breathes sports from sun up to sun down. Eric landed his first professional sports writing job while still just a senior at Martin Luther King high school in Philadelphia and has held various titles in the print, broadcast and online journalism industry since then. In addition to his unrivaled expertise as a sports betting writer and analyst, Eric also doubles as a USPTA-certified tennis instructor and proud owner of Williams’ Sweet Spot Tennis Academy LLC just outside of San Antonio, Texas. In addition to his love for the sports betting industry, Eric is also an avid swimmer, runner, gardener and cook that has a love for feeding the homeless in and around San Antonio.

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