Another Sunday has gone by and the NFL played another round of exciting games. The NFL has altered the schedule for eight teams due to the Covid-19 pandemic. You can find all the current NFL schedule changes on our NFL Covid page.
The Patriots and Broncos were supposed to play Sunday but will now play next Sunday in Week 6. The Bills and Titans will play on Tuesday and will be considered part of Week 5. I honestly do not like how the NFL is dealing with Covid-19 and hope it makes some big changes soon.
Trying to keep up wth the NFL schedule changes like… pic.twitter.com/zrErUifHAz
— MySportsbook (@MySportsbooklv) October 12, 2020
Make sure you stay up-to-date on all the NFL news on our NFL Locker Room page. You can find betting advice on that page and on our match-up section. You can take advantage of all your NFL research by placing your bets on our NFL sportsbook.
Week 5 Sunday Headlines
There were only two “upsets” that happened on Sunday. The upset that everyone is talking about is the Las Vegas Raiders‘ victory over the defending Super Bowl Champion Chiefs. The other upset was by the Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins blew out the team that lost to the Chiefs in Super Bowl LIV, the San Francisco 49ers.
Yesterday’s loss to the Raiders was the first time Patrick Mahomes has lost by more than 7 points in his NFL career 👀 pic.twitter.com/OK7Fim2Qn7
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) October 12, 2020
The other major headline this week is the season-ending injury that Dak Prescott suffered during the Cowboys’ win over the New York Giants. He suffered a compound fracture of his ankle and underwent surgery to repair it. Below are all the headlines for Week 5 of the NFL Season:
The opposite has been said, but this moment, Dak Prescott, the epitome, and the embodiment of leadership. You don’t cry over things you don’t care about immensely.
— Emmanuel Acho (@EmmanuelAcho) October 11, 2020
- The (3-2) Cardinals take care of business in NY as they defeated the (0-5) Jets 30-10
- The (4-1) Ravens’ defense had seven sacks in a blowout 27-3 victory over the (1-3-1) Bengals
- (4-0) Pittsburgh stays perfect thanks to four TDs from Chase Claypool as they dominated the (1-3-1) Eagles 38-29 at Heinz Field.
- The (1-4) Texans get their first win of the season under new head coach 30-14 over the Jaguars.
- Kansas City (4-1) loses at home its first game of the season 40-32 to an inconsistent (3-2) Raiders team
- Aaron Donald has a four sack day to lead his (4-1) Rams to a 30-10 victory in Washington (1-4)
- The (0-5) Falcons fired their head coach and GM after they fell to the (3-2) Panthers 23-16
- Miami QB Fitspatrick has nearly perfect game in a blowout road victory 43-17 of the struggling 49ers
- Cleveland moves to (4-1) for the first time since 1994 as they defeated a good (3-2) Colts team 32-23
- The (2-3) Cowboys’ star QB Dak Prescott had to be carted off the field in a 37-34 thriller over the (0-5) Giants
- It took the (5-0) Seahawks less than two minutes to score three TDs in a close 27-26 victory over the (1-4) Vikings
Buy and Sell
There has been a major issue with teams I buy, they lose next week. The Bucs and the Colts were both on my Week 4 buy list. They both lost. I am starting to think the NFL is fixing the games based on my articles (not really). Let’s take a look at this week’s list.
Buying the Winner of Bears-Panthers to Make the Playoffs
The 4-1 Bears will head to Carolina to play the (3-2) Panthers on Sunday of Week 6. The NFC has four teams fighting for two Wild-Card spots (Cardinals, Panthers, Saints, and Bears). My opinion is that the first Wild-Card spot is going to be had by the Rams. The next two will be gobbled up by one of the four teams I listed.
Da Bears, Da Bears, Da Bears
I did not expect the Bears to start the season 3-0 and win four out of five. I keep expecting them to lose each week and they continue to find ways to win. A football season is long and there are a lot of ‘peaks and valleys. Good teams find ways to win when they do not perform well. I am not saying the Bears are a good team. But, they have continued to find ways to win, which has me wondering, “Are they actually good?’
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) October 9, 2020
“Da Bears” have beat their opponents by an average of a little more than a field goal in their four wins. They statistically have not played like a team that is 4-1. Their offense ranks 27th and 23rd in total rush yards and pass yards. Their defense has been their saving grace allowing only four passing TDs, which is best in the NFL. Chicago’s defense is just in the top-10 in opponents yards per game.
They somehow beat a good Bucs team with a leading rusher of 29 yards and one receiver to go over 40 yards. They lost the ToP battle (31:32 to 28:28) and the total yards battle (339 to 243) while tying the Bucs with one turnover a piece. The Bears seem to defy football logic.
After the Bears Week 6 matchup with Carolina the Bears will face the Rams, Saints, Titans and Vikings before their bye week in Week 11. I would not be surprised if the Bears lost all five of those games (especially after I wrote about them in my buy section). I am coming around to the idea that the Bears could win three or four of those games. Their quest to try and stay in the playoff hunt starts with the Panthers.
Carolina is on a three-game winning streak behind solid play from QB Teddy Bridgewater. The Panthers totaled 437 net yards and have topped 400 yards three times in the first five games. Dating to 2013, Carolina has averaged just 3.6 400-yard games per season.
Bridgewater has found his groove offensively though he has been without his best weapon Christian McCaffrey the past three weeks. RB Mike Davis has filled in nicely in McCaffrey’s absence. Davis has an NFL-best 351 scrimmage yards from Weeks 3-5. Bridgewater is taking care of the ball (one turnover in the three previous games) and controlling the game nicely as his offensive line has helped by not allowing a sack in two consecutive games.
The Panthers’ young defense has not allowed more than 21 points in their three wins. Carolina’s defense has six takeaways in the last three games. The Panthers have one of the youngest defensive units in the NFL, which was a cause for concern entering the season. Now the group is starting to click and they seem to be feeding off of one another. I’m sure this unit will continue to have growing pains as the season goes on.
Full stats recap from today's win
🔵 Bridgewater's record half
🔵 Davis has most scrimmage yds over last 3 weeks
🔵 Samuel leading on 3rd down
🔵 No sacks allowed in back-to-back gameshttps://t.co/J1sAtQiZyK
— Will Bryan (@Pantherstatsguy) October 11, 2020
Bears +2½ find a way to keep this close and win.
Buying the Rams (-3½ vs the 49ers)
Simply put I think the (4-1) Rams are currently more than 3½ points better than the 2-3 49ers in San Francisco . I could see the Rams eventually surpassing the Seahawks and winning the NFC West. The Rams are two years removed from a Super Bowl appearance and need to be looked at like a Super Bowl contender.
Here is a look at the latest Super Bowl Odds
The Rams’ only loss came at the hands of the undefeated Bills. The Rams did enough to win the game but could not finish strong. The Rams have a top-10 offense and defense. They also have one of the most disruptive defensive players in Aaron Donald. Donald made his presence felt with four sacks in the Rams’ most recent win over Washington.
The 49ers are a bit of a train wreck. They benched their starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo as the Dolphins continually made him look bad. The Niners are battling injuries at practically every position and seem to be falling apart. I do believe Coach Kyle Shanahan can keep his team competitive and possibly end the season .500.
The Rams should be able to win by more than 3½ points in San Francisco. This seems like that best bet in Week 6.
Selling 49ers to make the Playoffs
In last week’s Sunday School I was holding the 49ers to make the playoffs. I no longer think this will happen. The Niners are below .500 and have an uphill battle to try and keep up with the Bears, Panthers, Cardinals, and Bucs/Saints. This season San Fran has only beaten teams from N.Y. and those teams are 0-10 combined!
The 49ers’ upcoming schedule is brutal. Their next five games are against the Rams, Patriots, Seahawks, Packers. and Saints (combined record of 17-5). They could really shake things up with some wins over these teams. For now, I am going to say they are in trouble and I want to sell before the ship crashes.
Are the 49ers Going to Miss the Playoffs?
San Francisco's next 7 games:
— FOX Sports Radio (@FoxSportsRadio) October 12, 2020
Selling the Giants -3 vs Washington
The 0-5 Giants are at home against the 1-4 Football Team and yes they are the favorites. I know Washington is on its QB and is not a good football team. But, come on, the winless Giants are three-point favorites?
The Giants are dead last in rushing yards per game with 79, and 28th in passing yards per game with 203. They rank 31st in points per game with 16.2. The Giants’ offense is downright bad. The only thing worse is the team we call the Jets and maybe the Football Team. I am not saying that this line is wrong. I just can’t buy it.
Washington could be tied for first in the NFC East with a victory over the Giants and losses by the Cowboys and Eagles. The Giants could be right in the NFC East mix with a win at home against their division rivals. This is a pivotal game for both these franchises as they both try to get some respect around the league. The whole of the NFC East is a dumpster fire.
Take Washington +3
And congratulations to my friend Alex Smith, for fighting back from a life-threatening injury to start at quarterback again for the Washington Football Team. It’s a testament to his strength, determination and the love and support of his family. https://t.co/R3PO0jjFbf
— Barack Obama (@BarackObama) October 12, 2020