After pulling off a stunning upset in the AFC Wild-Card round, all eyes are on Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns as they get set for their Divisional-Round matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday.
Cleveland dispatched Pittsburgh last weekend. Now, Mayfield & Co. will try to fry a bigger fish when they visit the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs.
Are the Browns a legitimate sportsbook betting threat to get the outright, moneyline road win? Can Cleveland cover the ATS betting spread as a double-digit road dog if they don’t win outright?
Are the defending champion Chiefs an online betting lock to advance to the AFC Championship or is an upset of epic proportions brewing for the top seed in the AFC?
Let’s find out the answers to all those questions, but first, let’s take a look at all of the NFL Playoff Odds for the divisional round.
| Game: Cleveland Browns (12-5) at Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO Time: 3:05 p.m. ET Television: CBS |
Betting Lines
| Team | Point Spread | Moneyline | Over/Under | Team Total |
| Browns | +10 | +375 | 57 | 23½ |
| Chiefs | -10 | -475 | 57 | 33½ |
Head-to-Head
Kansas City has won three straight and four of five against Cleveland dating to 2010. The Chiefs recorded a 37-21 road win over the Browns the last time these two met on Nov. 4, 2018.
The good news for NFL bettors that think the Browns can cover the spread as a double-digit road dog is the fact that Cleveland has gone 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings in this rivalry while the road team has gone a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
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Cleveland Browns
Betting Record
| Team | Record | ATS | ATS Home | ATS Away | ATS Fave | ATS Dog |
O/U |
| Browns | 12-5 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 10-7 |
Next game: Winner Reaches AFC Championship
Last Game
Cleveland jumped all over Pittsburgh to stun the AFC North rival Steelers, 48-37. The Browns put a jaw-dropping 28 points on the board in the first quarter to set an NFL record for most first-quarter points in playoff history.
Baker Mayfield passed for 263 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions while Kareem Hunt rushed for two scores and added a touchdown reception in the win. Defensively, the Browns picked off Steelers future Hall of Fame quarterback Ben Roethlisberger a whopping four times to bring Pittsburgh’s postseason to an abrupt halt.
Stats Pack
Cleveland finished the regular season ranked 16th in total offense, 24th in passing, a stellar third in rushing, and modest 14th in scoring (25.5 ppg). The Browns also finished 17th in total defense, 22nd against the pass, ninth against the run, and 21st in points allowed (26.2 ppg).
Trends
The Browns scored 40 points or more four times this season and that’s three more than Kansas City. More importantly, Mayfield has not thrown a single interception in four consecutive games while throwing one pick over Cleveland’s last nine games overall!
Injury Report
Stephen Carlson – TE
JC Tretter – C
Sheldon Richardson – DT
Wyatt Teller – G
Myles Garrett – DE
David Njoku – TE
Jack Conklin – T
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Kansas City Chiefs
Betting Record
| Team | Record | ATS | ATS Home | ATS Away | ATS Fave | ATS Dog |
O/U |
| Chiefs | 14-2 | 6-9-1 | 3-5 | 3-4-1 | 5-8-1 | 1-1 | 8-8 |
Next game: Winner Reaches AFC Championship
Check out some expert NFL Props Odds predictions for this matchup!
Last Game
Kansas City had a first-round bye as the top seed in the AFC portion of the playoffs. Prior to dropping their meaningless regular-season finale against the AFC West rival Chargers, the Chiefs had won 10 consecutive games while limiting five of those opponents to 17 points or less.
Stats Pack
Kansas City enters the playoffs ranked first in total offense, first in passing, 16th in rushing and sixth in scoring (29.6 ppg). Defensively, the Chiefs finished the regular season ranked 16th overall, 14th against the pass, 21st against the run, but an encouraging 10th in points allowed (22.6 ppg).
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Trends
Keep in mind that each of Kansas City’s last seven victories have all come by six points or less with four of those victories coming by a field goal or less.
Injury Report
Derrick Nnadi – DT
Mike Remmers – OL
Le’Veon Bell – RB
Ben Niemann – LB
Clyde Edwards-Helaire – RB
Tyreek Hill – WR
Betting on the Game
Both teams have struggled to cover the spread over the last eight weeks. The Chiefs have put at least 30 points on the board in six of their last 10 games. The Browns have scored 41 points or more in three of their last six games, though two of those occasions resulted in losses.
Moneyline
Kansas City has won a whopping 23 of its last 25 games overall. Wow! The bad news is that both of those defeats have come at Arrowhead Stadium where the Chiefs have gone 13-2 SU in their last 15 home dates. Not only have the Browns gone 7-2 SU over their last nine games, but Cleveland has also managed to go 5-1 SU in its last six road games.
Point Spread
Despite their winning ways, Kansas City has gone a dismal 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games as a favorite, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Cleveland has gone an uninspiring 4-11 ATS in its last 15 road games, 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games against teams from the AFC and 0-4 ATS in its last four games following an ATS win.
Over/Under
The Browns have topped their O/U total in two straight games and five of their last seven games overall. The Over is 3-1 in Kansas City’s last four games and 6-4 in the Chiefs’ last 10 games overall.
The Over is 4-0 in Cleveland’s last four games against a team with a winning record and 5-1 in the Browns last six games against teams from the AFC. The Over is 4-0 in Kansas City’s last four games in the month of January.
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