NFL betting action to take to the sportsbook as NFC bottom-dwellers scrape what they can of the 2020 season. Regardless, they still post NFL betting odds for the Denver Broncos at the Atlanta Falcons. We break down NFL news, previous matchups, and online NFL betting odds in this Broncos vs Falcons Week 9 analysis preview.
Game: Denver Broncos (3-4) at Atlanta Falcons (2-6)
Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium Time: 1 p.m. ET Television: CBS |
Broncos vs Falcons Week 9 Analysis: Betting Lines
Team | Point Spread | Moneyline | Over/Under | Team Total |
Broncos | +4 | +170 | 50 | 23 |
Falcons | -4 | -200 | 50 | 27 |
Head-to-Head
As an interconference meeting that’s scheduled every four years, this series’ history doesn’t offer much to help project future results. Now departed Dan Quinn was the Falcons’ coach when they last met in 2016. Matt Ryan has a 2-1 lifetime record, both straight up and against the spread, against the Broncos.
Denver Broncos
Betting Record
Team | Record | ATS | Home ATS | ATS Away ATS | Fave ATS | Dog ATS | O/U |
Broncos | 3-4 | 5-2 | 2-2 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 4-3 |
Next game: at Las Vegas Raiders
Last Game
Denver crushed many bettors who piled on the Los Angeles Chargers, driving the opening spread of -1½ to -3 at close. The Broncos needed none of the points, despite trailing 24-3 with 7:33 left in the third quarter of this NFL week 8 matchups. Something happened in the locker room that gave Denver enough confidence to expose the Chargers for some huge downfield gains.
The Chargers dominated the stat sheet, decisively outgaining the Broncos in pretty much every column except turnover differential. Coaching critics will point to Chargers’ coach Anthony Lynn’s decision to kick a 47-yard field goal to go up by ten in the middle of the fourth quarter as his usual kryptonite for not putting an opponent away.
The unexpected flurry of caught Drew-Lock passes surprised betting markets, and the game, totaled 45, flew to the over with a 31-30 that gave Denver the win on a game-ending K.J. Hamler touchdown.
Injury Report
Headlining the health news among the Broncos is the positive Covid-19 test report by the team heads Joe Ellis and John Elway early Tuesday. After some disruption for testing and contact tracing with the players, the team has been cleared and their game is not expected to be interrupted.
CB A.J. Bouye got slammed by his teammate Kareem Jackson last Sunday in a late-game tackle. His status is unknown. The team also placed TE Jake Butt on the injured reserve to give his hamstring time to heal.
Atlanta Falcons
Betting Record
Team | Record | ATS | Home ATS | Away ATS | Fave ATS | Dog ATS | O/U |
Falcons | 2-6 | 3-5 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 4-4 |
Next game: Bye Week
Last Game
Game-day bets came strong for the Atlanta Falcons in last Thursday’s Week 8 NFL matchup, as they traveled to Carolina to play on the TV game. As high as +3 earlier in the week, the Falcons closed as 1½-point road dogs
In a battle where the Falcons did as much to win as the Panthers did to lose, Atlanta clawed back from an eight-point deficit to take a short lead at the half. The majority of the Falcons’ points came from kicker Younhoe Koo’s foot, but was enough to beat the Panthers by a 25-17 final.
The total saw two-way action, opening 51 and getting bet down to 49 throughout the week. On game day, heavy support for the over steamed that number up to 52 at close. Whatever the sharps saw, the Carolina Panthers couldn’t muster the points to cash the over.
Injury Report
Starting WR Calvin Ridley hobbled into the locker room in the second quarter of last Sunday’s game. His X-rays came back negative but is still awaiting results of an MRI which suggest he’s out for this game. (Note that bit above where the Falcons are on bye next week.)
The team did move DE John Cominsky from the Covid-IR list and CB Darqueze Dennard from injured reserve.
Stay up-to-date with our NFL injury reports.
Broncos vs Falcons Week 9 Analysis: Betting on the Game
Point Spread
The line hasn’t moved much since it opened at -4. Some extra juice on the dog had some bettors laying the points at a cheap price, and the line is now flat. We’d expect Denver to take money eventually, but not until the initial injury report reveals if anyone won’t be able to play on Sunday.
Moneyline
Similarly, the moneyline for the game has been stagnant. Currently, the Falcons are a 1/2 overlay, and the buyback for Denver is +170. If we had to guess, not knowing Wednesday’s practice reports, that price on the Broncos won’t be there later in the week.
Over/Under
Early week sharpies do have an opinion about the total in this game. Early bird online sports betting shows the opening total of 47½ up to 50. If you want to chase, and we’d lean to the over here as well, you should grab it before it goes to 51. That said, there’s not much news explaining why the total got steamed, so it shouldn’t shock anyone if it comes crashing back down again by the weekend.