The New York Jets are the last remaining winless team in the NFL and they’ll go into this NFL Week 11 matchup looking to avoid dropping to 0-10. They’ll travel to LA to take on the Los Angeles Chargers, who haven’t fared much better. The 2-7 Chargers have dropped three straight games, but they’re a couple of bad breaks away from being over .500, as they’ve blown multiple huge leads. The Jets are coming off of a bye week, while the Chargers lost to the red-hot Miami Dolphins Sunday, 29-21. Let’s check out the Jets vs Chargers Week 11 betting odds analysis for the matchup.
|Game: NY Jets (0-9) at LA Chargers (2-7)
Location: SoFi Stadium
Time: 4:05 PM ET
NFL betting odds currently list LA as 10-point favorites in this Chargers vs Jets matchup. We’ll run through some of the major stats, trends, and factors which affect this matchup from a sports betting perspective.
Jets vs Chargers Week 11 Betting Odds: Betting Lines
|Team||Point Spread||Moneyline||Over/Under||Team Total|
New York Jets
|Team||Record||ATS||Home ATS||Away ATS||Fave ATS||Dog ATS||O/U|
Next game: vs Miami Dolphins
The Jets lost 30-27 on a last-second field goal to the New England Patriots to drop to 0-9 after leading by 10 going into halftime. The Jets totaled 322 yards, which is the most they’ve managed this season to date. Their offense has been nothing short of terrible this season, as they’ve averaged only 13.4 points per game. But the Jets looked nearly competent in Week 9 with Joe Flacco at QB as they put up 27 points. Flacco finished 18 for 25 with 262 yards, three touchdowns, and an interception. Breshad Perriman caught two TD passes and totaled 102 receiving yards. Sam Darnold sat out due to a reaggravation of his shoulder against the Chiefs in Week 8 and he’s expected to start in Week 11.
The Jets’ offense was similarly challenged in the 2019 season. They ranked last in yards per game (273) and 31st in points per game (17.2). The Jets finished 7-9 on the back of their league-average defense. This year the offense has somehow managed to get worse, as they’re last in the league in both points per game (13.4) and yards per game (266). There was hope that the Jets would improve in Darnold’s third year, but Darnold has struggled on the field and with injury issues. Also, Adam Gase hasn’t proved to be the coach the Jets needed to move them forward.
The Jets started the season 0-6 ATS and 0-6 SU but they’ve won two of their last three ATS.
Joe Flacco threw three TD passes against the Patriots, which matches Sam Darnold’s total from this season. The Patriots passing defense has been pretty strong this year so it’s hard not to read into this. Darnold has thrown twice as many interceptions as touchdowns this season and his days a Jets QB may be numbered. Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence keeps coming up as a potential replacement should the Jets get the number one pick in the draft this season, which looks quite likely.
Los Angeles Chargers
|Team||Record||ATS||Home ATS||Away ATS||Fave ATS||Dog ATS||O/U|
Next game: at Buffalo Bills
The Chargers couldn’t stop the Dolphins’ momentum, as Miami won its fifth straight game and defeated LA 29-21 at home. The Chargers held Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa to 169 passing yards and Miami to 280 yards total but couldn’t stop Tua from improving to 3-0 as a starter. Tagovailoa finished 15 for 25 with two touchdowns. Undrafted rookie RB Salvon Ahmed played well in his first game as a lead back for the Dolphins. He gained 85 yards on 21 carries, along with a touchdown.
Justin Herbert completed 20 of 32 passes for 187 yards, two touchdowns and an interception. It’s the fewest number of yards Herbert has managed in his eight games as the Chargers starting QB. The Chargers have had a lot of injury woes at RB, as they placed Justin Jackson on IR before the game and Austin Ekeler still hasn’t returned from his hamstring injury. They signed Kalen Ballage, from the practice squad to the active roster, before the game and he rushed for 68 yards on 18 carries and caught five passes for 34 yards. Rookie Joshua Kelley continued to struggle, as he picked up 21 yards on seven carries. The Chargers special teams unit struggled as well. The Dolphins blocked a punt which led to a touchdown on the next play and returned three punts for an average of 19 yards.
The Chargers are last in the league in net yards per punt attempt, with 35.3. They’ve allowed teams to work with short fields too often, which has put their defense in tough spots.
Joshua Kelley averaged 55.7 yards per game in his first three games to go along with 3.9 yards per carry. In the six games since, Kelley has only picked up 146 yards total on 55 carries for an average of 2.7 yards per carry. He’s last in the league among eligible players in yards per carry with 3.2. Expect Ballage to get the majority of the Chargers carries this weekend as Ekeler isn’t expected back until Week 12.
Jets vs Chargers Week 11 Betting Odds: Betting on the Game
Point Spread: Chargers -9
The only other time the Chargers have been favored by a touchdown or more this season, they covered the spread vs the Jaguars. Even with a 2-7 record, the Chargers have been favorites four other times this season and are 1-2-1 ATS in those games. The Jets have won two of their last three ATS but they’re 0-4 ATS on the road so far. It’s worth noting that the Jets’ three-point loss to the Patriots a couple of weeks ago was their lowest loss margin of the season. Otherwise, the Jets have the worst point margin in the league, losing by 16.3 points per game on average.
Moneyline: Jets +310 | Chargers -370
The Chargers are 1-5 SU in their last six games at home, with their only win coming to the Jaguars. The 1-8 Jaguars are a more competent football team than the Jets, so the Chargers are rightfully favored to win this one. Since winning their final game of the 2019 season, the Jets have opened the 2020 season with nine straight losses. The BetUS Sportsbook currently has the Jets at +200 to go 0-16. Further, Jets Coach Adam Gase and Chargers Coach Anthony Lynn are the two coaches most likely to be fired next.
Over/Under: 48 Points
Amazingly, the last six Chargers games have seen the over hit. Since Week 3, the Chargers have scored 29 points per game and allowed 31.3 points per game. The point total has gone under in four of the last five Jets games, but it did go over last week against the Patriots. The Jets are allowing 29.8 points per game this season so there’s no question that the Chargers will be able to put points up against the Jets. Justin Herbert should have a field day against a team giving up almost 300 passing yards per game. The Jets inconsistent offense can rarely be trusted to score enough points to cement an over though.