| Game: New England (5-6) at LA Chargers (3-8) Location: SoFi Stadium Time: 4:25 PM ET Television: CBS |
Betting Lines
| Team | Point Spread | Moneyline | Over/Under | Team Total |
| Patriots | Even | 47½ | 23½ | |
| Chargers | Even | 47½ | 23½ |
Head-to-Head
The Patriots have dominated against the Chargers, leading the series 25-15-2 and winning the last five meetings, including a postseason victory in the last clash. New England topped Los Angeles 41-28 in the divisional round of the playoffs in January 2019.
New England’s last loss to the Chargers was when they were still in San Diego back in 2008, the only time in the last nine meetings the Patriots have come up short. This one should be a close one, giving plenty of opportunities for online betting.
New England Patriots
Betting Record
| Team | Record | ATS | ATS Home | ATS Away | ATS Fave | ATS Dog | O/U |
| Patriots | 5-6 | 5-6 | 4-2 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3-2 | 4-7 |
Next Game: at Los Angeles Rams
Last Game
It wasn’t pretty, but the Patriots were able to pull out a 20-17 home win over the Arizona Cardinals. They did it despite only having 179 yards of total offense, having twice as many turnovers as the Cardinals, and holding the ball nearly 10 minutes less than Arizona.
Cam Newton managed just 84 yards passing and threw two interceptions, but James White had a pair of touchdown runs and Nick Folk had a pair of field goals, including the game winner on the last play of the game.
Stats Pack
The Patriots are back in the playoff hunt despite averaging just 20.8 points per game, good for 27th in the league. That’s because the New England defense has been solid throughout the season, allowing just 23.2 points per contest. That’s despite the team being minus-1 in the turnover department.
Trends
The Patriots are not getting off to good starts, having been outscored 56-21 in the first quarter this season. Coach Bill Belichick doesn’t have an answer for why New England has started so slow this season, but with back-to-back road games, it will need to get things corrected in a hurry. Paying attention to that trend may be worth it when making your NFL picks.
Injury Report
Ryan Izzo, TE Questionable
Nick Folk, PK Questionable
Anfernee Jennings, LB Questionable
Adam Butler, DT Questionable
Ja’Whaun Bentley, LB Questionable
Matthew Slater, WR Questionable
Shaq Mason, OG Questionable
Cam Newton, QB, Questionable
Los Angeles Chargers
Betting Record
| Team | Record | ATS | ATS Home | ATS Away | ATS Fave | ATS Dog |
O/U |
| Chargers | 3-8 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 7-4 |
Next Game: vs. Atlanta Falcons
Last Game
Once again, the Chargers played well, against the Bills this time, but just not well enough to win. They lost for the fourth time in five games. Los Angeles trailed throughout the game but rallied from 24-6 to within one score early in the fourth. Unfortunately, the Chargers wouldn’t score again.
Justin Herbert continued his brilliant play, throwing for 316 yards and a touchdown, while Austin Ekeler led the team in both rushing (44 yards) and receiving (85 yards). But, despite outgaining the Bills and forcing three Buffalo turnovers, Los Angeles couldn’t seal the deal.
Stats Pack
Joey Bosa had a game to remember against Buffalo, recording a career-high three sacks, six total tackles for loss, five quarterback hits, a pass defensed and a fumble recovery. He became one of only three NFL players in league history to record three sacks, five quarterback hits, a pass breakup and a fumble recovery in the same game.
Trends
For the first time in four games, Keenan Allen wasn’t the leading receiver for the Chargers. One week after recording 16 receptions for 145 yards, Allen managed just four catches for 40 yards against Buffalo. He’ll certainly be the focus of New England’s defense this week as well, though if the Chargers are going to get a win, he needs to be more of a factor.
Injury Report
Joe Reed, WR Questionable
Joey Bosa, DE Questionable
Kalen Ballage, RB Out
Trai Turner, OG Questionable
Ty Long, P Questionable
Chris Harris Jr., CB Questionable
Mike Williams, WR Questionable
Betting on the Game
Point Spread
When looking at the NFL odds set for this game, there’s either a lot of belief in New England or a lot of doubt about the Chargers. The Patriots’ offense has not looked good despite the team getting victories, yet they’re a pick ‘em on the road. Los Angeles certainly has shown more firepower offensively, but whether it can put it all together to get a victory is anyone’s guess.
Moneyline
This will be New England’s first game in SoFi Stadium, but it will play in the venue again next week against the co-tenants, the Rams. The Patriots have not been good on the road this season, going 1-4, with the only victory being a comeback win over the winless New York Jets. Having to fly across the country isn’t going to help either, though New England did have a good game earlier this season at Seattle, losing by just five when Newton could not get the touchdown on a short run.
Over/Under
The story of this bet could be the potential NFL injuries to Chargers defensive end Joey Bosa and Patriots quarterback Cam Newton. Both are considered questionable for this game, and if either is out of Sunday’s contest, that will be a blow for their respective team. The Patriots don’t have a lot of offense even with Newton, so the biggest question for this bet will be how much the Chargers can score on the New England defense.
