Okay, BetUS NFL online betting faithful, Cam Newton and the New England Patriots will look to give their faint playoff hopes a big boost when they hit the road to take on Deshaun Watson and the lowly Houston Texans. Alright, with all of that said, let’s find out which team is offering the best value in our Patriots vs Texans Week 11 betting analysis.
The Patriots have won two straight to keep their postseason hopes alive in the loaded AFC while Houston was on the wrong side of a narrow Week 10 loss. To make matters worse for the Texans, while they are in line to get one of the top picks in the 2021 NFL Draft, that pick belongs to the blossoming Miami Dolphins.
|Game: New England Patriots (4-5) at Houston Texans (2-7)
Location: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Time: 1 p.m. ET
While the Houston Texans aren’t getting into the playoffs, New England still has a chance. Check out the long shot odds to win Super Bowl 55?
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Patriots vs Texans Week 11 Betting Analysis: Lines
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Check out Liam Isola’s Expert Betting Prediction for his Week 11 matchup right here!
The Patriots and Texans might not be in the same division, but the AFC counterparts have met four times since 2017. The Patriots had won three straight — until getting upended by the Texans 28-22 the last time they met back on Dec. 1. Houston has covered the spread in two of the last three meetings while the home team in this rivalry has gone a blistering 9-2-1 ATS over the last dozen meetings.
The Patriots are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings, but just 1-3-1 ATS in their last five road dates against the Texans. Over/Under total betting enthusiasts should know the Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.
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New England Patriots
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Next game: vs Arizona Cardinals
New England was in complete desperation mode in an NFL Week 10 matchup against the Baltimore Ravens. The Patriots came up huge by picking up a surprising 23-17 upset win to cash in as a 7-point home dog as Cam Newton passed for one touchdown and ran for another. Damien Harris rushed for 121 yards to help the Pats keep Lamar Jackson and the Ravens offense on the sidelines while defensive back JC Jackson picked off the reigning league MVP in the win.
New England ranks 19th in total offense, 29th in passing, a stellar third in rushing and 27th in scoring (21.0 ppg). Defensively, the Patriots are ranked 13th overall, 10th against the pass, 24th against the run, and 11th in points allowed (23.4 ppg).
The Patriots might have a serious lack of talent at the skill positions, but second-year wide receiver Jakobi Meyers is blossoming. Meyers has hauled in at least five catches in three straight games while adding a huge TD pass last weekend. Oh yeah…and then there’s the fact that Cam Newton hasn’t thrown an interception in three straight games.
Stephon Gilmore – CB
Ja’Whaun Bentley – LB
Julian Edelman – WR
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Next game: at Detroit Lions
Houston put up a fight and almost pulled off the upset in their 10-7 road loss against the Cleveland Browns in Sunday’s NFL matchup, although the Texans did manage to cover the spread as a 4.5-point underdog … with the help of Nick Chubb.
Deshaun Watson completed 20-of-30 passes for 163 yards with one TD toss and no picks, but the Houston defense gave up 126 rushing yards to Chubb and 104 yards to Kareem Hunt as the pair of Browns running backs became the first duo to tp the century mark in the same game since Jim Brown and LeRoy Kelly did so for the franchise way in 1966.
Okay NFL betting nation. Quick question. What are the NFL online betting odds that the Pittsburgh Steelers go undefeated in 2020?
The Texans are ranked 20th in total offense, eighth in passing, an awful 31st in rushing and 25th in scoring (22.2 ppg). Defensively, Houston is ranked 29th overall, 18th against the pass, dead last (32nd) against the run and 26th in points allowed (28.0 ppg).
It’s a shame that Watson has to do, literally, everything all by himself for Houston, but the former Clemson national championship winner is doing just that. Watson has thrown an impressive nine TD passes over the last four games without tossing a single interception.
Isaiah Coulter – WR
Kahale Warring – TE
Senio Kelemete – G
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Patriots vs Texans Week 11 Betting Analysis: The Game
The Texans have been awful on both sides of the ball, but at least they have an elite quarterback in Deshaun Watson. Still, both teams in this Week 11 matchup give up more points per game than they average.
The Patriots are 8-1 SU in the last nine meetings against the Texans, but just 2-4 SU in their last six road games. Houston has gone a discouraging 2-5 SU in its last seven home games while dropping eight of its last 10 games overall.
The Patriots are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games against a team with a losing record, but just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight-up win.
The Texans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against their AFC counterparts and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
The Over is 5-1 in the Patriots last 6 road games, and 4-1 in New England’s last 5 games as a road favorite. The Under is 4-1 in Houston’s last 5 home games and 7-3 in the Texans’ last 10 games following a straight-up loss.
Check out some possible Super Bowl matchups odds here!