There are eight teams left in the NFL that you can bet-on to win Super Bowl LV. The top-teams that are left know they only need to win three more games to win-it-all and receive a ring. The game that has everyone talking in the Divisional Round of the playoffs is the (14-3) Buffalo Bills hosting the (12-5) Raven on Saturday, Jan. 16 at 8:15 p.m. ET in Orchard Park, NY.
NBC Sports’ Peter King said Ravens-Bills is the game to watch next weekend because both teams have been playing as well as anyone in the league over the past seven weeks. The Bills advanced to the divisional round of the playoffs for the first time since the 1995 season with their close 24-21 victory over the Colts last week. The Raven won their first postseason game since 2014 when they took down the mighty Titans 20-13 in Tennessee.
These offenses 🔥
— NFL (@NFL) January 13, 2021
Online sports betting has never been so fun and easy as it is with America’s favorite sportsbook. You can find more betting breakdowns and NFL betting news on our highly-regarded Locker Room page. Make sure to place all your NFL bets before kickoff this weekend, so you can sit back and rake in the money.
Ravens vs Bills — Game Info
Date: Saturday, Jan. 16 | Time: 8:15 p.m. ET | TV: NBC
Last meeting: Week 14, 2019 (Ravens 24, Bills 17)
As of Tuesday, there is a 40% chance for snow showers at Bills Stadium on Saturday night. Accumulation could be as much as an inch which does not sound like a lot, unless you have never played in snow like Ravens All-Pro QB Lamar Jackson.
Asked about his experience playing in the snow, Jackson said: “Zero. Saturday would be my first time playing football in the snow, if it does. Hopefully, it don’t.”
Snow or not, the Saturday-night game will be cold and full of exciting action as two of the league’s best young quarterbacks are set to square-off.
Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen — 2018 First-round Draft Picks — Who’s Got the Edge?
3 of the 4 AFC quarterbacks left in the playoffs were drafted in 2018 👀 pic.twitter.com/bcOJGbJyxt
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) January 12, 2021
The Bills and Ravens enter this game as two of the NFL’s hottest teams behind the steller play of their QB’s. Bills quarterback Josh Allen was one of four quarterbacks selected ahead of Lamar Jackson, who went No. 32 overall, in the 2018 NFL draft. Buffalo picked the Wyoming star with the No. 7 pick after trading up from No. 12, sending two second-round picks to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to complete the deal.
REAL RECOGNIZE REAL.
"He's one of the greatest dudes you can be around… I root heavily for him just knowing what he went through his first year and how humble and awesome he is off the field."
— Dan Fetes (@danfetes) January 12, 2021
The 2019 regular-season MVP Lamar Jackson had a shaky start to 2020, but got things turned around in-time to win five-straight and secure the No. 5 seed in the AFC. Jackson finished the regular-season with 2,757 passing yards and 1,005 rushing yards, which made him the only QB to ever rush for 1,000 yards in two separate seasons (the only QB not named Jackson to record 1,000 rushing yards is Michael Vick). Jackson’s rushing was the difference in the Ravens’ win over Tennessee during Super Wildcard Weekend, as he ran for 136 yards and 1 TD.
"You said you'd do it and you did it."
— NFL Films (@NFLFilms) January 12, 2021
The 6’5”, 237-pound Josh Allen is also known for his ability to scramble and run the ball has a much different style than Jackson. Jackson is like a Lamborghini speeding away from defenders, and Allen is more like an off-road pick-up truck that rumbles over defenders in his way. Allen has had his lowest output of his career on the ground this season, but has had more success throwing the ball this year than anyone could have expected.
After completing just 52.8% of his passes as a rookie, Allen has improved his accuracy to have his best season, garnering MVP talk behind Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes. Allen completed 69.2% of his passes for 4,544 yards and 37 touchdowns — both franchise single-season records. Allen’s breakout season had a lot to do with his new-connection with All-Pro WR Stefon Diggs, who was traded for from the Vikings this offseason.
— NFL (@NFL) January 13, 2021
Slight Edge: Lamar Jackson
I know Allen has had a fantastic season and has Bills Mafia in a frenzy, but Jackson is currently playing like his MVP-self from a year ago. These teams are built very differently on offense. The Ravens are a run-first style of offense while the Bills are one of the league’s most pass-happy teams. Jackson should be able to find some success on the ground which will open-up passing lanes down the field. Jackson can and will hit his target from the pocket if given time. If Jackson had Diggs or any All-Pro type of receiver then this would be a totally different discussion.
Ravens vs Bills — Defensively: Who has the Edge
The Ravens’ defense
The Ravens held the Titans’ No. 4 ranked scoring offense (30.7 points per game) to 13 points last weekend. Baltimore shut down the leagues’ top rusher Derrick Henry and held QB Ryan Tannehill and the Titans prolific-passing offense to 158 yards. The Ravens finished the regular season as the No. 2 ranked scoring defense by allowing opponents to score 18.9 points per game. They also ranked second in yards per pass attempt allowed (6.4 yards/attempt), yards allowed per completion (9.9 yards) and opponent third-down percentage. Just one quarterback (Patrick Mahomes) threw more than two touchdown passes against Baltimore this season while they allowed just three 300-yard passers.
There’s only one player in @NFL history to ever throw for 300+ yards, tally a 70+ completion percentage and rush for 50+ yards in a playoff game…
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) January 10, 2021
The Bills’ defense
Buffalo’s defense ranks near the middle of the pack in most statistical categories over the course of the regular season. Where the Bills’ defense did excell is defending the pass (No. 5). Buffalo gave up 119.6 rushing-yards per game which ranked them No. 17 on the season. The Bills are susceptible to allowing big gains, ranking 31st in the league in carries to gain five or more yards (40.8%) and 25th in carries that gain 10 or more yards (13.8%). Last weekend Buffalo gave up 163 rushing-yards to the Colts. The Colts’ finished with 472 total yards, was 9 of 17 on third down and had the ball for 34:17 of the game. The Colts’ offense executed the game-plan of keeping the ball out of Allen’s hands very well, but Indianapolis could not come up with the plays they needed down the stretch to seal the victory.
Wild Card Weekend's top DIs 🃏 🏆 pic.twitter.com/rdkUqOQ7EH
— PFF (@PFF) January 12, 2021
Simply put, the Ravens have a championship-caliber defense, the Bills do not.
Ravens vs Bills — Difference Makers
Ravens: RB J.K. Dobbins
Rookie RB J.K. Dobbins could be a huge problem for the Bills lack-luster rushing defense. Dobbins 6.0 yards per carry is impressive, and he has only gotten better as the season has gone on. Dobbins will be a huge factor in this game.
Ravens: CB Marlon Humphrey and Marcus Peters
The Ravens have two of the best corners in the league in Marlon Humphrey and Marcus Peters. Humphrey has a knack for finding the football and he set a single-season franchise record with eight forced fumbles. Peters was responsible for the game clinching INT against the Titans last week and should be the man responsible for stopping Diggs. Peters’ status for the game should be monitored because it is questionable due to a back injury. If these two play and have a good game then the Ravens should be able to win this game.
Marcus Peters: 34 INTs since 2015
11 more than any other player 😤 🔒 pic.twitter.com/vhI17aWU48
— PFF (@PFF) January 13, 2021
Bills: WR Stefon Diggs
First-team All-Pro Stefon Diggs led all receivers in the 2020 regular-season with 127 receptions for 1,535 receiving yards. He went off for 128 yards and 1 TD on six catches against the Colts. The obvious best-receiver in this game will need to be a huge factor in the Bills getting to the AFC Championship game. If Humphrey or Peters struggle to slow him down then the rest of the weapons on Buffalo will become more dangerous.
🗣️ Stefon Diggs top-5 WR pic.twitter.com/cbYbb4zdzb
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) January 13, 2021
Bills: RB Devin Singletary
Devin Singletary split time with rookie-RB Zack Moss for most of the season, but with Moss expected to miss the rest of the postseason Singletary is expecting a larger role on Saturday. The Bills use the run to keep defenses honest, but they will need Singletary to be effective at this against the Ravens. If Singletary can average over four-yards a carry and get involved in the passing game then the Bills should be able to move the ball and score on the Ravens.
Ravens vs Bills — Betting Breakdown
Ravens are currently 1-point underdogs for divisional game at Bills.
It's first time Ravens are underdogs with Lamar Jackson as their QB since Week 11 in Indy.
Ravens are 5-2 outright when underdogs with Jackson as their starting QB. Both losses were at Kansas City.
— Jamison Hensley (@jamisonhensley) January 11, 2021
- Spread: Bills -2½
- Moneyline: Bills -135
- Over/Under: 50 points
The Bills have an extra day of rest compared to the Ravens and they do not have to have a travel day. This seems like it should benefit the Bills but the Ravens are 11-0 with Jackson as their QB in games that they had a shorter rest period than their opponents.
Ravens move to 11-0 when playing on shorter rest than their opponents since Lamar Jackson became the starter. 33.4 ppg and a 16.5 point average differential. Truly incredible. #RavensFlock pic.twitter.com/522cw9TiZg
— Brent (@RavensNumbers) December 20, 2020
I think Jackson will rush for over 100 yards as the Ravens rush for over 200 yards as a team, which means they will control this game. It does not mean they will win this game because Allen’s big-play ability allows the Bills to score quickly.
Since 2018, there have been 14 instances where QBs have run for 100+ rushing yards.
Lamar Jackson has 10 of those 🤯 pic.twitter.com/CYmj9KbcAM
— PFF (@PFF) January 12, 2021
Give me the points in this one with the Ravens dominating against the spread. Jackson is 5-2 in games where the Ravens have been underdogs, the two losses coming at the hands of the Chiefs. The Bills are a really good team and I thought they may be the team to knock off KC when the playoffs began. But now, I do not think they will get a chance at the Chiefs because the Ravens are playing better football.
Final Score Prediction: Ravens 27, Bills 24
.@stephenasmith gave "an unequivocal no" when asked about the Buffalo Bills' Super Bowl chances 😳
"Getting through the Baltimore Ravens? I don't see that happening." pic.twitter.com/yFV94epfn6
— First Take (@FirstTake) January 11, 2021