Both the Texas Longhorns and the Oklahoma Sooners are coming off of disappointing outings. The Longhorns are, in fact, “not back” and the Sooners have now shockingly lost two in a row. Oklahoma is not ranked in the Top 25 anymore. This marks the first time since 1999 the teams come into the Red River Rivalry off losses.
At any rate, this is still the Red River Rivalry, so we’re going to see something awesome. Texas vs Oklahoma always delivers. The college football odds show that the Sooners are a small favorite but will they get the win on Saturday?
Texas Longhorns at Oklahoma Sooners
Date: Saturday, 12:00 PM ET
Location: Cotton Bowl – Dallas, Texas
NCAA Odds: Sooner -1.5
NCAA Odds And Analysis
The over is 4-1 in the Longhorns’ last five games overall and 4-0 in their last four games against a team with a losing record. They are also 4-0 ATS in their past four games when playing at a neutral site and 8-1 ATS in their last nine games at a neutral site while coming in as the underdog. Texas is 7-1 ATS in their last eight matchups against the Sooners.
On the other hand, the over is 13-3 in the Sooners’ last 16 games following a straight-up loss. But the under is 6-1 in their past seven when coming in as the favorite at a neutral site. Unfortunately, Oklahoma is 1-6 ATS in it last seven when playing against a team with a winning record.
The Longhorns are currently 2-1 with their loss coming to TCU. The Longhorns had put themselves in a position to win against TCU before a fumble at the goal line by Keaontay Ingram helped seal the loss. The team had far too many penalties and will have to improve upon that if it wants a chance to take down the Sooners. Texas was a 10-point favorite in the sportsbook and blew it, losing outright to an unranked TCU side.
Quarterback Sam Ehlinger was frustrated post-game as the Longhorns continue to shoot themselves in the foot. But it wasn’t just the offensive or defensive penalties that hurt as they were even committing terrible fouls on special teams as well. Not only do they have to cut down on the penalties, Ehlinger will have to play more efficiently to give his team a shot. He was 17-of-36 passing against TCU as there was just not enough good moments for a player considered to be a candidate for the Heisman Trophy. He did pass for four touchdowns but he couldn’t lead them back, which is what will be remembered. He needs to be special if the Longhorns are to get the win in this rivalry game.
The Sooners are at 1-2 after blowing fourth-quarter leads in their last two games. In their most recent game against Iowa State, they were up 30-23 with just under eight minutes left to play but weren’t able to close it out. They will need to close games with more intensity than what they have done so far in this young season. However, not all is bad for this Sooners team. Quarterback Spencer Rattler was able to battle constant pressure as well as a multitude of dropped passes by his receivers. He was hyped up as being a special passer but we haven’t seen enough of that. He has thrown four interceptions in the last two games and it’s no coincidence that the team has lost both. Rattler might be facing the best defense he’s seen this week and if he and his receivers aren’t on the same page, the Sooners could fall to 1-3. A loss to Texas would leave would be their worst start since beginning the 1996 season 0-4 under first-year coach John Blake.
Longhorns vs. Sooners Prediction:
Longhorns 48, Sooners 40