Seattle, 4-0 for the first time since 2013, will take on the 1-3 Vikings in Week 5 at CenturyLink Field. The Vikings snapped their three-game losing streak in Week 4 against the Texans, who just fired head coach Bill O’Brien after an 0-4 start.
Seahawks QB Russell Wilson, the favorite to win NFL Regular Season MVP in the BetUS sportsbook, continued his exceptional start to the season in Week 4. He threw for 360 yards, two touchdowns and an interception in the Seahawks 31-23 win against the Dolphins. Seahawks RB Chris Carson scored twice on the ground and D.K. Metcalf led all Seahawks receivers with 106 yards.
Vikings QB Kirk Cousins finished 16-22 for 260 yards and a touchdown against the Texans. Minnesota RB Dalvin Cook had a field day against the Texans defense, rushing for 130 yards on 27 carries with two touchdowns. He’ll face a more formidable defense this week, as the Seahawks rank third in opponent rushing yards per game.
The Seahawks became the only team in NFL history to allow over 1200 passing yards through the first three weeks after allowing 472 yards to Cowboys QB Dak Prescott. It’s a testament to how dominant Wilson and their offense has been that they’re 4-0 despite this astounding stat. They’ve also stopped the run exceptionally. Cousins has struggled to start the year, throwing as many touchdowns as picks. He’ll look to get on track against the worst passing defense in the league through four weeks, who is also missing star S Jamal Adams. In any case, Sunday night’s Vikings vs Seahawks matchup should be a shootout, and one of the most exciting offerings of Week 5.
|Game: Minnesota (1-3) vs Seattle (4-0) |
Location: CenturyLink Field
Time: 8:20 PM ET
NFL Betting Lines
|Team||Point Spread||Moneyline||Over/Under||Team Total|
Moneyline: Vikings +270 | Seahawks -330
The Seahawks are heavy moneyline favorites to win this game and for good reason. Despite being without their famed “12th man” on Sunday, they’re 11-4 in their last 15 games at home. They’ve also beaten the Vikings six straight times.
Seattle’s stellar offense is second in the league in yards per play at 6.7, while Minnesota isn’t far behind, in fourth with 6.4. Seattle’s passing defense is a concern, but Cousins and the Vikings are averaging the fifth least passing yards per game and the Vikings have relied heavily on the run. The Vikings have the fifth highest rushing play percentage but they’ll be hard pressed to beat this Seattle defense on the ground.
This game will be won and lost in the air and, thankfully for Seattle, they have an elite QB playing some of the best football of his career. Wilson is first in completion percentage, passing touchdowns and passer rating and third in yards per game. While Seattle’s pass defense has been historically bad, Minnesota’s is giving up the most yards per completion in the league. The Seahawks should comfortably pick up a win here.
Pick: Seahawks to Win
Point Spread: -7 Seahawks
Seattle is a solid 5-1 ATS in their last six games and a perfect 4-0 ATS to start the season. Minnesota’s gone 2-2 ATS so far, including 2 straight ATS wins. The Vikings are, however, 1-5 ATS in their previous six games at Seattle. I’m expecting the Seahawks to continue their perfect trend to start the season and win a fifth straight ATS.
Pick: Seahawks to Cover
Over/Under: 57½ points
This point total, which would appear astronomically high for most games, seems quite reasonable in light of this matchup. My only gripe is that it isn’t high enough. Seattle has scored over 30 points in each of their opening four games. At 35.5 points per game, they’re second in the league and they are lighting up opposing defenses. Minnesota’s offense is in the top half of the league in points per game and their defense has allowed 31.3 points per game, including 43 to Aaron Rodgers and the Packers in Week 1.
Both teams’ defenses are in the bottom third of the league in opponent yards per play and opponent yards per game and there’s no reason to believe this will be a defensive showcase. Plus the Over has hit in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games and seven of Minnesota’s last eight in Seattle. Take the over.
Pick: Over 57½ Points
Props Talk for Vikings at Seahawks
Race to Ten Points
Seattle is the highest scoring team in the league in first quarters this season, with an average of ten points. They’ve also been the first to ten in three of their four games this season. Expect Seattle to score early and often against a Vikings defense that is 29th in total yards allowed, 29th in passing yards allowed, 24th in rushing yards allowed, and 26th in opponent points per game.
Total FGs Scored Over/Under 3½
Over 3½ Even
Seattle is allowing 2.5 made field goals per game, meanwhile Minnesota is allowing a whopping 3.8, which is the most in the league by a country mile. Both of these offenses should be in a position to score nearly every drive, and a decent number of field goals should follow. This looks like a good value.
Total Points Scored
57-63 Points +425
64-70 Points +500
There’s been an average of 62.5 points scored in the four games Seattle has played this year. When Minnesota played the league’s best offense in the Green Bay Packers, they gave up 43 points. Seattle’s second ranked offense should put up plenty of points against the Vikings defense and Minnesota should also take advantage of Seattle’s porous passing defense. Five of eight combined games these teams have played this season have fallen in the 57-70 point range.