Sometimes trying new things work out as it did for Barry’s Big Bet for in Week 13 picking an Over/Under Total to play in the NFL Pick of the Week. Last week I said to take Over the total of 46½ with a predicted score of the Las Vegas Raiders 35, New York Jets 23. The final NFL week 13 matchup score was Raiders 31-28 in a simple win for the week and bringing our record ATS to 8-4 for the year. This week will be a more conventional side bet on a team that you may do a double-take on at first. Let’s look at the Titans vs Jaguars betting picks.
They are ranked #31 in my NFL Power Rankings Week 14, and as you would guess they are obviously getting points. This week we are going to take advantage of an overblown NFL betting line between two AFC Divisional rivals, the Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars.
I’ve said before that in these divisional games it is often that they will split wins during the season. In their first meeting, the Titans won 33-30 at home. The won by kicking a field goal with less than two minutes left. And while I am not saying the one-win Jaguars will win this contest, I’m saying a touchdown or more is too many points for Tennessee to give them.
Titans vs Jaguars Betting Picks: Underdogs are Underrated
Online Sportsbook Odds
Tennessee Titans (8-4) –7½ (Ev) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-11) +7½ (-120).
Over/Under Total 52½.
Tennessee’s Defense Is Horrible
The Titans have been a wide-open for business. Defense is allowing an average of over 28 points a game the last three weeks. They gave up 30 to Jacksonville in week two of the NFL season. The Titans rank 25th in the NFL in points allowed in 2020. So, the last three weeks is typical for them.
Tennessee is even worse in pass defense. Currently ranking 28th allowing 283.9 yards a game and 25th in total yards given up to opponents. Not even Jacksonville will have a problem scoring against the Tennessee Swiss Cheeses. Believe it or not, the AFC Conference Odds are 13/1 at BetUS, and I do not think this is a bad bet at all.
Jaguars Own Henry at Home
Jacksonville is used to going against the Mack Truck named Derrick Henry. They have to play their divisional rival Titans twice a year. Henry has been tearing it up everywhere he goes. But, the one place he gets owned is just south of his hometown in Jacksonville, Florida.
In Henry’s four years, Tennessee has traveled down to play on Jacksonville’s home turf several times. However, he has yet to have 100 yards rushing in a game played there. It’s hard to say if it’s stage fright. He’s in front of his family and friends that live so close or the Jaguars’ scheme they develop for him at home. Or is it just an anomaly? Whatever it is, the Jags have had his number at home since his first game as a rookie there rushing for 16 yards.
Titans vs Jaguars Betting Picks:Winning Does Not Matter
Covering the NFL Pointspread Does
This isn’t to say the Titans will have a problem scoring. Or, that Henry is going to have yet another horrible game against his Kryptonite team. Henry does have some career games against them in Nashville. Including a 238-yard day in 2018 that included a 99 yard run and four touchdowns against this same team.
Bottom line is that the Jaguars don’t have to win and more than likely will not. They simply have to cover the NFL online betting odds on this game that is currently giving the Jags 7½ points, and even if it goes to 7 I would still play it at BetUS Sportsbook.
A big plus for this NFL bet, and something that aches me to see happen at the same time… If the Titans are up by two scores late in the fourth quarter, that shabby defense becomes a shabby and lazy. And tired defense playing prevent. We have a saying that a prevent defense prevents a team from winning. When, in reality, that means it prevents a team from covering the NFL odds. This works in our favor in this game.
The Pick of the Week
There are multiple ways for this NFL Pick of the Week to be a winner, and I am confident enough one or all of them happen to make Barry’s Big Bet another winner. The Locker Room at BetUS is an informational hub where this article is saved and that has other information you may access as well for NFL teams information, weekly games betting advice and much more.
NFL Pick of the Week 14 – Take the NFL betting odds at BetUS and bet Jacksonville Jaguars +7½ and even it goes down to 7 points fire the cannons!!
Titans vs Jaguars Betting Picks Prediction: Tennessee Titans 30, Jacksonville Jaguars 27