Chiefs vs Ravens: Expert Betting Advice

NFL Betting Lines

Moneyline: Ravens -200 | Chiefs +170

The Chiefs are 2-0, and Patrick Mahomes is still playing at a high level, but the Baltimore Ravens were 14-2 last season and look every bit as strong this year as they were in 2019. This is a matchup of the two best teams in the AFC. This is not a case in which the focus should be on one team’s flaws, but more on which team’s strengths are likely to win the day. Baltimore has a tougher, stronger defense. The Ravens held Deshaun Watson and the Houston Texans to 16 points on the road. That is an amazing feat. The Chiefs’ defense has been solid, holding each of its first two opponents to exactly 20 points. However, the Ravens have set a higher standard, allowing an average of 11 points in their first two games. The Chiefs are really good … but the Ravens are better, and they are playing at home.

Pick: Ravens to win

Point Spread: Ravens -3.5

The Ravens simply have everything going their way. They have a tough defense, which can slow Mahomes. While the Chiefs won in Week 2, Mahomes completed only nine of his first 20 passes before getting hot in the fourth quarter and rallying his team. Baltimore has delivered a pair of smackdowns: 32 points over the Browns, 17 over the Texans. Everyone is producing for the Ravens. Lamar Jackson is sharp. The running game is pounding out tough yards and converting fourth- and-one situations. The linebackers are flying around the field and making plays – rookie linebacker Patrick Queen has 17 tackles. The line play is excellent. The Chiefs have Mahomes and their dazzling offense, but the Ravens are getting more contributions throughout their roster. That reveals a better, more complete team. The Ravens are the pick on the NFL odds.

Pick: Ravens to cover

Over/Under: 54.5 points

The teams combined for 61 points in their game last year, and that game involved several missed PATs or 2-point conversions. Baltimore missed three different conversions after touchdowns. The Chiefs missed one as well. That game could have had at least 65 points (34-31) instead of being a 61-point game (33-28). With Mahomes and Lamar on the same field once again, one should expect a game played in the high 20s if not the low 30s once again. The defenses are good, but the quarterbacks are still going to find ways to make big plays.

Pick: Over 54.5

Final Score: BAL 38, KC 31

Props Talk for Chiefs at Ravens

There are a number of select props to pounce on in this game in the sportsbook. Let’s pick apart three of them:

First Team To Score: Ravens -130

The Ravens want to avenge last year’s loss to the Chiefs. They are at home on Monday Night Football. They know this game matters a lot in terms of getting the No. 1 seed in the AFC Playoffs and successfully reaching the Super Bowl after falling short last season. Expect the Ravens to come roaring out of the gate and getting the first tally, probably a touchdown.

Here is a look at the latest Super Bowl Odds

Total Touchdowns In The Game Over/Under 6½ — Over priced at +110

Last year’s Chiefs win over the Ravens had a 33-28 final score. The Chiefs and Ravens scored four touchdowns apiece, for a total of eight. The teams combined for three field goals as well (and missed a total of four conversions after touchdowns – Baltimore three, Kansas City one). If anything, Mahomes and Jackson have gotten better since they met in 2019. There will be lots of touchdowns. 

A Score In Last 2 Minutes Of First Half: Yes -350

The ability of these quarterbacks to quickly move the ball, whether passing or running, is such an advantage in a two-minute drill. Bet on one of these teams to score inside the final two minutes. The only real threat to this is horrible field position (a drive starting inside the team’s own 15-yard line).

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