Chris Berman is already itching to use his special nickname for this match-up on Sunday, It’s the Tampa Bay Buccaneers welcoming the Green Bay Packers in Week 6 NFL action. We have opinions and some serious questions about what’s going on at the sportsbook with this one.
|Game: Green Bay Packers (4-0) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2)
Location: Raymond James Stadium
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Previously, the Packers didn’t get much support among bettors against the Atlanta Falcons. The Pack opened as high as -7½ and closed at -5. Green Bay smothered Atlanta for a 30-16 final, covering the -7½ for all but about 10 minutes of game time. The total, once as high as 58, was bet down to 56, and the Falcons provided the under with a subpar offensive showing.
The markets also faded the Buccaneers last week, taking their number from -5½ to -3½. That move proved to be the correct result, as they lost outright to the Chicago Bears 20-19. (Those bold enough to have bet the total of 44½ under to 44 were also winners.)
NFL Betting Lines
Point Spread: Packers pk (4-0) | Buccaneers pk (1-4)
This one’s a little puzzling. Oddsmakers opened the Packers as -1½-point favorites and the line moved in favor of the Pack early in the week, climbing to -2½. Just after the Bucs reported from Wednesday’s practice, the line crashed, presumably on the news that WR Chris Godwin would return. It briefly flirted with Tampa Bay as the favorite, but has since come back a bit and is now a pick. (Which is why there is no moneyline at the book in this case.)
We don’t get it. Tampa Bay lost their run-stuffing nose tackle Vita Vea last week to a broken leg, and his replacement, Khalil Davis, is a rookie who hasn’t been healthy enough to see the field (and hasn’t practiced this week either). On the other side of the ball, Green Bay’s pass rush is strong enough to be able to harass Tom Brady all day, and you’d be hard-pressed to convince us Packers’ coach Matt LaFleur doesn’t realize that after two weeks of prep, last Thursday’s game film and the latest Brady gossip.
Unless Packers’s star WR Davante Adams spontaneously combusts on the practice field on Friday, we’d anticipate money to come back in for the Packers and will gladly take them now as a pick. Even expecting all seven skill players listed on the Tampa Bay injury report to see action Sunday, we still imagine the Packers will pressure Brady enough to stop him from being able to win what should inevitably be a shutout.
Pick: Green Bay Packers pk
Over/Under 55 points
Somehow this total opened too low at 51½ and that number evaporated, bet up hard now to 55. Over is the only way we can lean — unless it hits 63½, in which case, yes, take the under — but can’t trust Tampa Bay to do their part offensively. If you must, try to get it before it continues to rise, as we wouldn’t be shocked to see it close at 56 or higher.
Pick: Over 55