Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans is an exciting Week 13 matchup for sports betting fans. Both teams come into this one on winning streaks and with 8-3 records. The Titans are heavy favorites to win the AFC South at -500, while the Browns are at a disadvantage competing with the 11-0 Steelers in the AFC North.
Each win puts these teams closer to the playoffs, which makes this a crucial non-divisional game. The Browns have an opportunity to make the playoffs for the first time since 2002. While Mike Vrabel’s Titans are close to making their second straight playoffs.
|Game: Cleveland (8-3) vs Tennessee (8-3)
Location: Nissan Stadium
Time: 1 p.m. ET
NFL Betting Lines
|Team||Point Spread||Moneyline||Over/Under||Team Total|
In Week 12, the Browns narrowly defeated the 1-10 Jaguars, 27-25. RB Nick Chubb had his fifth 100-yard rushing game and managed 144 yards and a touchdown. QB Baker Mayfield completed 19-of-29 passes for 258 yards and two touchdowns. The Browns allowed Jacksonville rookie RB James Robinson to rush for 128 yards.
The Titans avenged their Week 10 loss to the Colts last weekend as Tennessee beat Indianapolis. 45-26. The Titans regained their lead in the AFC South and were led by Derrick Henry’s 178 rushing yards on 28 carries. QB Ryan Tannehill passed for 221 yards on only 22 attempts. Meanwhile, the Titans held the Colts to 56 rushing yards on 21 carries in the win.
Moneyline: Browns +215 | Titans -255
When the Titans dropped a short week game to the Colts in Week 10, it marked their third loss in four games. Since then, they’ve rattled off impressive back-to-back wins against the Ravens and the Colts. The Browns have won three straight games of their own, but not convincingly. On their winning streak, the Browns have won by 10 total points against teams with an 8-24-1 combined record.
The Browns are one of the least convincing 8-3 teams of all time. They’ve been outscored by 21 points this season and their eight wins have come against teams with a combined 26-62-2 record. Cleveland will get Myles Garrett back which will put some pressure on Tennessee’s stellar offensive line.
But, the Titans have already beaten three teams with winning records this season and they look the part of a division winner. They have the NFL’s leading rusher in Derrick Henry and have taken care of the football better than any other team in the league. It’s hard to bet against them here.
Pick: Titans to Win
Point Spread: -6 Titans
The Titans have outperformed the spread by over 10 points in each of their last two games. After starting the season 0-3 ATS, they’ve won five of their last eight ATS.
Cleveland has had success in the win column lately but not against the spread. The Browns have lost five of their last six games against the spread and are 4-7 ATS this season. In fact, three of their four ATS wins have come against NFC East competition, a division which has been historically bad this season.
After an ATS loss, the Browns are only 2-4 ATS. They’re also 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games on the road. I’m not confident about the Browns chances to cover here either.
Pick: Titans to Cover
Over/Under: 54 points
The Over is 8-1-1 in Tennessee’s last ten games. The Titans have one of the best offenses in the league and have scored 29.5 points per game this season. Interestingly, they’ve averaged more points per game when playing against winning teams. In five such games this year, they’ve scored 31.5 points per game. Tennessee has scored 75 points in its last two games and Ryan Tannehill and Derrick Henry have both had excellent seasons.
The Browns have had to play in some bad weather in Cleveland in recent weeks. Their offense should run smoother this weekend. The Browns are averaging the most rushing yards per game in the entire league. RBs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt form a great one-two punch and the Titans will have their hands full. Excluding their three November home games in windy and wet conditions, the Over is 6-2 in other Browns games this season. I’m taking the over here as well.
Pick: Over 54
Props Talk for Browns at Titans
At -255, the Titans moneyline isn’t a good value this weekend. -120 for them to win both halves looks more attractive.
Highest Scoring Quarter
2nd Quarter +160
Both teams are top 10 in the league in second quarter scoring. In fact, 40 percent of Cleveland’s points have come in the second quarter this season.
Race to 10 Points
The Browns have gotten off to slow starts more often than not this season. They rank 27th in the NFL with 3.27 first quarter points per game.