And off he goes! Seattle Seahawks wide receiver DK Metcalf, fresh off a breakout season, is going to participate in the USA Track and Field Golden Games and Distance Open on Sunday.
This is quite the encore for one of the NFL’s breakout stars of 2020 who was named a second-team All-Pro and was voted into the Pro Bowl. Metcalf could already be the NFL’s fastest runner. Kudos to Metcalf for trying, but per the betting odds, he is nothing more than a longshot to win anything in this 100-meter dash.
Fastest Time: Running For Respect
We can find a plethora of NFL betting lines on Metcalf for this 100-meter dash, but none of them favor him achieving anything more than being a distant runner-up. Still, Metcalf is an explosive athlete and ran a 4.33-second 40-yard dash at the scouting combine.
In addition to his football prowess, Metcalf was also a star basketball player at his high school while also being exceptional at hurdling and long-jumping. In short, he’s a freakish athlete who has excelled in the sports he’s dedicated himself to.
A 4.33 in a 40 can translate to a 10.82 time in the 100-meter dash. That won’t sniff the top or break the top three. But that is a respectable number given that he’s a football player and not a sprinter.
Pick: Will DK Metcalf Clock the Fastest Time in the 100 Meters? – No (-3000)
Heat: Tough Competition
Currently, the betting lines have Metcalf ranked ninth (+900) in which sprinter will clock the fastest time behind the likes of Ronnie Baker (+350), Cravon Gillespie (+550), Michael Rodgers (+550), and Chris Belcher (+650) among others.
Any of you track guys lose to DK Metcalf need to retire at the meet, on the spot, immediately.
— Coach Lamont Johnson 🏆🏆 (@Part4) May 3, 2021
Baker, the odds-on favorite to clock the fastest time, had a personal best of 9.94 he just set in March. Gillespie’s 2021 best is 10.13 but clocked 9.93 in 2019. Rodgers, who is ranked seventh in World Athletics had a similar result this year. Belcher clocked in at 10.30 this year.
Any or all of them could be in Metcalf’s heat and he’d be hard-pressed to finish ahead.
Pick: Will DK Metcalf Win His Heat? – No (-900)
Final Time: Not Bad for a Football Player
This is where you can squeeze some juice out of these chalky lines. Metcalf is a freakish athlete for sure. But he is no sprinter. There are a lot of intricacies here and a lot of techniques that his competitors would execute better.
Metcalf’s explosiveness may mean he starts hot off the blocks but he may taper off down the stretch. If his 40-yard time holds, he’s likely to finish above the 10.10 cutoff even if that is the favored range. The 10.20 to 10.39 range seems like a better deal.
Pick: What Will Be DK Metcalf’s Final Time? – 10.30 to 10.39 (+450)
Olympic Trials: Olympic Dreaming
Participating in the USATF Golden Games and Distance Open is one thing. Qualifying for the Olympics and sprinting against the world’s best is another. Is it possible? Of course. Is it probable? Betting odds strongly say it isn’t.
But if Metcalf wants to qualify for the Olympics, he’ll need a time of 10.05 to qualify for Trials. There are over a dozen American men who have a 10.05 currently who could participate in the trials.
Metcalf’s 4.33 on the 40 is around 10.82, but that’s not considering legal tailwind. But right now, Metcalf is expected to finish anywhere from 10.10 to 10.29 give or take. Close, but not cigar.