The Conference Championship Games are upon us, and online sports betting is here to spice up your football enjoyment. Last weekend there were four road dogs, and two of the four visiting longshots covered the spread. The Browns won ATS but didn’t manage to slip past the Chiefs, and the Buccaneers beat the Saints outright.
The most recent NFL odds on our sportsbook show the Bucs as underdogs again in Green Bay vs the Packers. The Bills are dogs for only the sixth time this season, heading into battle with the Chiefs in Arrowhead. NFL betting is down to the final four.
This is our last chance for NFL gridiron gambling until the Super Bowl, so let’s make money on these matchups. The modest lines indicate how close the oddsmakers believe the Conference Championships will be, and this expert says to take the points. Both underdogs will cover on Sunday, and one of them is going to win straight up.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5) at Green Bay Packers (1)
Sunday, at 3:05 p.m. ET on FOX
Underdog Betting Vitals
Point Spread: Buccaneers +4
Money Line: +165
In Sunday’s 30-20 Divisional Round victory over the Saints, the Buccaneers finally managed to break New Orleans’ voodoo spell. Tampa Bay has won six straight games, and Tom Brady’s crew seems to be hitting its stride. The Buccaneers are also one of three teams to defeat the Packers, winning 38-10 in Week 6. Tampa Bay will undoubtedly keep the game close, knocking on the door all game.
However, Green Bay is riding a seven-game winning streak, and hasn’t lost since stumbling in Week 11 vs Indianapolis. Before that, the Packers hadn’t lost since a Week 8 brawl with the Vikings. QB Aaron Rodgers is likely the NFL MVP for a third time following a stellar season, and he’s locked in.
Rodgers and company tattooed the Rams’ top-ranked defense for 484 total yards last week, en route to a 32-18 victory. Green Bay’s defense has been sparkling as well, holding its opponents to 18 or fewer points in four consecutive contests. The clincher is that Rodgers’ fifth career NFC Championship game is his first at Lambeau Field.
Look for Rodgers and the Packers to capitalize on that comfort, driving home the advantage. Brady and the Buccaneers will battle admirably (and win ATS), but will ultimately fail to become the first team to ever host a Super Bowl. The Packers move on, playing for the Vince Lombardi trophy for the second time in Rodgers’ tenure.
Prediction: Packers 31, Buccaneers 28
Buffalo Bills (2) at Kansas City Chiefs (1)
Sunday, at 6:40 p.m. ET on CBS
Underdog Betting Vitals
Point Spread: Bills +3
Money Line: +115
The Buffalo Bills have won eight straight games, most recently having humbled the Baltimore Ravens 17-3 in the Divisional Round. Overall, the Ravens played better than the Bills statistically, but they committed costly penalties and turnovers that sealed their fate. The momentum permanently shifted in the third quarter, following CB Taron Johnson’s 101-yard interception return on Lamar Jackson’s errant pass.
— NFL (@NFL) January 17, 2021
Johnson’s pick-six tied a 27-year old record for the longest interception returned for a touchdown in playoff history. The record was set by Packers’ safety George Teague in the 1993 Wild Card round vs the Lions. Baltimore wasn’t able to muster much after Johnson’s dramatic, morale-sucking defensive score, and Jackson left the game injured soon after.
Chiefs’ QB Patrick Mahomes also left his Divisional Round matchup with Cleveland due to a concussion, and KC barely escaped with a 22-17 win. Mahomes is currently in the NFL’s concussion protocol. Concussions are a tricky thing so following his progress of lack of it is key this week.
If Chad Henne starts or plays a large chunk of the game for the Chiefs, this is a no-brainer. With Mahomes, it is the Bills who have the proper playoff mojo heading into this matchup, not the Chiefs. Buffalo looks like a prize fighter on the rise, peaking right when he finally gets his shot at the title.
Chiefs’ QB Patrick Mahomes cleared certain steps Monday, “some big steps”, but he remains in the NFL’s concussion protocol with what is considered a concussion and it’s too early to say that he definitely will play in Sunday’s conference championship vs. the Bills, per sources.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) January 19, 2021
The Bills lost to the Chiefs 26-17 in Week 6, but both teams are different. Buffalo has morphed into a powerhouse, and Kansas City is squeaking through its games. The Bills last played in the AFC Championship on Jan 23, 1994, a 30-13 victory over the Chiefs. The win sent Buffalo on to its fourth straight Super Bowl appearance.
Prediction: Bills 28, Chiefs 24
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