Okay BetUS NFL online betting nation, with a quartet of highly intriguing Week 13 interconference matchups on tap this coming weekend, let’s find out where the best sportsbook betting value lies against the Week 13 NFL odds in two of those contests as Pittsburgh and Baltimore have yet to play their Week 12 matchup and have interconference dates in Week 13.
Jacksonville (1-10) vs Minnesota (5-6)
When: Sunday,1 p.m. ET
Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
NFL Odds: Minnesota -10
Moneyline: Jacksonville +400, Minnesota -500 OFF
Total: 52½
Analysis: While Jacksonville has dropped 10 straight games after winning its season opener, the Jags have been surprisingly competitive in three of their last four games. During the stretch, Jacksonville has suffered a trio of losses that have all come by four points or less, and two of those defeats being identical 27-27 losses, including last week’s loss to Cleveland.
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Minnesota, on the other hand, is completely desperate to give their playoff hopes a boost after winning four of five including last weekend’s narrow 28-27 home win over Carolina. The Vikings are tied with the Bears and 49ers for the seventh and final spot in the playoffs, so they likely need to win out from this point in order to ensure they reach the playoffs.
Prediction
Truth be told, the Vikings haven’t been impressive the last three weeks in getting past Chicago 19-13, losing at home against pitiful Dallas 31-28 and then squeaking past a rebuilding Panthers squad on Sunday.
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Still, Kirk Cousins and company are the pick to get the outright win in this matchup simply because they are the more experienced team on both sides of the ball and should be highly motivated. With that said, I’m going with Minnesota for the outright win, but I like Jacksonville to cover the double-digit spread with another good effort. Minnesota has gone 2-5 ATS in its last seven games as a favorite and I think we’ll see that play out in this Week 13 matchup.
Pick: Vikings 28 Jaguars 21
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Buffalo (8-3) vs San Francisco (5-6)
When: Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET
Where: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
NFL Odds: Buffalo -3
Moneyline: Buffalo -145, San Francisco +125
Total: 48
Buffalo has won four of its last five games including a 27-17 win over the rebuilding Chargers last weekend. The Bills have put 24 points or more on the board in four straight while hanging a whopping 44 points on Seattle in Week 9. San Francisco stunned the LA Rams 23-20 despite being on the road to give their faint playoff hopes a boost after dropping their previous three games.
Prediction
Let me start by saying that I’m wary that Buffalo could get upset in this matchup against a Niners team whose defense ranks an encouraging 11th in points allowed (23.1 ppg) and the moneyline odds clearly show that as well. Buffalo has lost three of its last seven games, so it’s not like the Bills are world-beaters. Still, with impressive wins over New England Seattle in Weeks 8 and 9, I’m going to advise you to back the Bills to both, get the outright win – and cover the chalk.
The difference in this game will come at quarterback where Frisco’s Nick Mullens is not awful, but he’s not in the same caliber of signal-callers as Buffalo’s Josh Allen. If the Niners don’t force Allen into a couple of costly turnovers, they’ll win and narrowly cover to improve on their encouraging 9-4-2 ATS mark in their last 15 road games.
