|Game: Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Location: Raymond James Stadium – Tampa, Fl
Time: 4:25 PM ET
|Team||Point Spread||Moneyline||Over/Under||Team Total|
|Team||Record||ATS||ATS Home||ATS Away||ATS Fave||O/U|
|Packers||4-0||4-0||2-0||2-0||2-0||3 Over, 1 Under|
Next game: at Texans
30-16 vs Falcons
The Packers’ defense bent, but it didn’t break. Atlanta mounted a 20-play, 94-yard drive in the first half, but the Falcons were stopped in the red zone and had to settle for a field goal. That stop by the defense took the wind out of Atlanta’s sails. Green Bay dominated the game from that point. The Packers have a strong offense, but their defense is helping the offense at the right times.
The brilliance of Aaron Rodgers was on full display against the Falcons: 27-of-33 for 327 yards and four touchdowns with no interceptions. Tight end Robert Tonyan made a splash by catching three touchdown passes. He collected 98 receiving yards, while running back Jamaal Williams hauled in 95 yards worth of passes. Running back Aaron Jones ran for 71 yards on 15 carries, nearly five full yards per tote. Pass rusher Za’Darius Smith sacked Falcon quarterback Matt Ryan three times. Everyone contributed.
The Packers and Bucs last met on Dec. 3, 2017. Green Bay beat Tampa Bay, 26-20. The coaching staffs and rosters are completely different now, so it may not be useful to those handicapping this game in the sportsbook.
The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus the NFL odds. The total has hit the over in four of Green Bay’s last five games.
The Packers missed linebacker Christian Kirksey and receiver Allen Lazard in Week 4 against the Falcons. Several other players were game-time decisions. The fact that the Packers had Week 5 off should enable most if not all of their injured players to be available for this Week 6 game. Only an especially significant injury would cause a player to miss this game. Most of the Packers’ injuries are modest and aren’t expected to be long-term.
Will Aaron Rodgers throw an interception, get in on the action at BetUS?
|Team||Record||ATS||ATS Home||ATS Away||ATS Fave||O/U|
|Bucs||3-2||2-3||1-1||1-2||2-2||3 over, 2 under|
Next game: at Raiders
20-19 loss to Chicago Bears
The Buccaneers suffered a brutal loss as a five-point favorite on the road. Nick Foles of the Bears beat Tom Brady yet again, and it shouldn’t have happened. The Buccaneers clearly have a better team than the Bears, who trailed the Lions by 17 and the Falcons by 16 earlier this season but pulled off miraculous fourth-quarter rallies to prevail. The Buccaneers should have been able to subdue the Bears, and when they took a 13-0 lead in the second quarter, it seemed Tampa Bay was on its way. Then, however, the offense stopped in the second half. The offensive line was blown away by the Bears’ front seven, especially star pass rusher Khalil Mack, who registered multiple sacks and disrupted a number of Buccaneer drives. What also really killed the Bucs in this game was penalties. Tampa Bay is one of the three most penalized teams. A lot of penalties on both sides of the ball hounded the Bucs. A total of 11 flags for 109 yards did continuous damage to the Bucs’ prospects. This is something the team will have to clean up, and against the Packers, the Bucs have a small margin for error.
Tom Brady was 25-of -1 for 253 yards against the Bears. He completed a lot of relatively short passes. He wasn’t able to push the ball down the field, in large part because his offensive line didn’t protect him and also because receiver Chris Godwin was out with an injury. Running back Ronald Jones was a bright spot with 106 rushing yards on 17 carries. However, the receivers weren’t able to collect huge plays. Tyler Johnson led the Bucs’ receivers with 61 yards on four catches. Rob Gronkowski, who has not been beating defenders down the field for long catches, grabbed three receptions for 52 yards. Tampa Bay has to get back to the vertical passing attack that shredded the Chargers in Week 4 and led to a comeback from a 24-7 deficit.
The Bucs are 2-3 ATS in their last five games. The total has hit the over in three of Tampa Bay’s last five games.
The Bucs have been hit hard by injuries to important players. They missed Leonard Fournette, Godwin, and LeSean McCoy against the Bears. In that game in Chicago, star defensive lineman Vita Vea, who is such an important presence on the Bucs’ defensive front, was knocked out for the remainder of the season with an injury. That is a significant blow to this team’s defense, especially against the run.
Betting on the Game
Point Spread: Packers -1.5
The Packers have been strong all season. Aaron Rodgers is playing extremely well, as though he has something to prove. The Packers’ decision to draft a quarterback, Jordan Love, in the first round this past spring might have been the motivational fuel Rodgers needed. The Packers’ defense is keeping opponents out of the end zone enough for Rodgers to make the difference with his arm. Jones gives the Packers a reliable running back. Their formula works, and their opponents have simply not been able to match their level of consistency this season. With the Bucs being comparatively more banged up and more penalty-prone, the Packers have a great opportunity to move to 5-0. This game looks more promising now that we have arrived at game week than it might have seemed on paper before the season started.
Moneyline: Packers -135
The Packers know that Brady is dangerous, but they also know that they have already beaten Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints on the road this season. They have also beaten the Minnesota Vikings on the road as well. The Packers have had no problems playing on the road. This venture to Tampa doesn’t have to be any different. Given how much the Bucs are struggling, Green Bay certainly inspires more confidence at this point in time.
Over/Under: Over 54
The Packers and Bucs have both gone over the total most times and with Tampa Bay missing Vea, the Packers should be able to do what they want. They ought to be able to control the Bucs’ defensive line and establish their offense. Brady and Rodgers should be able to pile up the points. When the Packers played the Saints a few weeks ago, 67 total points were scored. One could expect a similar game here.