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Home » Sports Betting News » Bet On NFL Games » Free NFL Expert Picks » Saints at Falcons: NFL Week 13 Betting Prediction

Saints at Falcons: NFL Week 13 Betting Prediction

December 4, 2020
in Free NFL Expert Picks
Hayden Hurst of the Atlanta Falcons takes the field against the Raiders prior to their game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images/AFP

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Okay BetUS NFL online betting nation, Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons will look to bring a halt to New Orleans’ winning ways when the NFC South rivals meet in Week 13!

While the Saints enter this matchup riding the wave of a fantastic eight-game winning streak, Atlanta has been surprisingly competitive, both on the field and against the sportsbook betting NFL odds over the course of the last month.

Now, with the Saints looking to take another step toward securing first place in the NFC playoffs and the Falcons looking to give their faint playoff hopes a big boost, let’s find out which team is offering the best value against the Week 13 NFL odds in this intriguing affair.

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Game: New Orleans Saints (9-2) at Atlanta Falcons (4-7)
Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Television: FOX

NFL Betting Lines

Team Point Spread Moneyline Over/Under Team Total
Saints  -3 -150 45 24
Falcons +3 +130 45 21

Check out the latest NFL COVID-19 news right here!

Moneyline:

New Orleans Saints (9-2) | Atlanta Falcons (4-7)

The Saints have won eight straight and two in a row with backup quarterback Taysom Hill filling in for the injured Drew Brees. New Orleans took out Denver 31-3 on Sunday to cash in as a 17-point road favorite in Week 12 as running back Latavus Murray rushed for 124 yards and two scores on 19 carries while Hill added a pair of rushing scores in the win.

If you’re looking for Week 13 NFC favorites, then look no further! 

Atlanta has looked a lot more competitive under interim head coach Raheem Morris than they did under former head coach Dan Quinn. The Falcons have won three of four and come into this matchup fresh off a stunning 43-6 blowout win over Las Vegas on Tuesday night. Matt Ryan passed for 185 yards and two touchdowns while Deion Jones returned an interception for another score to help Atlanta cover the spread as a 3.5-point home underdog.

“The biggest challenge is getting your butts kicked the first time and having to bounce back,” said Morris, who has led Atlanta to a 4-2 record since replacing the fired Dan Quinn. “You have to look yourself in the mirror and be honest with yourself, (make sure) they know the facts and why it happened.”

While the Saints have won two straight and five of the last six meetings overall, I feel a big-time upset brewing in this Week 13 showdown to exact some revenge for their 24-9 road loss against New Orleans just two weeks back.

Pick: Atlanta to Win 

Check out the NFL Conference Championship Odds >right here>!

Point Spread:

New Orleans Saints-3 (6-5) | Atlanta Falcons+3 (5-6)

The Saints are playing some phenomenal defense in not allowing more than 13 points in four straight games while going 4-0 ATS during the stretch. Prior to that, however, New Orelans won three straight games by an identical three points.

Here is a look at the hottest and coldest ATS teams in the league heading into Week 13.

While the Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against their NFC South division rivals, Atlanta has gone 3-1 ATS over its last four games and 4-2 ATS over its last six. The Falcons are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog and an even more impressive 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog.

I’m expecting Raheem Morris to cook up a game plan that makes Taysom Hill struggle in this intriguing Week 13 affair to help the Falcons cover the spread as a field goal home dog!

Pick: Atlanta to Cover

Over/Under 45 points:

New Orleans Saints (7-4)| Atlanta Falcons (5-6)

The Under has gone 4-0 in the last four meetings and 6-1 in the last seven meetings, but the 45-point total for this matchup represents the lowest O/U total in the last 10 meetings. Two of the last four meetings have topped this 45-point toal while the Over has gone 5-1 in the Saints’ last 6 games as a road favorite.

Here is a look at the Hot and Not Over/Under teams heading into Week 13.

While the Under is 5-0 in Atlanta’s last 5 games as a home underdog and 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta, I like these two to combine for at least 46 points in this affair to top the 45-point total.

Pick: Over 45 Points

Final Score: Falcons 27, Saints 21

Let’s look at New Orleans’  Super Bowl Odds

Saints at Falcons Props Predictions

The Saints are ranked inside the top 5 across the board defensively, but Atlanta ranks an encouraging 11th in scoring (26.8 pg) and has scored 34 points or more in two of its last three games.

Check out the odds to win the 2020 NFL MVP award!

Will There Be a Defensive or Special teams TD

Yes +200

No -250

Matt Ryan has tossed at least one interception in four straight games while tossing two picks and no TD passes in Atlanta’s loss to New Orleans two weeks ago. This time around, Matty Ice doesn’t throw a pick, but Taysom Hill does after tossing one last weekend. Still, the ‘No’ selection looks good in this meeting.

Check out Heisman Trophy winner and NFL Hall of Famer Tim Brown on Unfiltered! 

Total TDs in the Game Over/Under 5½

Over 4½ TDs -155

Under 4½ TDs +125

The Saints and Falcons have combined to put at least five touchdowns on the board just four times in the last 10 meetings, but not at all over the last three dating back to last season. Still, this time around I’m going with the two longtime rivals to likely top this figure by putting exactly five touchdowns on the board.

Check out some of BetUS Sportsbook’s Super Bowl prop bets ahead of the Big Game and place your bets!

BET NOW ON THE SAINTS VS FALCONS

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Tags: Atlanta FalconsAtlanta Falcons vs New Orleans SaintsNew Orleans SaintsNFL Week 13
Eric Williams

Eric Williams

A native of hard-knocks Philadelphia, Eric Williams has been working his magic in the sports and sports betting betting industry for nearly two decades. The son of legendary track and field coach George ‘Papa Bear’ Williams, Eric is arguable the world’s biggest Boston Celtics and Miami Dolphins fan whose love of both franchise predates the legendary careers of Larry Bird and Dan Marino. A veteran of the United States Air Force Reserves and former LaSalle University and Penn State University student that lives, eats and breathes sports from sun up to sun down. Eric landed his first professional sports writing job while still just a senior at Martin Luther King high school in Philadelphia and has held various titles in the print, broadcast and online journalism industry since then. In addition to his unrivaled expertise as a sports betting writer and analyst, Eric also doubles as a USPTA-certified tennis instructor and proud owner of Williams’ Sweet Spot Tennis Academy LLC just outside of San Antonio, Texas. In addition to his love for the sports betting industry, Eric is also an avid swimmer, runner, gardener and cook that has a love for feeding the homeless in and around San Antonio.

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