In today’s analytics-driven NFL, it’s all about the numbers. Or maybe you missed Matt LaFleur’s foolish “analytics-based” decision to not go for it on fourth down in last week’s NFC Championship? With that said, and Super Bowl LV getting closer by the day, now is a great time to delve inside the ATS and O/U betting statistics for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs.
The conference champs will square off in a Super Bowl 55 matchup on Sunday, Feb. 7, 2021, at 6:30 p.m. ET, live from Raymond James Stadium. Kansas City is looking to record consecutive Super Bowl victories. Tom Brady seeks to add to his six Super Bowl rings.
Will the Bucs cover the sportsbook betting spread as the first true “home” team in Super Bowl history? Will the Chiefs take care of business as a 3-point online betting favorite? Will the explosive offenses top the 56.5-point Super Bowl 55 total? Or are we destined to see a surprisingly low-scoring affair?
With questions about Super Bowl LV everywhere, let’s look inside the numbers for some answers.
Super Bowl 55 Odds Revealed!
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (14-5)
The Buccaneers have gone 11-8 ATS and O/U this season. Tampa Bay is also 2-1 ATS and O/U in three playoff games. The Bucs failed to cover the spread as a 10-point road favorite in the Wild-Card round against the Washington Football Team before cashing in as a 2.5-point road dog against New Orleans in the Divisional round and backing that up by covering the spread as a 3-point road dog against the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship last weekend.
Brady and his band of merry mates have gone 5-3 ATS at home and 6-5 ATS on the road while also going 4-1 ATS in five games as an underdog. The Bucs went 5-3 O/U on the road in the regular season and 2-1 in its three road playoff games this postseason.
Check out the always popular Super Bowl coin toss odds.
Kansas City Chiefs (16-2)
The KC Chiefs lost two regular-season games and own one of the most dangerous offenses in the league. Despite all that, Kansas City is an uninspiring 8-10 ATS and 9-9 O/U on the year. The Chiefs failed to cover the chalk as a 7.5-point home favorite in their 22-17 Divisional round win over the Cleveland Browns but managed to easily cover the spread as a 3-point home favorite against the Buffalo Bills in last weekend’s 38-24 AFC Championship showdown. Patrick Mahomes and company are 4-6 ATS in 10 home games this season. The Chiefs are 4-4 ATS in eight road dates and 7-9 ATS in 16 games as a favorite.
The total was an identical 8-8 in Kansas City’s eight home and away games in the regular season. The Chiefs have split O/U outcomes in the playoffs playing Under a 55½ -point total against the Browns in the divisional round and Over last weekend’s AFC Championship game total of 55 points.
Check out our fun-filled Super Bowl Props Odds.
By The Numbers…
The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning record.
Kansas City is 1-7 ATS over its last eight games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. However, the Chiefs have also gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games, 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win, and a bankroll-boosting 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record.
If you’re already looking toward the 2021 NFL season, then check out these special NFL Odds.
Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings against Tampa Bay. The Chiefs have won 12 of their last 13 games. The only loss coming against the Los Angeles Chargers in a meaningless Week 17 regular-season finale that saw Andy Reid rest most of his starters, including Patrick Mahomes.
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