You aren’t gambling properly if you’re not spreading your money across the hundreds of Super Bowl prop bets that are out there. There are the typical ones you expect about the coin toss and the anthem, or whether Beyonce is going to flash the audience by accident. I’ve chosen a handful of prop bets that have to do with the football game itself. Get to the sportsbook to check out all the amazing specials and prop bets out there circulating Super Bowl XLVII. There’s a lot of value to be had, and these are my favorites.
MY TOP-5 SUPER BOWL XLVII PROP BETS
1. Colin Kaepernick Total Rushing Yards (OVER 55.5 -125)
As a loving, fictional uncle once said famously, “With great power comes great responsibility” and nobody has more responsibility than Colin Kaepernick this weekend. With Baltimore disguising their defenses so well, Kaepernick’s has to win this game with his legs as much as his arm. Against a similarly styled Green Bay defense, he shredded them for 181 rushing yards. I think Kaepernick’s insistence on rushing before risking a dangerous throw he’s not confident in will force him to pound the rock more than air it out.
As a side note, when it comes to stats like this I usually prefer to compound what I’m going to cheer for anyways with Super Bowl prop bets. If you hate Joe Flacco, why don’t you toss a chip at him throwing an interception first (+180) instead of a touchdown? If you’re not a fan of Kaepernick you can bet that he’ll throw a pick (-140). It’s a way to either push your highs during the game, or sink your lows twice as far.
All of this is especially true if you’re drinking during the game.
2. First Ravens Reception – Anquan Boldin (+200)
Oh it’s so tempting to take Ray Rice here because he’s at +250, and honestly that’s not a bad bet either. But Boldin has become Joe Flacco’s go to guy in the playoffs. He’s one of the most physical receivers off the line that exists, and that makes him a much more viable option against San Francisco than Torrey Smith. I love Smith but he’s not “there” yet and San Francisco will have him in blanket coverage keeping one safety over the top at all times. Unless Flacco and Smith find San Francisco asleep at the wheel early in the game, the first reception is going to Boldin on a short route to help Joe get in to a rhythm. This is as unsexy as bets get, but to me it’s a money maker.
3. Over 9.5 Punts (-125)
This game in general is going to be a defensive standoff. That doesn’t mean that points will be denied, but it definitely implies that the punters in this game are going to be very busy. Both teams are generally conservative and will accept punting because they believe in their defenses. Besides, this is the only time you can cheer for punts ever.
4. Ravens First Score Of The Game – Field Goal (+125)
I think the Inners first score of the game will be a touchdown pass (+185) but the Ravens are going to play a littler more conservatively. After being pinned with their first chance to score, John Harbaugh isn’t going to leave points on the board. He’ll go for the kick. This is a great bet and one I always make in general because getting out ahead and putting points on the board first is a big deal for any team, especially in a pressure cooker like the Super Bowl. Baltimore will be a nervous wreck against San Francisco’s defense, so they’ll take the points when they can get them. They’ll take their risks later in the game.
5. Super Bowl MVP – Colin Kaepernick (+150)
Kaepernick is the favorite to win the MVP, followed closely by Joe Flacco at (+200) and Ray Lewis at (+400). Don’t get me started on the Lewis MVP odds. The beauty about prop bets is that you can kind of bet both sides, which is an absolute no-no when betting on game lines. Think San Francisco is going to win? Then stand by Kaepernick. Believe in Baltimore? Flacco or Ray Rice (+800) or solid entries.
Selecting Kaepernick in the MVP Super Bowl prop bets is an academic estimation in my opinion. He touches the ball on every offensive play for the Niners, and he can explode for big touchdown runs or pass for massive gains with his accurate and strong arm. The first year starter has been a tour de force in the playoffs thus far.
If you really believe that a first year starter can’t win the Super Bowl, the similarities between Kaepernick and a guy named Tom Brady in terms of their first years is pretty astounding. They both took over for established and respected – albeit polarizing – starters after being relative unknowns in the draft (though Kaepernick did have a great college career and Tom Brady had none to speak of really). I’m not saying Kaepernick is the new Brady, but I’m saying it’s possible for a first year starter to win the Super Bowl and collect MVP honors. The oddsmakers seem to agree. For the record, my favorite longshot to win MVP is Michael Crabtree at +1000.
THREE MORE JUST FOR FUN
Most Fun Prop Bet – Over 4.5 QB Sacks (-115)
The under in this bet has an equal payout, but the OVER is simply way more fun. Baltimore will be fighting against the best offensive line in the league, but they’ll still break through on a couple occasions. Same goes for the 49ers, which are amongst the best when it comes to defensive line effectiveness. Bonus fun happens when you make a chomping sound as the quarterback gets sacked. I love the idea that this prop bet lasts as long as the game does, so you can chase for 48 minutes or hit it early. Either way you’re going to enjoy this prop bet.
Wackiest Prop Bet – 1st Score Ravens/49ers Defensive Touchdown (+1800)
This is actually two separate bets because you have to bet on either team but they’re both posting at +1800 which is amazing news. I just love the crazy odds of this prop bet. You can throw $10 at both of these and hope for an insane Tedd Ginn Jr. kickoff or Terrell Suggs ripping Kaepernick in half and scoring a fumble recovery touchdown. That’s a $20 investment on both sides that can turn in to $180 in a damn hurry and pretty much cover your Super Bowl tab. It’s a very low percentage bet, but you’re going to spend $20 on dumber things in your lifetime. You could be the smartest guy at the Super Bowl party and rub it in every one’s face. The beauty is that nobody has to know you made this bet in the first place. I call it Secret Genius.
This Super Bowl prop bet is simply too strong of a value to ignore, especially with such incredible defenses on both teams. If you’re truly insane, the prop bet for the Niners scoring a safety or the Ravens scoring a safety as the first score of the game is +5000. Don’t scoff at this. If you’re betting Super Bowl props, you’re literally betting on coin tosses, colors of Gatorade and how long a person sings. You might as well have some fun with it.
Biggest Payout – Double Result With Ravens/49ers (+550)
The double result prop bet is a standard bet you can make on almost any football game. It includes the result of the first half and the result of the game. I love the 49ers to earn their fifth championship as a franchise but I’m also skeptical that they’ll be leading at the beginning of the second half. The Ravens have to strike early and put San Francisco on their heels. There is literally no time for them to get in to a rhythm” or “pick their spots”. They have to be relentless so I expect Baltimore to be out in front heading in to the second half.
Even if they kick a field goal as their first score, they’ll start taking chances quickly into the first and second quarters. San Francisco has shown a confidence in their second half adjustments, and will literally just claw to stay in the game for the first half.
The problem for Baltimore will be when San Francisco comes back out of the locker room after they’ve made their second half adjustments. As I’ve written elsewhere, the Niners have allowed one touchdown in the second halves of their playoff games against Green Bay and Atlanta which are two of the most prolific passing game around. The touchdown they gave up was a garbage score to Green Bay with less than a minute left.
This is a marathon of a bet to play out but it’s posting fantastic odds and if the game plays out the way I expect it to, I’ll be getting more than a 5-to-1 return on my investment. It’s not the most gigantic payout there is, but it’s one of the Super Bowl prop bets that has a great payout with a reasonable probability of actually happening.