Welcome to the 12th edition of The Contrarian: Against All Odds! The Week 12 NFL odds offer us several intriguing underdog picks to investigate, but three teams really stand out here. I’ve selected two road dogs and one hometown longshot to boost your betting slips, electrifying your online sports betting experience.
This trio of longshots are predicted to triumph ATS and to win straight up. They’re great options for parlay combinations, and to make some bank on favorable moneylines. So, start filling out your betting slips at the BetUS sportsbook before the lines shift. Get all of your NFL betting action in, before covid19 crashes our party.
Titans at Colts
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET on CBS
Underdog Betting Vitals
Moneyline: Titans +150
Point Spread: Titans +3 (Even $)
Both the Colts and Titans stand at 7-3, and this AFC South collision is integral in determining the division champ. Indianapolis capitalized on a Tennessee collapse in Week 10, storming back to score 21 unanswered points and winning 34-17. A well-matched divisional dog getting three points in this situation is appealing, as the law of averages draws us in. I can smell the sweet aroma of a season split from all the way down here in Costa Rica.
Regarding recent trends, the Colts and Titans each defeated powerful playoff contenders in overtime thrillers last week. Indianapolis stunned Green Bay 34-31, and Indianapolis rolled over Baltimore 30-24. Both teams have pretty strong Super Bowl Odds, with the Colts’ moneyline rated +1700 and the Titans at +2500.
Tennessee RB Derrick Henry leads the league in rushing with 1,079 yards, and he’s tallied 103 yards vs Indianapolis already. Henry rumbled to score the game-winning 29-yard touchdown in OT vs the Ravens in Week 11, and is killing it. “King Henry” is an MVP dark horse, coming in at +5000 on our regular season MVP odds.
— tnsports (@tnsports) November 22, 2020
The best player on the field here is Henry, and this backfield beast will put Tennessee on his shoulders again. Expect a heavy dose of Henry, and look for the receiving trio of Corey Davis, A.J. Brown, and Adam Humphries to make some noise. Davis has been playing possessed lately, catching 10 passes for 180 yards over his previous two games.
Expect QB Ryan Tannehill to have a shockingly superb game against this revered Colts’ passing defense. Future HOF kicker Stephen Gostkowski has gotten back on track as well, connecting on all three FG attempts vs Baltimore. The magic returns to this resilient Titans team as they march towards the postseason with a gritty road win.
Prediction: Titans 28, Colts 24
Panthers at Vikings
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET on FOX
Underdog Betting Vitals
Moneyline: Panthers +160
Point Spread: Panthers +3 ½ (-115)
The Minnesota Vikings (4-6) lost 31-28 to Dallas last week, and are in danger of being eliminated from playoff contention. It’s clear that stud RB Dalvin Cook doesn’t have a strong enough supporting cast, and the Panthers (4-7) are dangerous. Carolina blanked Detroit last week 20-0 and is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games as an underdog.
That stellar stretch includes games this year vs Tampa Bay, Kansas City, and New Orleans. With Carolina QB Teddy Bridgewater likely to play, things are looking up for the 3½-point underdogs in Minnesota. The Panthers have claws, and the Vikings are probably playing without star WR Adam Thielen (COVID), further tipping the scale.
This should be an entertaining game, and it’s probably destined for overtime. I’m picturing a Bridgewater bomb to WR Robby Anderson in OT, setting up a short field goal to win it. The Panthers’ slim playoff hopes remain alive.
Prediction: Panthers 37, Vikings 34
Chiefs at Buccaneers
Sunday, 4;25 p.m. ET on CBS
Underdog Betting Vitals
Moneyline: Buccaneers +160
Point Spread: Buccaneers +3 (Even $)
In a potential preview of Super Bowl LV in Tampa Bay, the Chiefs are three-point road favorites vs the Buccaneers. Kansas City is 9-1 this season, but only 3-2 ATS over its last five games. The Chiefs’ defense has allowed 31 points in back-to-back contests.
Tampa Bay can take control of this game by leaning heavily on RB Ronald Jones and its bruising rushing attack. By employing a deadly dose of ground and pound, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs’ offense will have limited time to do damage. Keeping Mahomes off the field as much as possible is clearly the key here.
Bucs’ QB Tom Brady was almost nonexistent in the second half last week, but he’ll rebound in this high-profile matchup. Brady will connect with WR Mike Evans a lot on Sunday afternoon, with Evans likely surpassing 100 yards and scoring. We’ll witness vintage Brady, as the Bucs send the Chiefs packing with their second loss of the season.
Prediction: Buccaneers 30, Chiefs 23