The Baltimore Ravens, winners of their last four games, head to Cincinnati in Week 17 for a chance to clinch a playoff berth. The Cincinnati Bengals have won two consecutive games of their own and will look to spoil their divisional rivals’ playoff hopes. This is an excellent game for NFL Betting in terms of importance and.
Those looking to bet online on this game should be aware of the Bengals’ excellent record in home season finales. Regardless, Baltimore is heavily favored to win and has the third-best AFC Conference Odds despite not clinching a playoff spot yet. Our NFL Odds like the Ravens on Sunday, as they’re listed as 13-point road favorites. We’ll make predictions for all of the major lines and some props.
|Game: Baltimore (10-5) vs Cincinnati (4-10-1) |
Location: Paul Brown Stadium
Time: 1 p.m. ET
NFL Betting Lines
|Team||Point Spread||Moneyline||Over/Under||Team Total|
Moneyline: Ravens -750 | Bengals +550
The Ravens have won four straight against the Bengals. However, the Bengals are 12-1 in home finales in the last 13 seasons. But the Ravens might need to win to secure a playoff spot so this game has significantly more importance for them.
Should the Ravens lose, they’ll need to rely on a Browns or Colts loss to make the playoffs. That’s certainly not a sure thing and the Ravens will want to put matters in their own hands here and continue to build momentum heading into the playoffs.
This might not be an easy game for the Ravens. The Bengals are fresh off of their best offensive performance, winning 37-30 at Houston in Week 16. It was their first road win since 2018. QB Brandon Allen threw for a career-high 371 yards with two touchdowns. They also managed 169 yards on the ground and RB Samaje Perine picked up 95 yards on 13 carries with two scores.
Allen and Perine both still have a lot to prove and will be looking to secure long-term contracts with their late-season play. Allen continues to make the case that he should be Joe Burrow’s backup next season when Burrow returns from a torn ACL. Two of the Bengals’ four wins have come against the Steelers and Titans, who the Ravens were 0-3 against.
Baltimore’s offense struggled in the middle of the season, but there have been encouraging recent signs of improvement. Lamar Jackson has thrown five touchdown passes the last two weeks and the Ravens offense has averaged 406.8 yards on their four-game winning streak. This follows a four-game stretch in which Baltimore managed 287 yards per game. The Ravens are peaking at the right time and I expect them to clinch a playoff spot here without needing help from other teams.
Pick: Ravens to Win
Point Spread: Ravens -13
The Ravens have covered the spread in their last five games and show no signs of letting up. They were 9½ point favorites against the Giants last weekend, got out to a 17 point lead at halftime, and ended up covering comfortably. The previous week against the Jags, the Ravens also covered as heavy favorites. This is quite a large spread but Baltimore is 4-1-1 ATS as favorites of more than one touchdown this season.
The Bengals have a history of covering the spread late in the season and finishing strongly. In the last ten years, the Bengals are 16-4-1 ATS in the last two weeks of the season. They’re also 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. The Ravens have compiled a solid 4-2-1 record against the spread in seven road games this season. But, this is the most they’ve been favored by all year, save for a Week 4 push against Washington as 14 point favorites.
I think this will be a closer game than most expect. The Bengals were 14½ point underdogs against the Steelers two weeks ago but ended up winning the game by 10 points. Cincinnati’s recent form has been encouraging so I’m picking the Bengals to cover here.
Pick: Bengals to Cover
Over/Under: 43½ points
The Ravens have a top-five scoring defense and have only given up 20 points per game. When these teams met earlier in the season, the Ravens held the Bengals to three points.
But, the Bengals have scored 64 points in their last two games, which is more than their scoring output from their previous five games combined. They’ve taken care of the ball the last two weeks and have a +4 turnover margin which has meant more scoring opportunities. In the last four games, the Ravens have averaged a whopping 37 points per game. With both teams on somewhat of an offensive tear the past couple of weeks I’m tempted to take the over here.
Pick: Over 43½
Props Talk for Ravens at Bengals
Total TDs Scored in the Game Over/Under 4½
Over 4½ -145
Conceivably, the Ravens could score five touchdowns of their own in this game. This is my go-to prop in the sportsbook this weekend.
First Scoring Play of the Game
Ravens TD +115
The Ravens have opened up the scoring in their last two games with a touchdown. Baltimore appears to be hyper-focused on securing a playoff spot and an early score would set the tempo for the game.
Race to 10 Points
It’s not terribly likely but it looks to be reasonably solid value. The odds correspond to a 31 percent probability of this happening and with the Bengals scoring lots of points lately, maybe the true probability is a bit higher.