There’s nothing like a Derby, and the Italian Serie A have two, the one between Inter Milan and Juventus, and the one between AC Milan and Inter Milan, also known as the “Madonnina Derby”. Precisely, AC Milan will play host to Inter Milan next Sunday with the Italian Serie A top spot at stake, it can’t get better than that!
Let’s take a look at the latest team and player news, stats, injury reports and sports betting odds for AC Milan vs Inter Milan while making some predictions.
Game: AC Milan vs Inter Milan
Location: San Siro, Milan
Time: Sunday, Feb. 21, 9 a.m. ET
Television: beIN Sports
Live Stream: fuboTV
Italian Serie A Betting Lines
|AC Milan||+½||+265||2 ½||1|
|Inter Milan||-½||+105||2 ½||1 ½|
AC Milan vs Inter Milan Betting: Head to Head
- Competitive Matches: 193
- AC Milan Victories: 61 (253 goals)
- Inter Milan Victories: 73 (263 goals)
- Draws: 59
AC Milan already beat Inter Milan back in October. They did it “on the road” (1-2), thanks to Zlatan Ibrahimović, who scored twice that day; Romelu Lukaku scored for the home side.
Last season, Inter Milan won both Italian Serie A games against AC Milan (2-0 and 4-2). In fact, Inter Milan have won five of their last 10 games against AC Milan, while AC Milan have only two victories during that span.
In their last 10 Italian Serie A encounters, AC Milan scored 15 goals, three less than Inter Milan. They also managed to finish with a clean sheet in two games and failed to score three times.
Inter Milan beat AC Milan 2-1 back in January, but that game was for the Italian Cup and. AC Milan finished with 10 players after Ibrahimović got ejected.
Moneyline: AC Milan +265 | Inter Milan +105
Why Bet on AC Milan?
AC Milan just played (Thursday, on the road) against Crvena Zvezda for the Europa League, so physically they could be in disadvantage.
Regarding the Italian Serie A, they have a 15-4-3 record, and they come from a tough and unexpected loss against Spezia (2-0). They have lost two of their last five games (they also lost against Juventus 3-1).
AC Milan have scored 45 goals (nine less than Inter Milan) and have allowed 25 (one more than Inter Milan). As expected, Zlatan Ibrahimović is the team’s top scorer with 14 goals (he’s followed by Franck Kessie with seven goals), while Hakan Calhanoglu leads the league with eight assists.
Surprisingly enough, AC Milan have been better when playing on the road (9-1-1). At home, they have a 6-3-2 record; they also have a 6-5 (against the spread) and 6-3-2 (over/under) records when playing at San Siro.
Winning this game could be the difference at the end of the season, and AC Milan haven’t won the title since 2011.
Why Bet on Inter Milan?
Well, they’re in first place, that has to mean something: consistency. Inter Milan have a 15-5-2 record, good enough for 50 points, one more than AC Milan, but that’s not all, they haven’t lost in their last 18 Italian Serie A games (their last defeat was against AC Milan).
Right now, Inter Milan have two huge advantages in order to win the title. First, they depend only on themselves to do it, and second, they’re only competing domestically, which helps a lot when it comes to rest and preparation.
Inter Milan have scored 54 goals (best in the league) and they have allowed 24 (third best among the top 10). Individually, Romelu Lukaku has been sensational, he’s the team’s top scorer with 16 goals (leads the league alongside Cristiano Ronaldo); while Marcelo Brozovic leads the team in assists with six.
Both Romelu Lukaku and Lautaro Martinez can carry the load when needed. Also, Achraf Hakimi has become one of the best wings in the world (Real Madrid should be sorry for letting him go).
During that 18-game streak without losing, Inter Milan already beat Juventus, Napoli and Lazio, while they also drew against AS Roma and Atalanta.
So far, Inter Milan have a 6-4-1 record when playing on the road. They also have a 5-4-2 (against the spread) and 4-6-1 (over/under) records when playing as the visiting side.
Discarded Players and Projected Line-ups
No major injuries to report here, which means that we can expect the best from both sides.
AC Milan’s expected lineup is Gianluigi Donnarumma, Diogo Dalot, Simon Kjaer, Matteo Gabbia, Theo Hernandez, Sandro Tonali, Franck Kessie, Alexis Saelemaekers, Hakan Calhanoglu, Rafael Leao and Zlatan Ibrahimović.
Inter Milan’s expected lineup is Samir Handanovic, Milan Skriniar, Stefan de Vrij, Alessandro Bastoni, Achraf Hakimi, Nicolo Barella, Marcelo Brozovic, Christian Eriksen, Ivan Perisic, Lautaro Martinez and Romelu Lukaku.
Over/Under 2 ½ goals: AC Milan (15-4-3) |Inter Milan (15-5-2)
Let’s see; three of the last four games between AC Milan and Inter Milan went over 2 ½ goals. Inter Milan average 2.4 goals per game, while AC Milan average 2.04 goals per game; also, we have two of the tournament’s top scorers in Romelu Lukaku (16) and Zlatan Ibrahimović (14).
That’s right, you can expect some fireworks and should go over!
Pick: Over 2 ½ goals
Final Score Prediction: AC Milan 2 – Inter Milan 2
AC Milan vs Inter Milan Props Predictions
At BetUs you can also predict the correct score and the half time-full time winners. AC Milan won their last Italian Serie A matchup 2-1, but Inter Milan won the previous four games.
During that span, they drew twice at half time, while Inter Milan managed to overcome a 0-2 half time deficit in one of those games to finish winning 4-2.
AC Milan and Inter Milan have drawn three times in their last 10 games against each other. They finished 2-2 twice.
Here’s a quick rundown of AC Milan vs Inter Milan latest results (Serie A):
- Inter Milan 1 – AC Milan 2 (1-2 at half time)
- Inter Milan 4 – AC Milan 2 (0-2 at half time)
- AC Milan 0 – Inter Milan 2 (0-0 at half time)
- AC Milan 2 – Inter Milan 3 (0-1 at half time)
- Inter Milan 1 – AC Milan 0 (0-0 at halftime)
Be sure to check all the soccer props for AC Milan vs Inter Milan betting. You can place your Italian Serie A bets at our online sportsbook, it’s not America’s Favorite Sportsbook for nothing, read our sportsbook reviews and learn what customers have to say about betting online at BetUS.