CONCACAF Gold Cup Final Betting Preview: Mexico vs USA

CONCACAF Gold Cup Final
July 7 - 9:00pm ET - Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Betting Line: Mexico +110, USA +290, Draw +215

The stage is set for the US Men's National Team to take on Mexico in the CONCACAF Gold Cup Final this Sunday, July 7th. The game will take place in Chicago, IL. Team USA has the home field advantage, however few places in the U.S. would pose a more even setting due to Chicago's high Mexican or "Chicano" population.

These teams have met five times since 2015. In those five matches, they're an even 2-2-1. Team USA holds a slight 7-6 goal advantage. In 21 matches since 2002, USA has won 47.62% of the time. Mexico has won 23.81%. 28.57% of their meetings have gone to a draw. The Americans won their last meeting 1-0 in a friendly match in November 2018.

Mexico has won their last nine matches. Raul Jimenez leads Mexico with five goals in their last five matches. Uriel Antuna is a close second with four goals scored.

Team USA is on a five match winning streak. They have allowed just one goal in the Gold Cup tournament thus far (Jamaica). Gyasi Zardes and Christian Pulisic are tied with three goals a piece in the Gold Cup.

After having a subpar showing against Curacao, Team USA stepped up to the pitch and delivered against Jamaica. Weston McKennie drew first blood with a goal in the 9th minute off of a Jozy Altidore pass. That was the only goal of the first half. Christian Pulisic set the pace in the second half. He scored an unassisted goal in the 52nd minute. After Jamaica inched closer with a Shamar Nicolson goal in minute 69, Pulisic scored again with three minutes remaining in regular time.

Despite losing the possession battle, the USMNT was very efficient with the ball. They recorded 22 shot attempts and hit eight on target. It was a good day for the Americans.

Even in a 1-0 finish, Mexico dominated the Haitians in their CONCACAF Semifinal. La Tricolor controlled the ball for 70% of the match. They shot 19 times to Haiti's eight, hitting five on target. Mexico earned a whopping 11 corner kicks and 21 free kicks in the match. Mexico scored the lone goal of the match in extra time (93'). Raul Jimenez scored on a penalty kick to send Mexico to the Gold Cup Final.

The fact that Mexico only managed to score once...in extra time...off a penalty kick after having possession for 70% of the match should be unsettling for potential Mexico backers. Mexico dominated on the stat-sheet and had opportunities galore, but struggled to make the most out of them.

This will be a highly contested match. In the end, it will be Team USA that will lift the trophy. I expect it to happen in regular time. +290 seem like great odds if you're in my line of thinking. Bet on the Red, White, and Blue on Fourth of July weekend. I know I am.