Manchester City vs Watford

Manchester City will look to bounce back from a rare loss when they play host to Watford this weekend. This game comes with a 2.5-goal spread in favor of the Citizens, who also have a money line of -909. Meanwhile, Watford has a money line of +1653 with a draw set at +744

Watford enters their game against the reigning Premier League champions at the bottom of the table. The Hornets lost their first three games of the season before managing a draw against Newcastle right before the international break. It was during the break that Javi Gracia was fired and former Watford manager Quique Sánchez Flores rehired to lead the team. Watford earned a 2-2 come-from-behind draw with Arsenal over the weekend, which is a positive step in the right direction.

As for Man City, they took three wins and a draw from their first four Premier League games of the season. However, they were shocked by newly-promoted Norwich City over the weekend, losing 3-2. Pep Guardiola's team remains in second place in the standings but are five points back behind Liverpool, a gap that already seems quite large. Man City also has a midweek trip to Ukraine to play Shakhtar Donetsk in Champions League, so fatigue could be an issue by the time they return home to play Watford.

Leaky Backline

There's no denying that the backline was an issue for Manchester City during the loss to Norwich. The Citizens allowed a goal off a corner kick and were then hurt by the Canaries on the counterattack. With Vincent Kompany moving on during the summer and Aymeric Laporte missing due to injury, Guardiola has little choice but to lean on Nicolas Otamendi and John Stones at center back. The pair clearly has weaknesses and can be prone to mistakes.

The good news is that City still has plenty of offensive firepower. They've held a considerable possession advantage against every team they've played this season and have put away 16 goals in five matches. Even down 3-1, it seemed like City had plenty of time and talent to get back in the game. Having scored at least two goals in every game this season, City remains a potent offensive force despite last week's loss.

Putting It Together

The Hornets will be ecstatic to have gotten a draw against Arsenal over the weekend, especially after trailing 2-0 at halftime. They also got the better of the Gunners statistically, firing off 31 shots, including 10 on net, forcing eight saves out of the Arsenal keeper. Watford also had a 7-1 edge in corner kicks.

The downside is that Flores doesn't yet have the defensive organization that he wants in his team. Naturally, that will take some time for the new manager to accomplish, even if he was at the club during the 2015-16 campaign. The Hornets allowed two first-half goals from Arsenal striker Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, so facing a City team with multiple world-class goal scorers should be a challenge.

Bounce Right Back

Can you imagine Manchester City losing two Premier League games in a row? It doesn't seem likely to happen. The Hornets are capable of producing trouble on the counterattack with the likes of Gerard Deulofeu and Andre Gray. But they won't keep the City attack contained. Bet on Manchester City to win and cover the 2.5-goal spread.