Barcelona and Atletico Madrid took care of business in their last match, setting up a showdown for next Saturday, where the winner will be one step closer to winning La Liga title, especially if the visiting side pulls off the upset.
Let’s take a look at the latest team and player news, stats, injury reports and the La Liga Odds for Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid while making some predictions.
Game: Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid
Location: Camp Nou, Barcelona
Time: Saturday, May 8, 10:15 a.m. ET
Television: beIN Sports
Live Stream: fuboTV
La Liga Betting Lines
|Barcelona||-½ -125||-125||2½ -130o||1½ -135o / +105u|
|Atletico Madrid||+½ +105||+350||2½ +110u||1 Evo / -130u|
Head to Head
- Competitive Matches: 214
- Barcelona Victories: 95 (399 goals)
- Atletico Madrid Victories: 68 (317 goals)
- Draws: 51
The last time they met, Atletico Madrid won 1-0 thanks to a goal from Yannick Carrasco. Atletico finished with four yellow cards, none for Barcelona.
That was Barcelona’s only defeat in their last 10 games against Atletico Madrid. They own a 6-3-1 record, scored 12 goals and allowed six; finishing with a clean sheet four times and failing to score just once.
The last time Atletico Madrid visited Camp Nou the game ended 2-2.
Why bet on Barcelona?
Barcelona needs to win, that’s it. Losing would mean to be five points behind Atletico Madrid with three games left and beating Barca twice would give Atletico the advantage in a potential tie.
Last Sunday, Barcelona defeated Valencia 3-2 thanks to a couple of goals from Lionel Messi, who now leads the league’s scoring chart with 28 goals, seven more than Karim Benzema. That victory allows Barcelona to dream with the top spot, but they need to beat Atletico Madrid and expect Real Madrid to not win against Sevilla.
We all know Messi is the most important player, but Frenkie de Jong has become a crucial one.
“Messi believes that Frenkie is a great player. He believes that Frenkie can reach an even higher level. He considers Frenkie very intelligent,” explained manager Ronald Koeman to the Telegraaf.
Barcelona owns an 11-4-2 record when playing at home; 7-8-2 against the spread and 8-7-2 over/under. They scored two goals or more in four of their last five games in all competitions; they lost the only time they didn’t (1-2 against Granada).
Martin Braithwaite, Philippe Coutinho and Ansu Fati remain out due to injury, while Ronald Koeman is suspended; he won’t be able to be at the bench giving instructions unless Barcelona wins the appeal
Their expected lineup is Marc-Andre ter Stegen, Ronald Araujo, Sergino Dest, Oscar Mingueza, Gerard Pique, Jordi Alba, Pedri, Sergio Busquets, Frenkie de Jong, Antoine Griezmann and Lionel Messi.
Why Bet on Atletico Madrid?
Atletico Madrid comes from a polemic 1-0 victory against Elche, allowing them to remain at the top with 76 points, two more than Real Madrid and Barcelona, and to depend only on themselves to win the title, but that’s not enough to be sports betting favorites here.
Overall, Atletico has allowed 22 goals, the best defensive record in the league, but they’ve scored 19 goals less than Barcelona. They scored just one goal in three of their last five games in all competitions, the same amount of games with a clean sheet.
Atletico owns a 10-4-3 record when playing on the road; 8-7-2 against the spread and 6-7-4 over/under.
Luis Suarez, who played for Barcelona between 2014 and 2020, will be returning to Camp Nou for the first time. So far, he has been sensational for Atletico, leading the team in scoring with 19 goals, fourth best in the league.
Winning La Liga title is all they’ve left, and it would be very special because they haven’t won it since the 2013-14 season.
Defender Renan Lodi is out due to injury. Their expected lineup is Jan Oblak, Stefan Savic, Felipe Monteiro, Mario Hermoso, Marcos Llorente, Sime Vrsaljko, Koke, Saul, Thomas Lemar, Joao Felix and Luis Suarez.
Final Analysis and Predictions
Go big or go home for both. The winner will win a lot more than three points, and the loser would be pretty much out of the title race. Just one of the last five games between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid went over 2½ goals, so you can expect a close game, but that doesn’t mean it’s not going to be a thriller.
Score Prediction: Barcelona 1, Atletico Madrid 1