Brazil is practically always the favorite, but even moreso when they’re playing an official continental tournament at home. The second stop on Brazil’s way to defend the Copa America title it conquered in 2019 will be against Peru, which sits in last place of the 2022 World Cup qualifiers. However, not long ago, Peru played a great game against Brazil.
Let’s take a look at the latest team and player news, stats, injury reports and the 2021 Copa America Odds for Paraguay vs Bolivia while making some predictions.
Game: Brazil vs Peru
Location: Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Time: Thursday, June 17, 8 p.m. ET
Television: beIN Sports
Live Stream: fuboTV
Copa America Betting Lines
|Brazil||-1½ -115||-365||2½ -130o|
|Peru||+1½ -115||+900||2½ EVu|
Head to Head
- Competitive Matches: 47
- Brazil Victories: 33 (102 goals)
- Peru Victories: 5 (33 goals)
- Draws: 9
Last November, Peru played host to Brazil on the road to the 2022 World Cup and managed to score two goals in a 4-2 setback. Neymar played an amazing game and ended up scoring a hat trick.
Brazil and Peru collided twice during the last edition of the Copa America in 2019, including the Grand Finale. Brazil won both games, 5-0 and 3-1. The last time Peru was able to beat Brazil was in a friendly match, a 1-0 victory in 2019.
In their last five meetings, Brazil scored 14 goals, allowed four, finished with a clean sheet three times and scored in every game.
Why Bet on Brazil?
Brazil is third in the FIFA World Ranking behind Belgium and France, but to be honest, I do think they’re better than Belgium and could put up a real fight against France. In the first five games of the South American qualifiers tofor the 2022 World Cup, Brazil scored 14 goals and allowed two, proving they’ve become a balanced team.
The roster is so talented that head coach Tite could make several changes and they would still be the favorites. All Brazil starters play in Europe and they’re used to the pressure of being the favorites and everybody expecting them to win comfortably.
Prior to the tournament, several players talked about a boycott, but all decided to play after Rogerio Caboclo, president of the Brazilian Football Confederation, got suspended due to an accusation of sexual harassment. Once they decided to play, we knew they would go all-in to win the title, because it’s in their DNA.
In their last 10 games in all competitions, Brazil averaged 1.9 goals. There’s no doubt that they will score; the real question is how many goals?
Dani Alves is expected to play after missing their last games due to injury. Their expected lineup is Allison, Dani Alves, Marquinhos, Eder Militao, Alex Sandro, Casemiro, Fabinho, Fred, Neymar, Richarlison and Roberto Firmino.
Why Bet on Peru?
Peru is not doing well on the road to the 2022 World Cup, but believe it or not, they were the only team capable of scoring against Brazil in the first five fixtures. That’s right, the only two goals Brazil conceded during that span were against Peru.
This team is very unstable. They lost their last three games at home, but they managed to draw 2-2 against Paraguay, one of three unbeaten teams in the qualifiers, on the road.
Veteran striker Paolo Guerrero, who plays for Inter in the Brazilian Serie A, remains as their top player, but Renato Tapia, who plays for Celta de Vigo in La Liga, and Pedro Gallese, who plays for Orlando City in the Major League Soccer, have become his best allies.
Peru last won the Copa America in 1975. In 2019, they finished as runners-up against all sports betting odds, and the result of this match will allow us to know if they really have a chance to do it again.
Their expected lineup is Pedro Gallese, Aldo Corzo, Christian Ramos, Luis Abram, Miguel Trauco, Yoshimar Yotun, Renato Tapia, Luis Advincula, Christian Cueva, Andre Carillo and Paolo Guerrero.
Final Analysis, Predictions
Brazil’s offensive unit it’s like no other and they feel even more comfortable when playing at home. Expect them to try and crush all their opponents, including Peru, which has nothing to lose but three points. Three of the last five matches between the two went over 2½ goals, and I think both teams will score again, but Brazil has nothing to fear.
Don’t forget to check the Soccer Props to increase your winning chances by predicting the correct score, half time/full time winner, and more. Also, don’t forget that the European Championship is on so head over the Euro 2020 Odds and mix things up.
Score Prediction: Brazil 4, Peru 1