We are eight games away from the current Bundesliga season finale, but only two teams remain in the title race: Bayern Munich (61 points) and RB Leipzig (57 points). RB Leipzig will play host to Bayern Munich next Saturday, and they know that losing, and being seven points away, could be too much.
Let’s take a look at the latest team and player news, stats, injury reports, and Bundesliga Betting odds for RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich while making some predictions.
Game: RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich
Location: Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Time: Saturday, April 3, 12:30 p.m. ET
Television: beIN Sports
Live Stream: fuboTV
Bundesliga Betting Lines
|RB Leipzig||+½ 145||+200||3||1|
|Bayern Munich||-½ +125||+125||3||1½|
Head to Head
- Competitive Matches: 11
- RB Leipzig Victories: 1 (11 goals)
- Bayern Munich Victories: 5 (20 goals)
- Draws: 5
In December, Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig drew (3-3) in one of the best 2020-21 Bundesliga season games so far. Curiously enough, Robert Lewandowski didn’t score for Bayern Munich but Jamal Musiala and Thomas Muller (twice) did, while Christopher Nkunku, Justin Kluivert and Emil Forsberg scored for the visiting side.
The last four Bundesliga games between RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich finished with a draw. Bayern Munich was the last to win (1-0) back in the 2018-19 season.
Bayern Munich finished with a clean sheet in five of their last 10 games against RB Leipzig, while they failed to score just twice. RB Leipzig’s only victory against Bayern Munich was 2-1 at home (2017-18).
Why bet on RB Leipzig?
RB Leipzig has to go all-in here. They’re already eliminated from the UEFA Champions League, which means that winning the Bundesliga is the only way to save their season, and the only way to prevent a ninth consecutive title for Bayern Munich.
They’ve had an incredible season, but against Bayern Munich, a 17-6-3 record is just good enough for second place. Nevertheless, RB Leipzig haven’t lost in their last eight Bundesliga games, and they own a 10-2-1 record at home.
RB Leipzig have scored 48 goals (fourth best in the league) and allowed 21 (best in the league). Emil Forsberg, Christopher Nkunku and Marcel Sabitzer lead the team’s scoring sheet with six goals each.
The home side (11-11-4 against the spread and 9-13-4 over/under) will have several players out. Dayotchanculle Upamecano and Angelino will be out due to injury, while Kevin Kampl is suspended. Their absence is the reason for RB Leipzig not having better sports betting chances for this one.
RB Leipzig’s expected lineup is Peter Gulacsi, Tyler Adams, Willi Orban, Lukas Klostermann, Marcel Halstenberg, Daniel Olmo, Yussuf Poulsen, Marcel Sabitzer, Amadou Haidara, Hwang Hee-chan and Emil Forsberg.
Why Bet on Bayern Munich?
The question should be, why not bet on Bayern Munich? And right now, the answer is quite simple: Robert Lewandowski is out due to a right knee injury. He has scored 35 goals; he’s followed by Thomas Muller and Serge Gnabry with just 10 and nine goals.
Bayern Munich is going to miss him for sure, but the team has to respond as a unit. Three weeks ago they crushed Borussia Dortmund’s title hopes, and now they want to do the same with RB Leipzig’s.
The reigning champions have a 19-4-3 overall record. They’ve won their last four Bundesliga games in a row with a 16-4 aggregate; they’ve scored 78 goals (best in the league by a mile) and allowed 35 (fifth best in the league).
All their defeats so far have been on the road (9-1-3), but recently they beat Lazio (4-1) in Italy for the UEFA Champions League. Speaking of the Champions League, Bayern Munich will face PSG in the Round of 8, which starts next week, and that could mean not having all their attention on next Saturday’s game.
Jerome Boateng and Alphonso Davies will also be out against RB Leipzig due to suspension. Bayern Munich’s expected lineup is Manuel Neuer, Lucas Hernandez, Benjamin Pavard, Javi Martinez, Niklas Sule, Joshua Kimmich, Leon Goretzka, Serge Gnabry, Thomas Muller, Leroy Sane and Kingsley Coman.
Final Analysis and Prediction
With the title on the line and Robert Lewandowski out, this is RB Leipzig’s best opportunity to beat Bayern Munich for the first time since the 2017-18 season.
You can expect some fireworks here. The last four Bayern Munich Bundesliga games went over 3½ goals (they scored at least three goals), and RB Leipzig averaged 2.2 goals per game in their last five domestic matches.
I think RB Leipzig has everything they need to win here, but Bayern Munich will not go down without a fight.