Atletico Madrid is very close to winning La Liga for the first time since the 2013-14 season, but there are two crucial games left: Sevilla next Sunday and Barcelona in May. Sevilla could not only return to the title race but also secure a UEFA Champions League ticket for next season.
Let’s take a look at the latest team and player news, stats, injury reports, and La Liga Betting odds for Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid while making some predictions.
Game: Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
Location: Sanchez Pizjuan Stadium, Sevilla
Time: Sunday, April 4, 3 p.m. ET
Television: beIN Sports
Live Stream: fuboTV
La Liga Betting Lines
Head to Head
- Competitive Matches: 170
- Sevilla Victories: 52 (240 goals)
- Atletico Madrid Victories: 64 (257 goals)
- Draws: 54
The last time Atletico Madrid and Sevilla met, Atletico Madrid won 2-0 thanks to Angel Correa and Saul. In fact, Atletico hasn’t lost in their last eight games against Sevilla but have drawn four times.
Sevilla won just one of the last 10 games against Atletico Madrid, and they scored just nine goals, while Atletico Madrid scored 17. The “Colchoneros” finished with a clean sheet three times and failed to score twice.
Curiously enough, in their last 10 encounters there have been 73 yellow cards in total, so you can expect a very physical game.
Why bet on Sevilla?
What an incredible season has been for Sevilla, but against powerhouses such as Atletico Madrid, Barcelona and Real Madrid, a 17-4-7 record is only good enough for fourth place (55 points, five points away from third place).
Sevilla hasn’t lost in their last three La Liga games. More recently, they drew 1-1 against Valladolid, but previously beat both Real Betis (1-0) and Elche (2-0).
They haven’t been able to defeat any of the top three teams, but they certainly have the tools to do it. Youssef En-Nesyri is one of the tournament’s top scorers with 15 goals, and they own the second-best defensive unit in La Liga after allowing just 21 goals in 28 games.
That’s not all, because they recently signed Alejandro Gomez from Atalanta. The veteran striker scored 51 goals for Atalanta in six and a half seasons.
Sevilla are already eliminated from the Copa del Rey and the UEFA Champions League, which means they can fully focus on finishing La Liga in the best way possible. They own a 10-1-3 record when playing at home, and they also are 7-4-3 (against the spread) and 4-10 (over/under) when playing at Sanchez-Pizjuan Stadium.
Aleix Vidal will not be able to be on the field next Sunday due to injury. Sevilla’s expected lineup is Bono, Jesus Navas, Jules Kounde, Diego Carlos, Karim Rekik, Joan Jordan, Nemanja Gudelj, Alejandro Gomez, Olivier Torres, Suso and Youssef En-Nesyri.
Why Bet on Atletico Madrid?
They’re not on the top because of luck. Diego Simeone (manager) has been able to get the best of every player, including Luis Suarez, and that’s why they’re on top with a four-point advantage over Barcelona (six-point advantage over Real Madrid).
Atletico Madrid hasn’t lost in their last five domestic games, but they barely beat Deportivo Alaves (1-0) in their last match. Recently, they lost to Chelsea in the Champions League Round of 16, another huge reason to win La Liga.
The “Colchoneros” have scored 51 goals (second best in the league) and allowed just 18 (best in the league). Individually, Luis Suarez has been sensational; he has scored 19 goals (second best in the league), while Marcos Llorente leads the team in assists with eight.
Atletico Madrid has been one of the best away teams this season; they own a 9-3-1 record (their only defeat was against Real Madrid). They also own an 8-4-1 record against the spread when playing on the road, and 5-5-3 regarding the total (over/under).
Yannick Carrasco is out of Sunday’s match due to suspension. Their expected lineup is Jan Oblak, Stefan Savic, Felipe Monteiro, Mario Hermoso, Marcos Llorente, Sime Vrsaljko, Koke, Saul, Thomas Lemar, Joao Felix and Luis Suarez.
Final Analysis and Prediction
Expect a back and forth game here, but not too many goals. Just one of the last five games between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid went over two goals, and Atletico Madrid scored just one goal in their last three matchups (all competitions).
Sevilla scored at least one goal in each of their last five games (all competitions), but Alejandro Gomez needs more time to fully adapt. Don’t forget to take a look at our online sportsbook when you make your bet.
Both teams have a lot to play for.