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Home » Sports Betting News » Soccer Betting » Soccer Picks » Manchester City to Drop the Hammer on the EPL Title

Manchester City to Drop the Hammer on the EPL Title

The 'Citizens' are looking strong at the top

March 31, 2021
in Soccer Picks
Manchester City's Belgian midfielder Kevin De Bruyne celebrates scoring the opening goal during the UEFA Champions League

Attila KISBENEDEK / AFP

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The “Citizens” have a 14-point advantage at the top with eight games left.

Manchester City won two of the last five English Premier League titles, and they’re on the verge of winning it again. Pep Guardiola’s team wants revenge on Leicester City, who humiliated them in the first leg.

Let’s take a look at the latest team and player news, stats, injury reports and English Premier League Betting odds for Leicester City vs Manchester City while making some predictions.

Game: Leicester City vs Manchester City

Location: King Power Stadium, Leicester

Time: Saturday, April 3, 12:30 p.m. ET

Television: beIN Sports

Live Stream: fuboTV

English Premier League Betting Lines

 

Team Handicap Moneyline Over/Under Team Total
Leicester City +1 +500 2½ ½
Manchester City -1 -175 2½ 1½
Draw +315

Head to Head

  • Competitive Matches: 121
  • Leicester City Victories: 32 (168 goals)
  • Manchester City Victories: 59 (227 goals)
  • Draws: 30 

Leicester City literally shocked the sports betting world after beating Manchester City 5-2 (on the road) back in September. Jamie Vardy scored a hat-trick, while James Maddison and Youri Tielemans finished the work.

Nevertheless, Manchester City won six of their last 10 games against Leicester City (6-0-4). Curiously enough, they haven’t drawn since the 2015-16 season.

In those last 10 games, Manchester City finished with a clean sheet three times, and they scored at least one goal in every single game. Overall, they scored 20 goals, while Leicester City scored 17. 

Why bet on Leicester City?

While they’re not fighting for the title anymore (15 points away from Manchester City, at this level that’s too much), the “Foxes” are still fighting for second place and a ticket for next season’s UEFA Champions League.

Right now, Leicester City sits in third place with 56 points (17-5-7), one point less than Manchester United. More recently, they beat both Brighton (2-1) and Sheffield United (5-0); they also beat Manchester United (3-1) in the FA Cup Round of 8.

Leicester City has scored 53 goals (third-best in the league) and they’ve allowed 32 (fourth-best in the league). As expected, Jamie Vardy is the team’s top scorer with 12 goals, but some other players such as Ayoze Perez and Youri Tielemans went from being a promise to a reality.

Yes, the “Foxes” should be more focused on winning the FA Cup, but they can’t sleep on the English Premier League competition, because Tottenham (sixth place, which means no international competition next season) is only eight points away.

At home, Leicester City owns a 7-1-6 record (more losses at home than on the road). They also are 7-6-1 (against the spread) and 8-5-1 (over/under) when playing at King Power Stadium.

Several Leicester City players will be on the sidelines next Saturday due to injury, including James Justin, Harvey Barnes, and Wes Morgan. The “Foxes” expected lineup is Kasper Schmeichel, Caglar Soyuncu, Wesley Fofana, Jonny Evans, Timothy Castagne, Wilfred Ndidi, Youri Tielemans, Marc Albrighton, Ayoze Perez, Kelechi Iheanacho and Jamie Vardy.

Why Bet on Manchester City?

Manchester City won their last 14 away matches in a row. That’s one of the reasons for them to be at the top spot with 71 points (22-5-3), 14 points more than second place (Manchester United).

The “Citizens” last defeat was against Manchester United (0-2), but curiously enough, two of their three loses so far were at home. They have the title in the pocket, but they want to make it official as soon as possible in order to concentrate on winning the UEFA Champions League

(they’ll be facing Borussia Dortmund in the Round of 8).

Regarding the English Premier League, Manchester City has scored 64 goals (best in the league) and they’ve allowed just 21 (also best in the league). None of their players are in the league’s top scorers’ chart (Ilkay Gundogan leads the team with 12 goals), but Kevin De Bruyne comes second in the assists chart with 11.

Right now, everybody’s focusing on Sergio “Kun” Aguero, who’ll be leaving at the end of the season, and their peers miss him already. “Sergio Aguero has contributed a lot to the position that Manchester City are currently in. He’s a great person,” said Gundogan.

Precisely, Aguero should be back at 100% for next Saturday. Pep Guardiola (manager) is going to have all players available, and the “Citizens” expected lineup is Ederson Moraes, John Stones, Ruben Dias, Aymeric Laporte, Rodrigo, Joao Cancelo, Ilkay Gundogan, Kevin De Bruyne, Raheem Sterling, Sergio Aguero and Bernardo Silva.

Manchester City is 6-5-3 (against the spread) and 6-8 (over/under) when playing away from home.

Final Analysis and Prediction

Manchester City is a powerhouse, and all powerhouses want to win every single game. At least one first half goal has been scored in 87% of Manchester City’s English Premier League games this season, proving how aggressive they can be.

Nevertheless, Leicester City is one of three teams that already beat them. Also, keep in mind that the last three games between Leicester City and Manchester City have seen at least one penalty (forget about avoiding physical contact in high level games like this).

Expect some fireworks here. Leicester City 2, Manchester City 2

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Tags: Leicester CityManchester City BetsManchester City vs Leicester Citysoccer bets
Zack Robinson

Zack Robinson

Zack Robinson is an experienced freelance writer/sports betting analyst who thinks and talks sports 24/7, that’s right, even when he sleeps. Zack has been writing insightful sports betting related articles for a decade and believes that every piece of information should be considered relevant, from the weather forecast to the stats, recent events, odds fluctuations and more; that’s why he makes sure to cover it all.

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