This season, AC Milan, with the veteran and auto proclaimed semi-god Zlatan Ibrahimović leading the way, have dominated the Italian Serie A. They remain undefeated, but Napoli want to change that next Sunday when both teams collide in one of the most important matches of the year.
Sassuolo (second place), Roma (fourth place) and Juventus (fifth place) will be monitoring the result closely.
Let’s take a deeper look into Napoli vs AC Milan while making some predictions. You can rest assured that BetUs has all your Sports Betting needs covered.
Game: Napoli vs AC Milan
Location: Stadio San Paolo
Time: Sunday, 2:45 p.m. ET
Television: beIN Sports
Live Stream: fuboTV
Italian Serie A Betting Lines
|Napoli||– ½||+125||3||1 ½|
|AC Milan||+ ½||+210||3||1|
Head to Head
- Competitive Matches: 150
- Napoli Victories: 44 (170 goals)
- AC Milan Victories: 57 (211 goals)
- Draws: 49
Last season, both Napoli vs AC Milan games finished with a draw.
First, they drew 1-1 at San Siro. Hirving Lozano scored for Napoli and Giacomo Bonaventura leveled things up for AC Milan.
Later, at San Paolo, they drew 2-2. Theo Hernandez and Franck Kessie scored for AC Milan, while Giovanni Di Lorenzo and Dries Mertens did it for Napoli.
Five of the last 10 Napoli vs AC Milan matches ended tied, including the last three.
Moneyline: Napoli +125 | AC Milan +210
Why bet on Napoli?
Napoli have 14 points thanks to a 5-0-2 record (third place). They have scored 15 goals (worst among the top seven) and allowed seven (second best among the top seven).
Their two losses were against Juventus (3-0) and Sassuolo (2-0), both teams are among the Italian Serie A top five.
With the exception of the matchup against Sassuolo, Napoli have been impeccable at home, winning two of their three games with a 10-1 aggregate, including a 4-1 victory against Atalanta, considered one of the title contenders.
Hirving Lozano is the team’s top scorer with four goals and Dries Mertens leads the assists department with three. Napoli also have other talented players like Kalidou Koulibaly, Matteo Napolitano and Lorenzo Insigne..
Keep in mind that Gennaro Gattusso is Napoli’s head coach, and he played for AC Milan from 1999 since 2012, so he knows their culture and base style very well.
Why Bet on AC Milan?
AC Milan have 17 points thanks to a 5-2-0 record. Only them, Sassuolo and Juventus remain undefeated.
The “Rossoneros” have scored 16 goals (second best among the top five) and allowed seven (second best among the top five).
They drew against AS Roma (3-3) and Hellas Verona (2-2). Surprisingly enough, those games were at home, but that means that AC Milan have a perfect record (3-0-0) on the road; they won those games with a 6-2 aggregate, including a 2-1 victory against the powerful Inter Milan.
Ibrahimović has been sensational. He leads the Italian Serie A top scorers list with eight goals (he’s 39 years old!) and Rafael Leao leads the assists department with three.
One of AC Milan’s advantages is that with the exception of Zlatan, all their other key players are young; which means they are eager to prove themselves to the world. Gianluigi Donnarumma (21), Davide Calabria (23), Ismael Bennacer (22), Rafael Leao (21) and Brahim Diaz (21).
This is Stefano Pioli’s second season as AC Milan’s manager, but he has tons of experience in the Serie A. He already coached some other important Italian teams such as Lazio, Inter Milan and Fiorentina.
Discarded Players and Projected Line-ups
Surprisingly enough, both teams are really healthy. Regarding Napoli, the main absence is Arkadiusz Milik (28 goals in the last two seasons), but not because he’s injured, he wasn’t registered to play this tournament.
Napoli’s expected lineup is David Ospina, Elseid Hysaj, Kalidou Koulibaly, Kostas Manolas, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Tiemoue Bakayoko, Fabian Pena, Lorenzo Insigne, Dries Mertens, Hirving Lozano and Victor Osimhen.
AC Milan’s expected lineup is Gianluigi Donnarumma, Davide Calabria, Simon Kjaer, Matteo Gabbia, Theo Hernandez, Ismael Bennacer, Franck Kessie, Alexis Saelemaekers, Hakan Calhanoglu, Rafael Leao and Zlatan Ibrahimović.
Pick: Draw 1-1
Over/Under 3 goals: Napoli (5-0-2) | AC Milan (5-2-0)
Only two of the last seven matches between Napoli and AC Milan went over three goals. Yes, both teams average 2.1 goals per game, but two of the best defensive units in the league will collide next Sunday; just Hellas Verona and Juventus have allowed less goals (five and six) than Napoli and AC Milan (seven).
The total has gone under three goals in Napoli’s last three games.
Besides, both teams have several players returning from international duties, which means they could be limited physically speaking.
Pick: Under 3 goals
Final Score Prediction:
Napoli vs AC Milan Props Predictions
As we already mentioned, the last three Napoli vs AC Milan matches ended tied. Curiously enough, 0-0, 1-1 and 2-2 (yes, in that order), but we are not seeing a 3-3 result.
Our prediction 1-1 offers a +550 value, while a Napoli 1-0 victory is +850 and an AC Milan 2-1 victory is +950.
Be sure to check all the Soccer Props for Napoli vs AC Milan.