The Major League Soccer (MLS) season began two weeks ago, and no Eastern Conference team was able to win its first two games. Meanwhile, eight teams haven’t won at all, including the Philadelphia Union, who’ll be facing the 1-0-1 New York City FC on Saturday.
Let’s take a look at the latest team and player news, stats, injury reports and the MLS Odds for Philadelphia vs New York while making some predictions.
Game: Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC
Location: Subaru Park, Pennsylvania
Time: Saturday, May 1, 7:30 p.m. ET
Live Stream: ESPN+
MLS Betting Lines
|Philadelphia Union||Pk-150||+120||2½ -140o||1½ -105o / -125u|
|New York City FC||Pk+120||+200||2½ +110u||1 -170o / +140u|
Head to Head
- Competitive Matches: 13
- Philadelphia Union Victories: 4 (17 goals)
- New York City FC Victories: 8 (23 goals)
- Draws: 1
Last year, Philadelphia Union defeated New York City FC 1-0 in the MLS is Back Tournament with a goal from Alejandro Bedoya, breaking a four-game losing streak against the “Big Apple” representative.
Overall, New York leads the all-time series against Philadelphia with an 8-1-4 record in which New York scored 19 goals and allowed 13.
Why bet on Philadelphia Union?
Yes, Philadelphia hasn’t won in the MLS and they’re not among the favorites to dethrone Columbus Crew, but is 3-0-0 in the CONCACAF Champions League, including a huge 3-0 road victory against Atlanta United in the first leg of the Quarterfinals. Previously, they eliminated Deportivo Saprissa with a 5-0 aggregate.
Domestically, Philadelphia drew 0-0 against Columbus, and lost 2-1 against Inter Miami CF at home. “We wasted a lot of good performances from the guys. We fell asleep for two plays and were punished by a very good opponent…It’s been a while since one got away from us like this,” said manager Jim Curtin after the loss against Miami.
Jamiro Monteiro scored their lone goal so far, his fourth in the last eight regular season games, becoming a very important piece for the team.
After the first two games, they’re 1-1 against the spread and over/under; 0-1 and 1-0 when playing at home. The Union lost their last two games at home, but they haven’t lost three straight home matches since 2012.
Philadelphia is trying to add Hungarian playmaker Daniel Gazdag, currently playing for Budapest Honved FC, but a deal is far from done. So, Curtin is expected to repeat the starting lineup who faced Atlanta United last Tuesday: Andre Blake; Kai Wagner, Jack Elliott, Jakob Glesnes, Olivier Mbaizo; Jose Martinez, Leon Flach, Alejandro Bedoya, Jamiro Monteiro; Kacper Przybylko, Cory Burke.
Why Bet on New York City FC?
The New York City FC is not playing the CONCACAF Champions League, meaning they can fully concentrate on doing their best domestically. So far, they’re 1-0-1 after losing 2-1 against DC United, and crushing Cincinnati FC 5-0.
Jesus Medina scored twice against Cincinnati, while Valentin Mariano Castellanos scored in both games. They’ve become one of the most dangerous attacking duos in the league, and don’t forget about Maximiliano Moralez, experience at the service of the whole team.
“I think we’re much stronger now than we were last year. We’ve been one year together; we’ve developed a lot of the players; we have a lot of young players, and we’ve signed more good players,” said manager Ronny Deila.
Deila is not wrong. Right now, they’re offering a +1600 price at the Odds to win the MLS, sixth best.
New York is 1-1 against the spread and 2-0 over/under; 0-1 and 1-0 when playing on the road. Their 5-0 victory over FC Cincinnati last Saturday was the fifth time in the last 13 matches that NYCFC has scored four or more goals.
Deila is also expected to repeat the lineup: Sean Johnson, Anton Tinnerholm, Maxime Chanot, Alexander Callens, Guomundur Porarinsson; James Sands, Keaton Parks, Jesus Medina, Maximiliano Moralez, Andres Jasson; Valentin Mariano Castellanos.
Final Analysis and Predictions
New York City FC could climb up to the Conference first place with a victory, the perfect sports betting scenario. At least one first-half goal has been scored in New York’s last six games, but this Saturday I expect more than one, I expect some fireworks.