Spain could become the most successful team in European Championship history by winning the 2020 edition, and fate smiled at them with an accessible group, but Luis Enrique’s team left some doubts in their last preparation matches.
After losing Zlatan Ibrahimovic due to injury, Sweden hopes are not too high, but finishing as runners-up is not out of the question. Let’s take a look at the latest team and player news, stats, injury reports, and the Euro 2020 Odds for Hungary vs Portugal while making some predictions.
Game: Spain vs Sweden
Location: La Cartuja Stadium, Seville
Time: Monday, June 14, 3 p.m. ET
Television: beIN Sports
Live Stream: fuboTV
Euro 2020 Betting Lines
|Spain||-1 -125||-220||2½ +110o||1½ -140o/+110u|
|Sweden||+1 +105||+750||2½ -130u||1½ -105o/-125u|
Head to Head
- Previous Matches: 15
- Spain Victories: 7 (25 goals)
- Sweden Victories: 3 (16 goals)
- Draws: 5
Curiously enough, Spain and Sweden collided in the Euro 2020 qualifiers.
Spain won the first round 3-0. Sweden’s only qualifying defeat, with goals from Sergio Ramos, Alvaro Morata, and Mikel Oyarzabal. The second round finished 1-1, Marcus Berg scored for Sweden, while Rodrigo scored for Spain.
Spain won three of their last five meetings, scoring nine goals and allowing four, finishing with a clean sheet twice and failing to score just once. Sweden has beaten Spain on the road once, a 3-1 friendly match victory in Salamanca in June 1988.
Why Bet on Spain?
Spain finished the qualifiers unbeaten with an 8-2-0 record, 31 goals for and five against, but several players who contributed will not be in the tournament, including Sergio Ramos, Jesus Navas, and Paco Alcacer.
Head coach Luis Enrique bet on a younger team, but that’s not necessarily a bad thing. The majority of the players already have some international experience, and they are going to be eager to show they truly belong.
“La Roja” won all their home games (5-0-0) on the road to the continental tournament. They also finished 3-2 against the spread and 3-1-1 over/under. Most recently, in their last preparation game, they drew 0-0 against Portugal.
Sergio Busquets tested positive for COVID-19 and he’ll miss this game, but Luis Enrique expects him to be back for the second fixture.
“I’m going to wait for him. He is perfect, asymptomatic and can train. He has a training plan and is in contact with the staff. We hope it’s all just a scare,” said the head coach when asked if he’ll be replacing Busquets.
The rest of the team is ready to go, including Cesar Azpilicueta, Ferran Torres, and Aymeric Laporte, who just played in the UEFA Champions League Final. Their expected lineup is Unai Simon, Marcos Llorente, Aymeric Laporte, Pau Torres, Cesar Azpilicueta, Thiago, Rodri, Koke, Ferran Torres, Mikel Oyarzabal and Alvaro Morata.
Why Bet on Sweden?
Yes, Zlatan Ibrahimovic will not be in the tournament due to injury, but even with him on the field, they would remain as the sports betting underdogs. Sweden finished the qualifiers 6-3-1 without him, scoring 2.3 goals per game and allowing less than a goal per game, not bad at all, right?
They’ll be playing in their sixth straight Euros, which means they’re used to the pressure, and facing the toughest team of the group in the first match could be beneficial for them as they’re not obliged to win.
Sweden finished the qualifiers with a 3-1-1 record when playing on the road, 4-1 against the spread, and over/under. Most recently, they won two friendly matches against Finland (2-0) and Armenia (3-1).
I think what they’ll miss the most about Zlatan is his confidence and leadership, but on the field, this squad can put up a fight against any other team. Their expected lineup is Robin Olsen, Mikael Lustig, Victor Lindelof, Marcus Danielson, Pierre Bengtsson, Sebastian Larsson, Kristoffer Olsson, Albin Ekdal, Emil Forsberg, Dejan Kulusevski and Alexander Isak.
Final Analysis and Predictions
Spain’s overall record in Seville is 39-5-4, and they’re well aware of the importance of starting the Euros on the right foot, especially to prevent critics from saying that Luis Enrique made a mistake by not calling several players.
Sweden will put up a fight, but Spain will control possession, just like they did during the qualifiers, and that will give them more opportunities to score.
Don’t forget to check out the Soccer Props to increase your winning chances, including time of the first goal, team to score last, first goalscorer, and many more. The first 10 players over the first goal-scorer are Spanish, hinting who should lead the reins of the game.
Score Prediction: Spain 2 – Sweden 1