Losing against Granada at home was not in Barcelona’s plans, but it happened. Now, Lionel Messi Co. can’t lose any more points, otherwise Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid could get away and make the title race a matter of two.
Let’s take a look at the latest team and player news, stats, injury reports and the La Liga Odds for Valencia vs Barcelona while making some predictions.
Game: Valencia vs Barcelona
Location: Mestalla, Valencia
Time: Sunday, May 2, 3 p.m. ET
Television: beIN Sports
Live Stream: fuboTV
La Liga Betting Lines
|Valencia||+1½ -115||+550||3½ +105o||1 +130o/-160u|
|Barcelona||-1½ -105||-240||3½ -125u||2½ +115o/-145u|
Head to Head
- Competitive Matches: 200
- Valencia Victories: 55 (298 goals)
- Barcelona Victories: 94 (382 goals)
- Draws: 51
If we based on the last 10 matches between these two, Valencia shouldn’t imply a huge problem for Barcelona, who owns a 4-4-2 record during that span, but maybe a minor one.
The last time they met the game finished 2-2; the last time they played at Mestalla Valencia, they won 2-0. Maximiliano Gomez scored three of Valencia’s last four goals against Barcelona.
Keep in mind that Barcelona hasn’t lost two straight La Liga games since October.
Why bet on Valencia?
Valencia has five straight games without winning, that’s why they’re in a pickle, because now they’re just six points away from the relegation zone, and there are still five games left, or in Valencia’s case, five finals.
They’ll be facing Barcelona, Valladolid, Sevilla, Eibar and S.D. Huesca. Barcelona and Sevilla are fighting to win the title, while Valladolid, Eibar and S.D. Huesca are fighting to avoid relegation.
Valencia averages 1.2 goals per game, and they’ve been a lot better when playing at home thanks to a 6-7-3 record; yes, their record on the road is that bad. They also are 7-7-2 against the spread and 7-8-1 over/under when playing at Mestalla.
Javi Gracia’s team have conceded the first goal of the game in their last five games, something that can’t happen against Barcelona, otherwise they’re doomed.
Individually, Carlos Soler is the team’s top scorer with eight goals, but don’t sleep on Maximiliano Gomez and Kevin Gameiro, who can take advantage of how slow Barcelona’s center-backs are.
Thierry Correia is the only one out due to injury. Valencia’s expected lineup is Jaume Domenech, Daniel Wass, Gabriel Paulista, Hugo Guillamon, Jose Luis Gaya, Yunus Musah, Carlos Soler, Uros Racic, Goncalo Guedes, Maximiliano Gomez and Kevin Gameiro.
Why Bet on Barcelona?
Losing is just not an option, otherwise Barcelona could be five points away from Atletico Madrid, who is more likely to crush Elche on Saturday.
Barcelona lost 1-2 against Granada last Thursday, keeping them in third place with 71 points and tied with Real Madrid, but Real Madrid won both games against them.
They’ve scored 77 goals, more than any other La Liga team, but their defense is far from being the best; it has allowed 31 goals, the worst among the top four. “Analyzing the goals against, they came from a lack of concentration from our defense,” said manager Ronald Koeman after the loss against Granada.
Barcelona owns an 11-1-4 record when playing on the road. They also are 8-6-2 against the spread and 4-8-4 over/under.
Individually, Lionel Messi leads the tournament scoring sheet with 26 goals, five more than Karim Benzema from Real Madrid. Frenkie de Jong and Antoine Griezmann have been playing a lot better lately, and Barca really needs them, because Messi can’t do it all.
Martin Braithwaite, Ansu Fati and Philippe Coutinho are discarded due to injury. Barcelona’s expected lineup is Marc-Andre ter Stegen, Ronald Araujo, Sergino Dest, Oscar Mingueza, Gerard Pique, Jordi Alba, Pedri, Sergio Busquets, Frenkie de Jong, Antoine Griezmann and Lionel Messi.
Final Analysis and Predictions
Two teams in a must-win situation, what else can a sports betting enthusiast ask for? There have been three or more goals scored in each of Barcelona’s last five games, and both have scored in their last six encounters at Mestalla.
You can also head over to the latest Soccer Props to predict the Correct Score. Our prediction is offering an +850 price.
Score Prediction: Valencia 1, Barcelona 3