PSG’s biggest dream is to win the UEFA Champions League, but curiously enough, not winning the Ligue 1 would be a huge failure. That’s why they can’t sleep on Lille, who’s having a marvelous season and is looking to win the title for the first time since the 2010-11 season.
Let’s take a look at the latest team and player news, stats, injury reports and Ligue 1 Betting odds for PSG vs Lille while making some predictions.
Game: PSG vs Lille
Location: Parc des Princes, Paris
Time: Saturday, April 3, 11:00 a.m. ET
Television: beIN Sports
Live Stream: fuboTV
Ligue 1 Betting Lines
Head to Head
- Competitive Matches: 93
- PSG Victories: 38 (123 goals)
- Lille Victories: 30 (99 goals)
- Draws: 25
PSG regained the Ligue 1 top spot just a couple of weeks ago, and they beat Lille 3-0 on March 17 but that game was for the domestic cup. Regarding the Ligue 1, Lille and PSG drew 0-0 the last time they met (December at Stade Pierre Mauroy).
Lille hasn’t been able to defeat PSG in their last three encounters, but they crushed them 5-1 in the 2018-19 season. PSG has won seven of the last 10 games against Lille (7-2-1), and they scored 16 goals during that span (allowed eight).
Also, in their last 10 games against Lille, PSG have finished with a clean sheet six times, while they failed to score just twice.
Why bet on PSG?
The reigning champions are far from perfect, they already lost seven games (20-3-7), but momentum is on their side. They beat Lyon 4-2 in their last Ligue 1 game, and they also recently eliminated Barcelona from the UEFA Champions League.
“We need to take what we showed for 60 minutes and do that for an entire game. With hard work we’ll get there. The most important thing for our project is that we’re alive in all three competitions,” said Mauricio Pochettino, PSG’s manager.
They lost their last home game against Nantes (1-2), but the cup game against Lille that we mentioned before was also at Parc des Princes. Overall, PSG has scored 67 goals (best in the league) and allowed 21 (second best in the league).
As expected, Kylian Mbappe has been a beast! He has scored 20 goals (leads the Ligue 1 scoring chart), and he has found the perfect wingman in Angel di Maria, who leads the team in assists with eight (second best in the league).
So far, Pochettino’s boys have a 14-13-3 record against the spread and 10-16-4 over/under. After facing Lille, PSG’s toughest rival would be Rennes (seventh place). If they win on Saturday, the path to their fourth consecutive title will be clear as water.
Several PSG players will be out next Saturday due to injury, including Mauro Icardi, Pablo Sarabia and Juan Bernat, but Neymar should be back at 100%. PSG’s expected lineup is Keylor Navas, Marquinhos, Alessandro Florenzi, Presnel Kimpembe, Abdou Diallo, Angel Di Maria, Marcos Verratti, Danilo Pereira, Neymar, Kylian Mbappe and Julian Draxler.
Why Bet on Lille?
Losing against PSG would not only mean three points less for Lille, it would also mean a devastating blow on an emotional level. Lille owns an 18-9-3 record, but they’ve won just two of their last five Ligue 1 matches.
They already got eliminated from the domestic cup and the UEFA Europa League, which means that winning the Ligue 1 is all they’ve got. Overall, they’ve scored 50 goals (fourth best in the league) and allowed just 19 (best in the league).
Lille has been really good when playing on the road; they own a 9-4-1 record, and they also own a 10-3-1 (against the spread) and 5-8-1 (over/under) records when playing away from home. Individually, they don’t have a lethal scorer like Mbappe, but Jonathan David has scored nine goals, while Jonathan Bamba leads the league in assists with nine.
Jeremy Pied is out due to injury. Lille’s expected lineup is Mike Maignan, Zeki Celik, Jose Fonte, Sven Botman, Reinildo Mandava, Jonathan Ikone, Benjamin Andre, Renato Sanches, Timothy Weah, Yusuf Yazici and Jonathan David.
Losing against PSG could also mean losing second place to Lyon; Lille has to go all-in here.
Final Analysis and Prediction
PSG will be facing Bayern Munich next week for the UEFA Champions League Round of 8, so they need to beat Lille in order to fully concentrate on the German powerhouse, otherwise PSG’s season could crumble in one week.
Neymar is back, and PSG scored at least three goals in three of their last five games (all competitions). Lille didn’t win any of their last three games (all competitions) and they haven’t beaten PSG on the road since the 1995-96 season.