With the unprecedented 2020 ATP Tour season producing three different winners of the three Grand Slams that have taken place this calendar year, the question begs to be asked. What lies ahead for online betting enthusiasts as we get set for the quickly approaching 2021 ATP World Tour campaign? Let’s dive into our Tennis betting odds and analysis to find out.
Will next season produce what once looked like an improbable four different grand slam winners? Could we see another first-time major winner in the BetUS sportsbook after world No. 3 Dominic Thiem accomplished the feat in 2020 by claiming the U.S. Open title?
Will the legendary Roger Federer, still fifth in the world rankings, challenge to win another major after sitting out virtually, the entire 2020 season? Will world No.1 Novak Djokovic get his swag back after ending the year on a bit of a downer? Can world No. 2 Rafael Nadal still win on a surface other than clay?
With a multitude of questions looming, let’s take a look at the world’s top 7 players as they get set for the first grand slam of 2021.
Tennis Betting Odds and Analysis: Odds Rundown
No. 1 Novak Djokovic
Djokovic is the prohibitive favorite heading into Melbourne and rightfully so. The world No. 1 has won two straight Down Under and four of the last six Aussie Open titles overall. The good news for the rest of the players in the field is that Djokovic finished his 2020 season on a bit of a downer after winning the Rome Masters 1000 in September. Djokovic lost to Rafael Nadal in straight sets in the finals of the 2020 French Open before getting upset in the quarterfinals in Vienna by Lorenzo Sonego two weeks later. Djokovic then went 2-2 in the Nitto ATP Finals while losing to Daniil Medvedev and Dominic Thiem.
No. 2 Rafael Nadal
Nadal has won the Aussie Open once in his illustrious career (2009) and he went a stellar 27-7 last season with two titles including his record, 13th French Open title. Still, after winning at Roland Garros, Nadal lost to Alexander Zverev in the semis at the Paris Masters before finishing out the year by going 2-2 at the Nitto ATP Finals while losing to Thiem and Medvedev in the championship match.
No. 3 Dominic Thiem
The 27-year-old Thiem went 25-9 last season while winning his first major by claiming the 2020 US Open. However, after that, Thiem lost to Schwartzman in the quarterfinals of the French Open before losing to up-and-coming Russian Andrey Rublev in the quarters in Vienna. Thiem did beat Stefanos Tsitsipas and Nadal in his opening two matches of the ATP Finals, but finished off his year by losing to Rublev and Medvedev, although he did manage a thrilling win over Djokovic in between.
No. 4 Daniil Medvedev
Medvedev went 28-10 while winning two titles including the season-ending Nitto ATP Finals in November and the Paris Masters just prior to that. Along the way to those titles, Medvedev took out highly ranked counterparts like Diego Schwartzman, Zverev, Nadal and Djokovic. The 24-year-old Russian has reached the fourth round here in consecutive years and could be the real favorite in Australia.
No. 5 Roger Federer
Federer went 5-1 in six matches at last year’s Australian Open before losing to Djokovic in three sets in the semis. More importantly, this is an event Federer has almost owned in his career. Since winning his first title in 2004, Federer has reached the semis or better 15 times in 17 years. While he’s been out of action for almost a full calendar year, I suspect the world No. 5 is going to come out fully focused on winning his first title since going back-to-back in 2017 and 2018.
No. 6 Stefanos Tsitsipas
The 22-year-old world No. 6 went 29-14 last season with one title. While the young 6’4″ Greek star has plenty of talent and has beaten the likes of top stars like Djokovic and Rublev, he also suffered a pair of losses to Canadian Milos Raonic and some other head-scratching losses like his tournament-opening loss in the Paris Masters against the unheralded Ugo Humbert. Still, if Tsitsipas can take another step forward in his maturation, he could challenge, particularly after reaching the semis here in 2019.
No. 7 Alexander Zverev
The 23-year-old world No. 7 went 28-11 in 2020 with two titles. The 6’6″ Zverev beat Stan Wawrinka and Nadal in the semis of the Paris Masters while also reaching the finals of the US Open where he held a two-set lead against Thiem before fading and losing a thrilling fifth-set tiebreaker. Zverev reached the semis in Australia just last year, so I believe he’ll have a great chance.
Now, let’s look at the odds to win the 2021 Australian Open. The 2021 Australian Open is reportedly set to get underway on Feb. 8, three weeks after the original Melbourne Park start date.
2021 Australian Open Odds
Novak Djokovic +110
Rafael Nadal +550
Roger Federer +600
Daniil Medvedev +500
Dominic Thiem +600
Stefanos Tsitsipas +1200
Alexander Zverev +1200
Andrey Rublev +2200
Nick Kyrgios +3000
Andy Murray +3300
Milos Raonic +3000
Denis Shapovalov +3300
Jannik Sinner +3300
Stan Wawrinka +4000
Alex De Minaur +4000
Felix Auger Aliassime +6600
Karen Kachanov +6600
Matteo Berrettini +6600
Kei Nishikori +8000
Grigor Dimitorv +8000
Roberto Bautista Agut +8000
Diego Schwartzman +9000
David Goffin +10000
Gael Monfils +10000
John Isner +12000
Fabio Fognini +14000
Analysis: I’m expecting Djokovic to be fully locked in coming into this event. While the handful of up-and-coming young stars have clearly improved and the only other man to win Down Under in the last six years is back in action (Roger Federer), I’m going with the world No. 1 to get it done in a rematch of the 2020 Aussie Open Finals!
Pick: Novak Djokovic
No. 2 Roger Federer
No. 3 Daniil Medvedev
Now, let’s move on to the odds to win the 2021 French Open!
Odds to Win 2021 French Open
Rafael Nadal +110
Novak Djokovic +210
Dominic Thiem +375
Daniil Medvedev +1200
Stefanos Tsitsipas +1400
Roger Federer +1400
Alexander Zverev +1800
Diego Schwartzman +3000
Andrey Rublev +3000
Stan Wawrinka +4500
Jannik Sinner +4500
Matteo Berrettini +6000
Denis Shapovalov +6000
Pablo Carreno Busta +6000
Roberto Bautista Agut +8000
Analysis: Betting against Rafael Nadal to win the French Open is just foolish. While Dominic Thiem and Alexander Zverev are excellent clay court players and have beaten Rafa on clay in other events, Nadal is still the easy pick to win at Roland Garros in 2021. Nadal has won four straight and 13 of the last 15 French Open titles and showed in last season’s tournament that he is still light years ahead of everyone else on this surface. Nadal spanked world No. 1 Novak Djokovic, the 2016 French Open winner, in three quickly uninteresting sets to claim his 13th in September and he’s the pick to get it done again – this time in just eight months. My No. 2 and No. 3 picks in the 2021 French Open are the aforementioned Thiem and Zverev.
Pick: Rafael Nadal
No. 2 Dominic Thiem
No. 3 Alexander Zverev
Next up, we have the betting odds to win the 2021 Wimbledon Championship!
Odds to Win 2021 Wimbledon
Novak Djokovic +140
Rafael Nadal +650
Stefanos Tsitsipas +700
Roger Federer +800
Alexander Zverev +1100
Dominic Thiem +1600
Nick Kyrgios +1800
Milos Raonic +2200
Felix Auger Aliassime +3000
Andy Murray +1800
Kevin Anderson +3500
Alex De Minaur +3500
Andrey Rublev +3500
Daniil Medvedev +850
While Novak Djokovic has won two straight Wimbledon titles and five total in his career, the incomparable Roger Federer has a record eight Wimbledon titles with his most recent coming in 2017. Federer also reached the finals the last time he played here in 2019 and is still the best grass court player in the world in the minds of many tennis experts. With Federer reaching two of the last three Wimbly finals and winning one, it’s just not that much of a stretch for me seeing it happen for the sweet-swinging Swiss one more time!
Pick: Roger Federer
No. 2 Novak Djokovic
No. 3 Stefanos Tsitsipas
Last, but not least, it’s on to the 2021 US Open!
Odds to Win 2021 US Open
Novak Djokovic Ev
Dominic Thiem +550
Daniil Medvedev +500
Rafael Nadal +550
Roger Federer +700
Stefanos Tsitsipas +1100
Alexander Zverev +1100
Denis Shapovalov +3000
Milos Raonic +3000
Andrey Rublev +3000
Stan Wawrinka +4500
Jannik Sinner +3000
Felix Auger Aliassime +6500
Pablo Carreno Busta +6000
Roberto Bautista Agut +7000
David Goffin +8000
Gael Monfils +8000
Diego Schwartzman +10000
Fabio Fognini +10000
BetUS Tennis Betting Odds and Analysis: Analysis
While Nadal beat Medvedev in the 2019 US Open Finals and Thiem took out Zverev this past season, I’m going with Medvedev, Djokovic and Federer as my top two three picks to win in New York. Djokovic has won a modest three US Open titles (2011, 2015, 2018) and should be looking to make up for his massive blunder that got his ejected from last season’s event.
Federer won five straight in New York from 2004-2008 while reaching the finals in 2009 and 2015. Since then, Federer has reached the quarterfinals twice (2017, 2019) and could be due to make another run at the outright title. Medvedev reached the semis in New York this past season before losing to Thiem in straight sets and he reached the finals a year ago before falling to Nadal in a five-set thriller that was the best match of the entire 2019 campaign.
Tennis Betting Odds and Analysis Pick
No. 1 Daniil Medvedev
No. 2 Novak Djokovic
No. 3 Roger Federer
